Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook
Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3 results.
Sunday, November 1, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Lee Roach on X
Liftoff $LFTO just reported. Good quarter. No sequential growth too. Market doesn’t like it. Seems fine to me. https://t.co/Qyjt4sdpsi
Lee Roach on X
What price would you guys buy $NCMI at? Stock plunging from terrible acquisition. But there’s a price for everything. Last terrible acquisition I followed was $BTU and their stock collapsed too and they got out of the deal. Stock re-rated hard. https://t.co/ecUOLwfD4H
Lee Roach on X
@CapitalFang Worked for $BTU. Not sure if something will work here.
JabroniCoin.USD on X
JPM taking $ACMR PT from $70 to $110 >105% order growth (memory likely more than half) > international markets expanding > ECP lead (#3 globally) > “Platform in the making” https://t.co/caRVrfHgSm
mavix on X
Shelly Group $SLYG H1 '26 results: ▫️Revenues +26.5% ▫️EBIT +45.6% ▫️EBIT margin of 26% (vs. 22.6%) ▫️Net result +51.4% ▫️OCF +260.6% ▫️FCF +354.3% ▫️Cash +133.1% ▫️DSO of 147 days (-21) ✅ Guidance confirmed https://t.co/do39CfwTEk
Lee Roach on X
The CEO of $HOG bought $250k of shares in the open market yesterday and you morons are selling it off today? https://t.co/gjtDirn6Hp
ToffCap on X
$MRX Q2: +39% revenue growth, 17% PAT margin (cont ops), 37% ROE, ~$2 EPS growing 100%+, mgt guiding further strong growth... Still 8.5x annualised PE https://t.co/ihSaFMMBLO
Investor Letters
All letters- Curreen Capital July–September 2026 AAP $2.9BCUUCF $5.3B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 OCTV $5.7BCALY $2.8B
- East 72 Period to 30 September 2026 AVOL $8.1BFCODF $4.5B
- Broyhill Asset Management third quarter 2026 VVV $4.3B
- Alluvial Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 ZEG $5.3B
- 1 Main Capital third quarter 2026 BFIT $2.1BHGV $3B
- Polaris Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 G $6.6BLKQ $5B
- Bretton Fund 3rd Quarter 2026 MBGL $5.6B
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity
Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…
Terry Chrisomalis 2 clicks
This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal
Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.
Kratos: Strong Organic Growth And Production Ramp-Ups Support A Buy Rating
Kratos posted Q2 FY2026 revenue growth of 30.5% to $458.8 million as unmanned systems, propulsion and defense-electronics production ramps…
Arizona Equity Research 
Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings
Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…
Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record
Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…
AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth
AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.
TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers
TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…
Nicolas Bolsinger 1 click
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII
Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…
The Data Center Bridge
Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…
PSN · long Parsons CORP
Parsons generates roughly half of its $6.4 billion revenue from Federal Solutions, serving defense and intelligence customers.
The Fed Hiked And Dynex Bled, Rithm Held
Rithm Capital’s 0.74x-book valuation and 2.2x dividend coverage contrast with Dynex’s payout above earnings, leaving RITM better positioned…
Benjamin C. Barry 
Molina & Kinsale
Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…
Duolingo: The 2027 Bull Case Is Hidden In The Monetization Switch
Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…
Geneva Investor 4 clicks
Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?
Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.
I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it
Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…
ExlService: A Boring Compounder That Could Double
EXLService's AI-led business, 61% of revenue and growing 30% year over year, trades at 18 times forward earnings after legacy digital…
Ignacio Planas Gonzalez 4 clicks
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/23/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ally’s improving credit and capital returns, Pepsi’s weak beverage brands, and Match Group’s plan to revive…
Oscar Health: Up Over 200% From The March Lows, Still Room To Run (Ticker: OSCR)
Oscar Health raised 2026 operating earnings guidance to $600 million-$800 million after ACA-marketplace expansion drove 60% membership and…
Trade Alert - Long RIG
HFI Portfolio bought 94,214 shares of Transocean, RIG, for $570,000 at $6.05 per share.
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Newsletters 109
- 310 Value’s Newsletter
- Absurdly Cheap Stocks
- Altay Capital - Mostly Value Investing
- AmsterdamStocks
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- Bearstone
- Behind the Balance Sheet
- Best Anchor Stocks
- Bilbel's Substack
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- Byron Street Research
- Calvin Blissett
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- Capital Employed
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- CV's Substack
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- Ezra's Notes
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- First Strike Research
- Flyover Stocks
- Global Outperformers
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- Latticework by MOI Global
- Lewistown Capital
- Librarian Capital's Research Library
- Maius Partners
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- Modern Value Investing
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- Multibagger Monitor
- Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter
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- Underlying Value
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- Vik's Newsletter
- WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate”
- XIX Value
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Blogs 15
- Atrium Research - Equity Research
- Bireme Capital - Investor Letters
- Cestrian Capital Research
- Choice Equities Capital Management
- Clark Street Value
- Crossroads Capital | Research-driven, Value-centric
- Hunterbrook
- Kerrisdale Capital
- NoNameStocks
- Raging Capital
- Speedwell Research
- Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology.
