Tuesday, November 3, 2026

TWLO Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Twilio's Q3 revenue rose 20% to $1.56 billion, but Q4 organic growth guidance fell to 11% to 12% and RPO declined 28%.

TWLO $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 3 clicks

Nov 3 INCY $24B

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 3 clicks

Nov 3 BMRN $11B

BioMarin Pharmaceuticals (BMRN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research

From X

@aleabitoreddit Nov 3 1 click

Serenity on X

The rhetoric on X and from Elon leans overwhelmingly apocalyptic on Democrats winning. It's a mini bubble here, but I think people forget AI is bipartisan national security priority, and that $NVDA's historic rally + AI buildout acceleration happened under the Biden admin. Anyone can extrapolate a politician's negative view on AI to doompost indexes or that " $CRWV is going to go down". But in all reality, even with a Democratic governor, we'll likely just see some headwinds to individual developers, and incentives like "clean-energy tax credits" moving to other areas in AI like solar manufacturing. Rather than any market-wide doomsday scenario that the opposing party likes to portray. Even Bitcoin/Ethereum performed better under the negatively perceived regulation of Gary Gensler. Just like any major event, everyone looks at the worst case scenario like helium disruption shutting down Samsung, $TSM, and the memory trade... Then markets move on few weeks later.

@AsifSuria Nov 3 1 click

Asif Suria on X

@evantindell How about this for a company name: Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior, S.A. Thankfully they renamed to Bladex $BLX

@finphysnerd Nov 3

Myles on X

I reckon a portfolio of short $WMT, $KO (safety trade), $TSLA, $SPCX, $DJT, $UMAC, $GEO (Trump trade) long $SPY probably beats most things over the next 3 months.

@StableBread Nov 3

Fajasy on X

@CallsPuts1 That leaves roughly $33M in trust at ~$10.90/share for $NTWO, a long way from the $185.8M of cash at close the deck modeled with no redemptions. And 3.05M public shares is only ~4% of the 74.2M pro forma count, so the float after close gets thin.

@BarbarianCap Nov 3

Barbarian Capital on X

second interesting deal in restaurants after the $WEN offer Foodtastic Makes Hostile Bid for Rival MTY Food After Being Rejected https://t.co/mfUsZmshxs

@BarbarianCap Nov 3

Barbarian Capital on X

"revenue rose to $19.95 billion, up from $5.02 billion a year prior" Super Micro Computer Revenue Surges on AI Infrastructure Demand $SMCI https://t.co/EZJhYAospA

@BarbarianCap Nov 3

Barbarian Capital on X

3M Announces $7.4 Billion Settlement in ‘Forever Chemicals’ Injuries Case $MMM https://t.co/PcrK3KhEJT

@calvinblissett Nov 3

Calvin Blissett on X

@taobanker Yes, funny I posted about them today on Substack. So safe and warm $ARTNA

Matt Murphy and Michael Hurlston Fireside Chat: Irrational Recap

Marvell and Lumentum’s merger targets uVCSEL scale-in optics, combining Marvell’s DSP and analog IP with Lumentum’s laser manufacturing for…

LITE $48B

Irrational Analysis Nov 3 4 clicks

Educational Development (EDUC) – The Book Value Trap

Educational Development trades at 0.21x tangible book after selling its distribution complex to repay debt, but FY26's $2.3m profit masked…

EDUC $8.8M

Dismissed & Asset-Backed Nov 3 1 click

Stevanato down 30%. Yikes.

