Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook
Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3 results.
Monday, November 2, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Lee Roach on X
Why are coal names down across the board? I see pricing up. Is market nervous about contracting season? What am I missing. Like $BTU here. Any other ones I should spend time on?
John_Hempton on X
@AMCOverNoise I am glad you have the skill to buy gems like $AMC
John_Hempton on X
@224osk It is very sad. But I will die happy as you are buying $AMC.
Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X
@citrini New fear for $COLD and $LINE unlocked
SG on X
@kiwicarrotcake still might be a good gamble. Just saying that sure as night follows day, $OKLO will spend some of its kitty and probably not wisely.
A Capital on X
Interesting underperformance in $MGM vs. comps… https://t.co/oOOmxIWY7Y
John_Hempton on X
So glad to see $AMC up so much. Apes are buying. They deserve it.
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds October 2026 AAK $4.7BVIMGF $2.2B
- Polen Capital 5Perspectives Growth Opportunities 3Q 2026 LASR $2.1BTWST $9.3B
- Palm Harbour Capital third quarter 2026 CEVMF $5.3BCIRSA $3.4B
- Curreen Capital July–September 2026 AAP $2.9BCUUCF $5.3B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 OCTV $5.7BCALY $2.8B
- East 72 Period to 30 September 2026 AVOL $8.1BFCODF $4.5B
- Broyhill Asset Management third quarter 2026 VVV $4.3B
- Alluvial Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 ZEG $5.6B
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity
Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…
Terry Chrisomalis 2 clicks
This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal
Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.
Kratos: Strong Organic Growth And Production Ramp-Ups Support A Buy Rating
Kratos posted Q2 FY2026 revenue growth of 30.5% to $458.8 million as unmanned systems, propulsion and defense-electronics production ramps…
Arizona Equity Research 
Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings
Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…
Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record
Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…
AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth
AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.
TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers
TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…
Nicolas Bolsinger 1 click
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII
Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…
The Data Center Bridge
Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…
EGO · long Eldorado Gold CORP
Eldorado Gold (EGO) is a long-life gold and copper miner with a rare growth profile across precious and base metals.
CNK Buyback, Special Situation Review, and Some Thoughts on Theaters
Cinemark’s $200 million buyback anchors a review of theater cost structures, MCS and a completed Fairfax preferred-share special situation.
An Unnoticed Filing Shows This Company is Preparing for a Sale
Phinia revised executive contracts to raise CEO severance to $5.25 million and guarantee full equity vesting in a sale after its spin-off…
[P] TENB: Tenable Governance
Tenable faces CEO succession under difficult circumstances, putting its governance and leadership transition in focus.
[P] SPHR: Sphere-Priced Incentives
Sphere Entertainment’s incentives are priced around Sphere.
UGI Corporation (Symbol: UGI). One Hour Analysis: Weak Performance at AmeriGas Division Obscures Strong Performance of Natural Gas Utility and Midstream Assets.
UGI's AmeriGas EBITDA fell from $584 million in 2019 to $320 million in 2024, masking growth at its gas utility and midstream divisions.
An Announcement, A Visit, A Stock Pitch
Cementos Argos trades below the value of its 54.7 million Summit Materials shares, with asset sales and strategic holdings providing…
One More for the Offshore Basket: An Orphaned Microcap Driller
Offshore drillers have fallen 25-30% despite floater dayrates above $500,000 and utilization in the high-80% to low-90% range.
One Hour Analysis: Monarch Casino & Resort ($MCRI) What’s Not to Like? Debt Free, Shareholder Friendly, Free Cash Flowing Machine.
Monarch Casino trades at 7.2 times EBITDA with net cash, completed property upgrades and projected annual free cash flow of $120 million to…
Hayden Capital - Quarterly Letter (2024 Q1)
Hayden Capital says Sea, AppLovin, New Oriental and Coinbase are gaining share as weaker rivals retrench, accelerating portfolio growth.
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- 310 Value’s Newsletter
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Petri Dish Reports
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X accounts we follow
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BDC
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Broken Moats
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Cluseau Investments
Colin King
Connor Haley
Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
Dalius - Special Sits
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Derek Pilecki
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Fajasy
Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
Gavin Baker
George Noble
Hunterbrook
Ian Bezek
Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
kab60
KEDM.com
Kevin Mak
Kuppy
Laughing Water Capital
Lee Roach
Little Owl Research
Maius
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marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
Mikro Kap David
Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs”
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Myles
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SG
Sheel Mohnot
SouthernValue
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The Friendly Bear
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ToffCap
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Undiscovered Compounders
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Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1 Main Capital
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- Patient Capital Management
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- Peapack Private
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V.
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd.
- Pershing Square Holdings
- Pittenger & Anderson
- Plural Investing
- Polaris Capital Management
- Polen Capital 5Perspectives Growth Opportunities
- Polen Capital U.S. Opportunistic High Yield
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- Private Capital Management
- Protean Funds
- Pzena Investment Management
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- Quercus Fund
- RD Capital Partners
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- RiverPark Funds
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- Sequoia Fund
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- The London Company
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- TimesSquare Capital Management
- Troy Asset Management
- Tweedy, Browne
- Unconventional Value
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- VH Standard Asset Management
- Vision Capital Fund
- Vltava Fund
- Voss Capital
- Vulcan Value Partners
- Warden Capital
- Wealthspire Advisors
- Wedgewood Partners
- Weitz Investment Management
- WestEnd Capital Management
- Westfield Capital Management
- White Brook Capital
- White Falcon Capital Management
- YCG Investments
Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