- The Technology Letter
- Undervalued Shares
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Seeking Alpha 69 of 272
Adam Schadt
Albert Anthony
Andres Veurink- Arizona Equity Research
Bay Area Ideas
Blake Winiecki
Capital Connoisseur
Dane Bowler
David Zanoni
Deep Value Investing
Dhierin Bechai
Dilantha De Silva
Dustin Quasney
Elliott Gue
Equity Eagle
Eudaemon Research
Fernanda Galvez Jalil
Fountainhead- Geneva Investor
Given Mahlangu
Henrik Alex
High Alpha Professor- Ignacio Planas Gonzalez
Infinity Curve
Investor Overview
IWA Research
Jaden Mealy
JR Research
Julia Ostian
Khaveen Investments
Kurt Christensen
LL Insights
Long Player
Marc Gerstein
Melissa Tucker
Mike Arnold
Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT
Miletus Research
Myriam Alvarez
Petri Dish Reports
Philip Wang
Prakhar Agarwal, CFA
PropNotes
PV Research
Quantryon Capital
Robert J. Lake
Ron Ferrie
Ryan Canady
Sam Mancini
Seeking Profits
Sharon McArd
SiliconBytes Insights
Simple Investment Ideas
Sorrento Research
Stephen Ayers
Steven Fiorillo
The Alpha Analyst
The Asian Investor
The Bullionaire
The Curious Analyst
The J Thesis
The Market Auditor
The Supercycle Investor
The Undercovered Dozen
Tim Travis
Uttam Dey
Value Capital Research
Vishal Jadaun
Zoltan Ban
X accounts we follow
Every account on this site, hand-picked.
⚽️📡
💥PETITION💥
A Capital
absreturnchaser
Adam D. Wyden
Alpha Vulture
AltayCap
Asif Suria
Bank Reg Blog
Barbarian Capital
BDC
Bill Ackman
Brian McGough
Broken Moats
BuccoCapital Bloke
Calvin Blissett
catechwilliams
Charles Frischer
Chris Camillo
Clark Square Capital
Cluseau Investments
Colin King
Connor Haley
Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
Dalius - Special Sits
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Derek Pilecki
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Fajasy
Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
Gavin Baker
George Noble
Hunterbrook
Ian Bezek
Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
kab60
KEDM.com
Kevin Mak
Kuppy
Laughing Water Capital
Lee Roach
Little Owl Research
Maius
Maj Soueidan
marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
Mikro Kap David
Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs”
Multiples Capital
Myles
Nat Stewart
Negligible Capital
Odd Diligence
Odd Lot Arbitrageur
PAA Research
Paradis
Pernas Research
Porter Collins
Prepared Remarks
Psyop Capital
Raging Capital Ventures
Red Dog Capital- RiverRoadPartners
Rohan Pavuluri
Rusholme Capital
Sahil Khetpal
Serenity
SG
Sheel Mohnot
SouthernValue
Steve Eisman
The Friendly Bear
Tim Eriksen
Timyan Bank Alert
Todd Wenning
ToffCap
Trevor Scott
Undiscovered Compounders
Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1 Main Capital
- 13D Activist Fund
- 1851 Capital
- 49 Financial
- Advisory Research
- Aegis Value Fund
- Aikya Investment Management
- Akre Capital Management, LLC
- Alluvial Capital Management
- Alpine Capital Research
- Alpinum Investment Management AG
- Amati Global Investors
- Amber River
- Andrew Hill Investment Advisors
- Andvari Associates
- Angel Oak Capital Advisors
- Ariel Investments
- Aristotle Funds
- Artisan Partners
- Askeladden Capital
- Asset Value Investors Ltd
- Atherean Asset Management
- Auxier Asset Management
- Avenue Investment Management
- Azvalor Asset Management
- BBH
- Bailard
- Baird Equity Asset Management
- Barometer Capital Management
- Baron Funds
- Bell Asset Management
- Bengal Capital
- Berkshire Hathaway
- Biglari Holdings
- Biondo Investment Advisors
- Bireme Capital
- BlackRock
- Blue Tower Asset Management
- Brasada Capital
- Bretton Fund
- Brighton Jones
- Bristlemoon Capital
- Broadleaf Partners
- Broyhill Asset Management
- Brummer & Partners
- ByteTree
- Cambiar Investors
- Cantor Fitzgerald Asset Management
- Carrington Wealth Management
- Castlebay Investment Partners
- Cedar Creek Partners
- Cedar Grove Capital Management
- Chautauqua Capital Management
- Chevy Chase Trust
- Chilton Capital Management
- Choice Equities
- Claret Asset Management
- Comus Investment
- Conestoga Capital Advisors
- Confluence Investment Management
- CrossingBridge Advisors
- Crossroads Capital, LLC
- Curreen Capital
- Davenport Asset Management
- Davis Advisors Global ADR
- Davis Advisors Large Cap Value
- Davis Opportunity Fund
- Davis Real Estate Fund
- Diranko Capital
- Distillate Capital
- Dodge & Cox Stock Fund
- Donville Kent Asset Management Inc.