Stevanato fell 30% after forecasting low-single-digit 2027 growth as lower Nexa syringe volumes from a GLP-1 customer offset solid Q3…

STVN $3.6B

Best Anchor Stocks Nov 3 3 clicks

Marvell And Lumentum Merger Doesn't Make Any Sense To Me

Marvell’s all-stock Lumentum deal exposes LITE holders to MRVL volatility while paying peak-cycle AI multiples, with US and China antitrust…

LITE $48B

Dustin Quasney Nov 3 2 clicks

Transocean (RIG): Q3 2026 Earnings

Transocean enters its Valaris merger with 109 of 110 available deepwater rigs contracted and 313 million shares sold short, despite weaker…

RIG $6.6BVAL $6.3B

Cannibal Stocks Nov 3 2 clicks

Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust (NYSE: BXDC)

BXDC trades at a 14% discount to net liquidation value, with $1.9 billion of cash against a $1.6 billion market cap, ahead of data-center…

BXDC $2.1B

Real Assets, Real Value Nov 3 5 clicks

Veeva Systems: AI Is The Icing, Not The Cake

Veeva Systems' Commercial Solutions returned to 13% subscription growth, while R&D and Quality grew 19.3%, with Falcon AI agents and…

VEEV $49B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Nov 3

Marvellous Value Destruction

Marvell’s proposed Lumentum deal risks alienating Cloudlight customers and losing engineering talent, despite limited optical integration…

LITE $48B

Irrational Analysis Nov 3 2 clicks

ARS Pharmaceuticals: Lawsuits And Cash Burn Are Priced In, Yet The Stock Keeps Falling

ARS Pharmaceuticals’ neffy adoption and insurance hurdles have driven cash burn and a falling share price, while management targets…

SPRY $299M

Cypriot Invests Nov 3

Marvell for Lumentum: a new JDS-Uniphase?

Marvell Technology and Lumentum fell sharply after announcing a historic merger, reviving comparisons with JDS-Uniphase.

LITE $48B

The Technology Letter Nov 2 1 click

FRMI · long

Fermi INC

Fermi Inc. is presented as a time-sensitive long special situation.

FRMI $1.3B

Value Investors Club Jun 10

First Takes on GFL's Acquisition of Secure

GFL Environmental is buying Secure Waste at 11x 2026E EBITDA before synergies, adding high-margin produced-water and waste assets with $25…

GFL $20B

310 Value’s Newsletter Apr 13 1 click

Army Training Modernization to Elevate VirTra to Prime Contractor Status

VirTra competes for Army synthetic-training contracts as a $22 billion modernization initiative begins selecting prime contractors.

VTSI $30M

Byron Street Research Apr 13 1 click

Sirius XM (An Excerpt From Our Recent Letter)

Sirius XM grew 2025 free cash flow 24% to $1.26 billion as capex peaked, while companion plans revived subscriber additions and debt fell…

SIRI $9.9B

Eagle Point Capital Apr 11

$BAX Is Down 80% and Still Not Cheap

Baxter International has fallen 80% yet remains expensive, making it a short candidate.

BAX $13B

Shallow Dives Apr 10 1 click

What XRN's New Proxy Reveals: A $3.5M Severance, a Shrinking Board, and a CEO Who Keeps Buying

Chiron Real Estate’s proxy details Jeff Busch’s $3.5 million exit, a six-member board split evenly between independent and non-independent…

XRN $402M

Orphan REITs Apr 9

Under The Hood, ResMed ($RMD)

ResMed’s 30 million connected sleep-apnea patients, recurring masks and software support a data-driven healthcare platform; 11.9% annual…

RMD $33B

Bearhold Research Apr 8 1 click

Small FPGAs, Big Problems: The Looming Identity Crisis for Lattice ($LSCC)

Lattice Semiconductor faces an identity crisis in small FPGAs, with a short thesis on $LSCC.

LSCC $14B

Shallow Dives Apr 8 1 click

Performance & Portfolio Update: Q1 2026

Portfolio update reports a 20.5% Q1 loss, led by WeightWatchers’ 61% decline, while adding Bumble, Oscar and Shift4.

BMBL $790MOSCR $11B

Modern Value Investing Apr 8

Single Stock Spotlight #6: Huntsman (HUN)

Huntsman’s $800-$900 million mid-cycle EBITDA and 8-10x historical EV/EBITDA imply $30-$40 per share, versus roughly $13, after a chemicals…

HUN $1.8B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Apr 8

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Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Serenity on X

Asif Suria on X

Myles on X

Fajasy on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Calvin Blissett on X

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Seeking Alpha 74 of 275

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