Saturday, October 31, 2026

Verra veerer

Verra Mobility’s Avis termination threatens 2027 earnings, while Government Solutions profit rose 25% and implied fourth-quarter guidance points to a sharp slowdown.

VRRM $404M

The Oak Bloke Oct 31 2 clicks

Oct 30 BBW $363M

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

TSOH Investment Research 1 click

Oct 29 OSS $129M

OSS Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Analysis

Cestrian Capital Research 1 click

From X

@catechwilliams Apr 9

catechwilliams on X

$NX 5% of COGS/ direct input costs sourced from China. Tariffs + zero pricing power, high fixed cost structure + only 30% GMs = 25-30% hit to EBIT. Add 4x leverage, declining volumes, ambitious mgmt guidance while integrating a large acquisition is a setup for a trainwreck.

@Adam_Wyden Mar 31

Adam D. Wyden on X

@JerryCap @AutumnCapital $PAR

@catechwilliams Mar 6

catechwilliams on X

$DAKT CEO departing, new high-quality CFO (temp) w very attractive secular tailwinds in digital display demand + activist involvement = increased likelihood of takeout. Optimal business for PE. Multiple logical strategics. +75% upside.

@catechwilliams Feb 11

catechwilliams on X

$NX Outlandishly guiding to flat 2025 sales, customers and channel -DD. Commodity window and door components facing pricing pressure from larger customers ($JELD, $OC). Now levered 4x, trading at a premium to higher value-add building products peers. Guide cut inevitable.

@HedgeyeRetail Jan 8

Brian McGough on X

Really, this Q is just $HELE being HELE. The company is structurally broken. Not investing enough to prevent a melt down in the core, while it overpays for 'average' assets, and tries to make up for it with creative accounting. Best Idea Short -- the gift that will forever give back... That does not mean it's a perma-short. The price at any given point in time matters. But right now, it's still a Short. @HedgeyeRetailJM @HedgeyeRetailRW

@AlphaVulture Dec 20

Alpha Vulture on X

Tough end of the year in merger arb land $BATL, $RVNC, $X, $ACI, $CPRI

@catechwilliams Dec 19

catechwilliams on X

$NX Rapidly declining levered (4x) commodity biz. Q1’25 guide -12% sales, mgmt hoping for 2H’25 recovery. End-mkts deteriorating ($OC -20% Q4 guide, $JELD), customer losses, internal controls issues, integrating a large acq, 0 prior M&A experience. +30x P/E on best case 2025 #s

@AlphaVulture Dec 3

Alpha Vulture on X

After years things are finally happening at shitco $UDFI. Just before the AGM in which NexPoint would have kicked out the incumbent trustees the company announces a deal with $RC to be bought for ~$5.89/share. https://t.co/BUoDsMmbJN

Smart Fit: Global Fitness Ambitions (Ticker: SMFT3)

Smart Fit, Brazil’s SMFT3, is expanding its low-cost gym network across Latin America, with corporate-wellness platform TotalPass adding to…

ESMR $1.9M

Emerging Moats Research Oct 30 2 clicks

Build-A-Bear (BBW) Part II: The Scion Capital Analyst Tempate and the All Map

Build-A-Bear’s lease overhaul, off-mall expansion and partner-led wholesale growth reshaped a debt-free retailer with $80 million EBITDA,…

BBW $363M

Cassandra Unchained Oct 29 2 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

WGO $903M

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 3 clicks

Duos Technologies Pivot To Data Center Pods Is Gaining Traction

Duos Technologies, DUOT, has shifted to modular edge data center pods, with Q2 revenue up 30% to $6.18 million and FY27 revenue guided…

DUOT $192M

Shareholders Unite Oct 29 2 clicks

Daktronics (DAKT): Dominant Leader | Deep Dive

Daktronics, the leader in U.S. sports video boards, targets 10-12% EBIT margins after shifting production to China and Mexico and exiting…

DAKT $977M

Hidden Gems Investing Oct 28 6 clicks

Build-A-Bear Workshop: The Price Assumes Its Worst Quarter Lasts Forever

Build-A-Bear Workshop’s failed pre-made toy line compressed margins, but resilient children’s sales support a $39.39 fair value estimate…

BBW $363M

Rafa F. Oliver, CFA Oct 26 4 clicks

How to Read a 10-K Like a Short Seller

A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14…

HTZ $684M

Jimmy's Journal Oct 26 69 clicks

Namib Minerals: Research Flash

Namib Minerals’ How Mine mill reached 55,000 tonnes per month, 36% above prior capacity, while a proposed $30 million Ecobank facility…

NAMM $43M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 25 2 clicks

Bimergen Energy: Research Flash

Bimergen Energy filed for a Texas retail-power license to supply data centers directly and gained eligibility for federal contracts through…

BESS $19M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 25 3 clicks

💥Is Getty a Prepack in Name Only?💥

Getty Images' 2026 Chapter 11 filing is challenged as a prepack after warrant litigation, a failed Shutterstock merger and AI pressure.

GETY $8MSSTK $160M

PETITION Oct 25 4 clicks

SAMG · long

Silvercrest Asset Mgt

Silvercrest Asset Management is framed as undervalued while funding an ambitious investment cycle.

SAMG $85M

Value Investors Club Jul 29

HUYA Q3 2026 Preview: Game-Related Services And Advertising Take The Wheel

HUYA’s Q3 consensus calls for $268 million in revenue as game-related services and advertising offset live-streaming pressure; its buyback…

HUYA $457M

Astrada Advisors Oct 26

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…

RNGR $315M

Calvin Blissett Oct 24 81 clicks

Research & Analysis: ERock, Inc. (NYSE: EROC)

ERock’s modular microgrids bridge data-center power gaps years before grid interconnects, with Meta and Anthropic projects filling capacity…

EROC $402M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 23 11 clicks

Unicycive (UNCY):

Unicycive’s oxylanthanum carbonate NDA earned a March 25, 2027 PDUFA date after two manufacturing-related rejections, with no FDA clinical…

UNCY $104M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Oct 22 4 clicks

Moon River Moly: Research Note

Moon River Moly’s updated Davidson PEA lifts after-tax NPV to $1.24 billion as flotation raises tungsten output 350% and cuts molybdenum…

MRIVF $22M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 21 4 clicks

BMBL 2026-10-21

Bumble is being taken private

Bumble agreed to a $6.05-per-share cash sale to Ithaca Holdings, 136% above its October 2 share price.

BMBL $790M

Modern Value Investing Oct 21 8 clicks

GLOO, part two

Gloo faces related-party deals, insider-heavy IPO ownership, acquisition losses and $84.5 million of CEO-backed puts as it burns cash and…

GLOO $268M

Guardian Research Oct 21 4 clicks

Carecloud News

CareCloud may attract a private-equity buyer after its Q3 call, with acquiring enough shares the main obstacle to a take-private deal.

CCLD $75M

Calvin Blissett Oct 20 12 clicks

AGI Inc: The Bargain Is Even More Attractive

AGI Inc trades at 5.6x earnings after a 35% post-IPO decline, despite roughly 30% ROE and resilient INSS payroll-loan growth.

AGBK $832M

Multiplo Invest Oct 20 14 clicks

Saturday, October 31, 2026

catechwilliams on X

Adam D. Wyden on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Brian McGough on X

Alpha Vulture on X

catechwilliams on X

Alpha Vulture on X

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