- DoubleLine
- East 72
- East Capital
- Easterly Asset Management
- EdgePoint Wealth Management
- Equity Management Associates
- Evolve Private Wealth
- FPA Crescent Fund
- Fairlight Capital
- Fairtree Asset Management
- Fenimore Asset Management
- Fiduciary Management
- Fiera Capital
- Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors
- First Eagle Investments
- Forager Funds Management
- Frank Capital Partners
- Fred Alger Management, LLC
- GROW Funds
- Gabelli Funds
- Giverny Capital
- Glass Lake Wealth Management
- Glenmede Investment Management
- GoodHaven Capital Management
- Grandeur Peak Global Advisors
- GreenWood Investors
- Greenhaven Road Capital
- GreensKeeper Asset Management
- Greenwood Gearhart
- Gresham House
- Grey Owl Capital Management
- Guinness Global Investors
- Halvio Capital
- Harding Loevner
- Harry Qelm Baabsman
- Hayden Capital
- Heartland Advisors
- Highwood Value Partners
- Hinde Group
- Hoisington Investment Management
- Hood River Capital Management
- Horizon Kinetics
- Horos Asset Management
- Hosking Partners
- Infuse Asset Management
- Intrepid Capital
- Invenomic Capital Management
- Ironvine Capital Partners
- JB Global Capital
- JM Finn
- Janus Henderson Investors
- Jemekk Capital Management
- Kathmandu Capital
- Kaydan Wealth Management
- Kennedy Capital Management
- Kernow Asset Management
- Kingdom Capital Advisors
- LVS Advisory
- Lakehouse Capital Global Growth Fund
- Lakehouse Capital Small Companies Fund
- Langdon Equity Partners
- Lansing Street Advisors
- Latitude Investment Management
- Laughing Water Capital
- Leonard Rickey Investment Advisors
- Lindsell Train Limited
- Long Cast Advisers
- Lyrical Asset Management
- Manole Capital Management
- Mar Vista Investment Partners
- Maran Capital Management
- Markel Group
- Marram Investment Management
- Massif Capital
- Matrix Asset Advisors
- Matthews Asia
- McIntyre Partnerships
- Merion Road Capital
- Miller Value Partners
- Miller/Howard Investments
- Minot Light Capital Partners
- Minotaur Capital
- Mondrian Investment Partners
- Moneta Group
- Montaka Global Investments
- Moon Capital Management
- Mott Capital Management
- Mountain Vista Wealth Management
- Muhlenkamp & Company
- Myrmikan Capital, LLC
- Nelnet
- Newport Capital Group
- Next Century Growth Investors
- Night Watch Investment Management
- Nightview Capital
- Nixon Capital
- North Sky Capital
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory
- Oak Associates Funds
- Oakmark Funds
- Oldfield Partners
- Open Insights Capital
- Ophir Asset Management
- Optimist Fund
- Orange Investment Advisors
- Oujo Wealth Strategies
- Palm Harbour Capital
- Palm Valley Capital
- Patient Capital Management
- Peak Asset Management
- Peapack Private
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V.
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd.
- Pershing Square Holdings
- Pittenger & Anderson
- Polaris Capital Management
- Polen Capital 5Perspectives Growth Opportunities
- Polen Capital U.S. Opportunistic High Yield
- Praetorian Capital
- Protean Funds
- Pzena Investment Management
- QuantStreet Capital
- Quercus Fund
- RF Capital Management
- RGA Investment Advisors
- ROCKLINC Investment Partners
- Regency Wealth Management
- Rewey Asset Management
- Right Tail Capital
- RiverPark Funds
- Riverwater Partners
- Robinson Capital Management
- Rowan Street Capital
- Royce Investment Partners
- SRK Capital
- Saga Partners
- SaltLight Capital
- Sequoia Fund
- Seven Corners Capital
- Shelton Capital Management
- Sigil
- Signia Capital Management
- Skybound Wealth Management
- Smead Capital Management
- Social Capital
- Sorfis Investments
- Sound Shore Management
- Southeastern Asset Management
- SouthernSun Asset Management
- Sparrow Wealth Management
- Spyglass Capital Management
- Starvine Capital
- Stenham Asset Management
- Stone Sentinel Capital
- Stonehearth Capital Management
- Summers Value Partners
- Sustainable Growth Advisers
- TEAM Asset Management
- TIFF Investment Management
- Tall Oak Capital Advisors
- The London Company
- Third Avenue Management
- TimesSquare Capital Management
- Troy Asset Management
- Tweedy, Browne
- Unconventional Value
- Upslope Capital Management
- VH Standard Asset Management
- Vision Capital Fund
- Vltava Fund
- Vulcan Value Partners
- Warden Capital
- Wealthspire Advisors
- Wedgewood Partners
- Weitz Investment Management
- WestEnd Capital Management
- White Brook Capital
- White Falcon Capital Management
Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
