Monday, November 2, 2026

Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook

Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3 results.

CLMT $3.8B

Treasure Hunting Nov 1 4 clicks

Oct 31 ABR $2.2B

When the liquidity does not add up

John Hempton's Newsletter 3 clicks

Oct 31 LIF $4B

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Substack von Philipp 4 clicks

From X

@TimyanBankAlert Aug 7

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Conference Chatter: NBT Bancorp $NBTB eyes bank M&A; Community Financial seeks insurance opportunities | S&P Global Market Intelligence https://t.co/L1NY5yUkBc

@TheBenSchmark Aug 7

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Timna on $CENX “early innings of broader FCF rebound.” “Hugely undervalued” at 1.5x their ‘27 EBITDA. $83 PT at 4x! Direction of numbers up, delta to street up, and lots of multiple rerate room imho https://t.co/8wkrmh5S83

@TheBenSchmark Aug 7 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

GS on $ACMR beat and 2026 raise. PT $164 2027 numbers and memory contribution (CXMT matter more) imho https://t.co/XXKNyhL8Gg

@TheBenSchmark Aug 7 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

“for the first time in over a decade, all Century assets should be operating at full capacity. I'm very proud to report today that our team has delivered” As expected, Q3 & Q4 will be when the real earnings power of $CENX is demonstrated. Still under-earning. Still bottleneck. https://t.co/Buw6H87Sed https://t.co/KyfyjMcJhq

@stockgutter Aug 7

SG on X

This is the right explanation for $DOCS climb AH yest, which may continue today. Doubt it holds past next week. https://t.co/pdg84pbJcm

@ActAccordingly Aug 6

PAA Research on X

I don't know what people expected for the $RKT print and guide. Always puts and takes, but this was a solid print in this environment. $UWMC just went through the windshield and my guess is that $RKT has some share gains to be had there. Gain on sale in the Pro channel was tight in the quarter so perhaps that reflects some of that.

@ActAccordingly Aug 6 1 click

PAA Research on X

I don't think I've ever seen a company blow up quite the way that $UWMC just did. Hedging a book of mortgage assets that you don't even own yet? Then getting demolished as rates rose and the deal didn't close. Congrats to @hntrbrkmedia on this one. I don't think this was the core thesis, but the idea that the management team here was suspect certainly was. Can't believe I wasn't involved in the short here.

@stockgutter Aug 6

SG on X

$CELH ugly report https://t.co/ONzrMeYjwF https://t.co/rZCEQKjPk5

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

ADT $7.2B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity

Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…

TNGX $3.7B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 30 2 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.3B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 3 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…

GPI $3.2B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 28 1 click

Alexandria Real Estate: Market Sees Declining Occupancy, I See Early Recovery Signs (Rating Downgrade)

Alexandria Real Estate (ARE) faces lease expirations and occupancy pressure through 2028, but leasing momentum supports a projected…

ARE $7.4B

Luuk Wierenga Oct 28

Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record

Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…

ENVA $4.4B

Substack von Philipp Oct 28 3 clicks

Innodata responds, Amkor surges, Mega Tech spending on tap

Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.

AMKR $8.8B

The Technology Letter Oct 27 6 clicks

AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth

AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.

APPF $8.4B

Speedwell Research Oct 27 5 clicks

TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers

TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…

TTMI $7.7B

Nicolas Bolsinger Oct 27 1 click

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII

Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…

KRMN $5.2B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 27 1 click

PRIM · long

Primoris Services CORP

Primoris Services, a $5 billion EPC contractor, has fallen about 60% from its peak.

PRIM $3.9B

Value Investors Club Aug 4

The Fed Hiked And Dynex Bled, Rithm Held

Rithm Capital’s 0.74x-book valuation and 2.2x dividend coverage contrast with Dynex’s payout above earnings, leaving RITM better positioned…

DX $2.7BRITM $5.3B

Benjamin C. Barry Oct 30

The Data Center Bridge

Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…

IREN $9.9B

CV's Substack Oct 26 16 clicks

Amkor Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Amkor's Q3 sales were flat at $1.991 billion as computing and automotive/industrial growth offset a 27% communications decline; Q4 sales…

AMKR $8.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 26 4 clicks

Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…

KNSL $8.8B

Bearstone Oct 26 8 clicks

Duolingo: The 2027 Bull Case Is Hidden In The Monetization Switch

Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…

DUOL $7.6B

Geneva Investor Oct 26 4 clicks

Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?

Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.

SIG $4.5B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 25 20 clicks

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…

BLKB $2.4B

Calvin Blissett Oct 24 81 clicks

ExlService: A Boring Compounder That Could Double

EXLService's AI-led business, 61% of revenue and growing 30% year over year, trades at 18 times forward earnings after legacy digital…

EXLS $6.5B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Oct 24 4 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/23/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ally’s improving credit and capital returns, Pepsi’s weak beverage brands, and Match Group’s plan to revive…

MTCH $9.7B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 23 5 clicks

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Monday, November 2, 2026

Timyan Bank Alert on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

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SG on X

PAA Research on X

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