Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook
Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3 results.
Monday, November 2, 2026
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From X
DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X
$CPB is completely uninvestible for as long as Marc Lautenbach remains on the Board of Directors. Have been telling people this for over a year now... Just look at $PBI performance over his career and then from the moment he "left" the CEO position... https://t.co/Px6gacUNjZ
Colin King on X
Another consumer staples dividend cut... $CPB reducing dividend by 36% (CAG cut theirs in half) https://t.co/VVVvo0Gh8k
Evan Tindell on X
Dang I missed this one -- Nielsen CEO $NIQ almost bottom ticked it at $9 https://t.co/Zh7pIvOHua
Adam D. Wyden on X
Looks like Benchmark / StoneX agrees with our analysis. Not $VVV. Our SOTP on 2027 numbers gets us to nearly 40.00. Too cheap. $DRVN https://t.co/cA9wdjgNE1
PAA Research on X
@StockJabber @hntrbrkmedia I saw your email on for-profit education names that could be exposed to AI. We have written extensively on the bear case for $LOPE $CVSA $STRA $PRDO and others. AI is only ONE OF MANY ISSUES the industry now faces, in my view.
Lee Roach on X
Me buying $HOG at $18 because Wall Street said it was going to zero. https://t.co/nGdqlBiwY2
Negligible Capital on X
*CPB: SNACK CONSUMPTION TRENDS NOT WHERE THEY NEED TO BE *CPB: 1Q FY27 GOING TO BE A VERY CHALLENGING QUARTER FOR SNACKS Ozempic is wild. $CPB down 10% on the day, and down over 60% since the 2023 high https://t.co/JR6WmAFjCt
Colin King on X
@kab604 $CALM is excellent at managing a (very) cyclical business
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds October 2026 AAK $4.7BVIMGF $2.2B
- Polen Capital 5Perspectives Growth Opportunities 3Q 2026 TWST $9.3BWULF $5B
- Palm Harbour Capital third quarter 2026 CEVMF $5.3BCIRSA $3.7B
- Curreen Capital July–September 2026 AAP $2.9BCUUCF $4.8B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 OCTV $5.7BCALY $2.8B
- East 72 Period to 30 September 2026 AVOL $8.1BFCODF $4.8B
- Broyhill Asset Management third quarter 2026 VVV $4.3B
- Alluvial Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 ZEG $5.6B
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity
Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…
Terry Chrisomalis 2 clicks
This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal
Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.
Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings
Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…
Alexandria Real Estate: Market Sees Declining Occupancy, I See Early Recovery Signs (Rating Downgrade)
Alexandria Real Estate (ARE) faces lease expirations and occupancy pressure through 2028, but leasing momentum supports a projected…
Luuk Wierenga 
Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record
Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…
Innodata responds, Amkor surges, Mega Tech spending on tap
Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.
AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth
AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.
TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers
TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…
Nicolas Bolsinger 1 click
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII
Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…
PRIM · long Primoris Services CORP
Primoris Services, a $5 billion EPC contractor, has fallen about 60% from its peak.
The Fed Hiked And Dynex Bled, Rithm Held
Rithm Capital’s 0.74x-book valuation and 2.2x dividend coverage contrast with Dynex’s payout above earnings, leaving RITM better positioned…
Benjamin C. Barry 
The Data Center Bridge
Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…
Amkor Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
Amkor's Q3 sales were flat at $1.991 billion as computing and automotive/industrial growth offset a 27% communications decline; Q4 sales…
Molina & Kinsale
Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…
Duolingo: The 2027 Bull Case Is Hidden In The Monetization Switch
Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…
Geneva Investor 4 clicks
Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?
Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.
I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it
Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…
ExlService: A Boring Compounder That Could Double
EXLService's AI-led business, 61% of revenue and growing 30% year over year, trades at 18 times forward earnings after legacy digital…
Ignacio Planas Gonzalez 4 clicks
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/23/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ally’s improving credit and capital returns, Pepsi’s weak beverage brands, and Match Group’s plan to revive…
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Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
