Saturday, October 31, 2026

Verra veerer

Verra Mobility’s Avis termination threatens 2027 earnings, while Government Solutions profit rose 25% and implied fourth-quarter guidance points to a sharp slowdown.

VRRM $404M

The Oak Bloke Oct 31 2 clicks

Oct 30 BBW $363M

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

TSOH Investment Research 1 click

Oct 29 OSS $129M

OSS Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Analysis

Cestrian Capital Research 1 click

From X

@BrokenMoats Jun 24

Broken Moats on X

Anybody see this run in $WNC? crazy, gone from serious balance sheet risk to the fastest trade in the market. Company commented they might get to a replacement market next year (versus years of tough order books) and the commerce ruling on dumping from china that will put tariffs on Chinese suppliers (maybe 20% of the market?) should help those 27' numbers. But issues remain in what is a pretty poor business when the dominant industry player fluctuates on bankruptcy each cycle.

@natstewart5 Jun 24 1 click

Nat Stewart on X

Assume you have seen it, but $MHGU CEO 5/19/26 presentation is solid. They will get a EBITDA boost from being allowed to close poor locations, breakfast opt-out, and $7.3M G&A cuts. If new WEN mgt does its job, MHGU could end up a rocket ship. Less liquid/risky/trades OTC, but I own a bit - potential upside dwarfs current share price, IMO.

@natstewart5 Jun 23 2 clicks

Nat Stewart on X

@waterboystocks DPZ looks interesting, but I have pizza covered with little Pizza Inn $RAVE. 100% franchised, zero debt, cash ~25% of market cap, potential for turnaround to transform into growth story next 1-2 years.

@psyopcapital Jun 23

Psyop Capital on X

Is contextlogic interesting/worth digging into? $LOGC. I really like the Salt acquisition but seems like they paid a rich multiple for it. Fear this will end up in the graveyard of mini-Berkshires over time

@ActAccordingly Jun 23

PAA Research on X

FWIW, I'm pretty sure Doug Lebda of $TREE experienced a (-95%)-(-99%) drawdown in 2000, 2008, and again post COVID-19. The company was purchased by $IAC and then spun out again after the dotcom bubble burst. Of course that implies that $TREE was a 10+ bagger on two separate occasions. RIP Mr. Lebda.

@TimyanBankAlert Jun 18 1 click

Timyan Bank Alert on X

$BCOW puts its shareholders out of their misery but only after pillaging from them as much as possible. https://t.co/LG4tR0ZLd3 https://t.co/eHQWjpMA5w

@TimyanBankAlert Jun 17 1 click

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Another Dallas bank not named North Dallas $NODB sold today. @ndbttx MidFirst Bank to Acquire Dallas Capital Bank, Accelerating Growth - https://t.co/Q7pCvEvvUh

@BrokenMoats Jun 16

Broken Moats on X

$SLP buyout today ends an ugly few years for the company. The core simulation software business, even in this ai world, still presents lots of value as key models are used by the FDA in drug approval process. But the management team after the founder stepped back destroyed the company with one destructive acquisition after another. Diluted the software with a heavy concentration on commoditized services revenue and less differentiated software assets, all purchased at high multiples to show "revenue growth". Mgmt destroyed the free cash flow, decimated the share price over the tenure but did allow management to rack up steadily increased compensation for themselves by growing the "size" of the company. A good case study in how poor management can take a wide moat business and turn it into a lousy one pretty fast. I imagine the new PE owners can extract out the bad business and excessive costs and generate a good return focusing on the original assets.

Smart Fit: Global Fitness Ambitions (Ticker: SMFT3)

Smart Fit, Brazil’s SMFT3, is expanding its low-cost gym network across Latin America, with corporate-wellness platform TotalPass adding to…

ESMR $1.9M

Emerging Moats Research Oct 30 2 clicks

Build-A-Bear (BBW) Part II: The Scion Capital Analyst Tempate and the All Map

Build-A-Bear’s lease overhaul, off-mall expansion and partner-led wholesale growth reshaped a debt-free retailer with $80 million EBITDA,…

BBW $363M

Cassandra Unchained Oct 29 2 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

WGO $903M

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 3 clicks

Duos Technologies Pivot To Data Center Pods Is Gaining Traction

Duos Technologies, DUOT, has shifted to modular edge data center pods, with Q2 revenue up 30% to $6.18 million and FY27 revenue guided…

DUOT $192M

Shareholders Unite Oct 29 2 clicks

Daktronics (DAKT): Dominant Leader | Deep Dive

Daktronics, the leader in U.S. sports video boards, targets 10-12% EBIT margins after shifting production to China and Mexico and exiting…

DAKT $977M

Hidden Gems Investing Oct 28 6 clicks

Build-A-Bear Workshop: The Price Assumes Its Worst Quarter Lasts Forever

Build-A-Bear Workshop’s failed pre-made toy line compressed margins, but resilient children’s sales support a $39.39 fair value estimate…

BBW $363M

Rafa F. Oliver, CFA Oct 26 4 clicks

How to Read a 10-K Like a Short Seller

A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14…

HTZ $684M

Jimmy's Journal Oct 26 69 clicks

Namib Minerals: Research Flash

Namib Minerals’ How Mine mill reached 55,000 tonnes per month, 36% above prior capacity, while a proposed $30 million Ecobank facility…

NAMM $43M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 25 2 clicks

Bimergen Energy: Research Flash

Bimergen Energy filed for a Texas retail-power license to supply data centers directly and gained eligibility for federal contracts through…

BESS $19M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 25 3 clicks

💥Is Getty a Prepack in Name Only?💥

Getty Images' 2026 Chapter 11 filing is challenged as a prepack after warrant litigation, a failed Shutterstock merger and AI pressure.

GETY $8MSSTK $160M

PETITION Oct 25 4 clicks

SAMG · long

Silvercrest Asset Mgt

Silvercrest Asset Management is framed as undervalued while funding an ambitious investment cycle.

SAMG $85M

Value Investors Club Jul 29

HUYA Q3 2026 Preview: Game-Related Services And Advertising Take The Wheel

HUYA’s Q3 consensus calls for $268 million in revenue as game-related services and advertising offset live-streaming pressure; its buyback…

HUYA $457M

Astrada Advisors Oct 26

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…

RNGR $315M

Calvin Blissett Oct 24 81 clicks

Research & Analysis: ERock, Inc. (NYSE: EROC)

ERock’s modular microgrids bridge data-center power gaps years before grid interconnects, with Meta and Anthropic projects filling capacity…

EROC $402M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 23 11 clicks

Unicycive (UNCY):

Unicycive’s oxylanthanum carbonate NDA earned a March 25, 2027 PDUFA date after two manufacturing-related rejections, with no FDA clinical…

UNCY $104M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Oct 22 4 clicks

Moon River Moly: Research Note

Moon River Moly’s updated Davidson PEA lifts after-tax NPV to $1.24 billion as flotation raises tungsten output 350% and cuts molybdenum…

MRIVF $22M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 21 4 clicks

BMBL 2026-10-21

Bumble is being taken private

Bumble agreed to a $6.05-per-share cash sale to Ithaca Holdings, 136% above its October 2 share price.

BMBL $790M

Modern Value Investing Oct 21 8 clicks

GLOO, part two

Gloo faces related-party deals, insider-heavy IPO ownership, acquisition losses and $84.5 million of CEO-backed puts as it burns cash and…

GLOO $268M

Guardian Research Oct 21 4 clicks

Carecloud News

CareCloud may attract a private-equity buyer after its Q3 call, with acquiring enough shares the main obstacle to a take-private deal.

CCLD $75M

Calvin Blissett Oct 20 12 clicks

AGI Inc: The Bargain Is Even More Attractive

AGI Inc trades at 5.6x earnings after a 35% post-IPO decline, despite roughly 30% ROE and resilient INSS payroll-loan growth.

AGBK $832M

Multiplo Invest Oct 20 14 clicks

Saturday, October 31, 2026

Broken Moats on X

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Nat Stewart on X

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