When the liquidity does not add up
Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet 2027 debt maturities.
Saturday, October 31, 2026
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mavix on X
Shelly Group $SLYG H1 '26 results: ▫️Revenues +26.5% ▫️EBIT +45.6% ▫️EBIT margin of 26% (vs. 22.6%) ▫️Net result +51.4% ▫️OCF +260.6% ▫️FCF +354.3% ▫️Cash +133.1% ▫️DSO of 147 days (-21) ✅ Guidance confirmed https://t.co/do39CfwTEk
Lee Roach on X
The CEO of $HOG bought $250k of shares in the open market yesterday and you morons are selling it off today? https://t.co/gjtDirn6Hp
ToffCap on X
$MRX Q2: +39% revenue growth, 17% PAT margin (cont ops), 37% ROE, ~$2 EPS growing 100%+, mgt guiding further strong growth... Still 8.5x annualised PE https://t.co/ihSaFMMBLO
Maj Soueidan on X
$ITRN is pristine (was $36 at the time of this post). It’s $55 today, up $3 on a solid Q2. The moron I am, I still haven’t bought. The valuation was never “perfect.” Some things are just worth paying up for. I do see a path to $100. Lesson👉 InfoArb exists even outside microcaps. https://t.co/kJghFGxAph
Lee Roach on X
@kingdomcapadv posted a good $EVC write up on Seeking Alpha this morning. https://t.co/k96glqoOiQ
ToffCap on X
Solid results from Marex $MRX yet again. Strong beat + in the portfolio. That means the stock will probably close 20% down today https://t.co/8EYa8jlUHZ
JabroniCoin.USD on X
Bernstein China Semicap & WFE update: $101 bn in ‘28 > WFE ramp drives reacceleration of local WFE vendors > logic underestimated > memory revised up: CXMT, YM & JHICC easier to ramp clean rooms > local vendors take share from global vendors > ‘27-28 numbers go up $ACMR https://t.co/8qZFoulEau
Investor Letters
All letters- Curreen Capital July–September 2026 CLVT $1.4BAAP $2.9B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 OCTV $5.7BCALY $2.8B
- East 72 Period to 30 September 2026 AVOL $8.1BFCODF $4.8B
- Broyhill Asset Management third quarter 2026 MFP $1.9BVVV $4.3B
- Alluvial Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 BSVN $553MFTLF $75M
- 1 Main Capital third quarter 2026 BFIT $2.2BHGV $3.3B
- Polaris Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 G $6.8BLKQ $5.1B
- Langdon Equity Partners Q3 2026 LOECF $740MATS $1.9B
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity
Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…
Terry Chrisomalis 2 clicks
OSS Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Analysis
One Stop Systems grew Q3 continuing-operations revenue 36% to $12.6 million, raised FY2026 revenue guidance to $45 million, and used $11.8…
Build-A-Bear (BBW) Part II: The Scion Capital Analyst Tempate and the All Map
Build-A-Bear’s lease overhaul, off-mall expansion and partner-led wholesale growth reshaped a debt-free retailer with $80 million EBITDA,…
This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal
Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.
Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings
Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…
Daktronics (DAKT): Dominant Leader | Deep Dive
Daktronics, the leader in U.S. sports video boards, targets 10-12% EBIT margins after shifting production to China and Mexico and exiting…
Alexandria Real Estate: Market Sees Declining Occupancy, I See Early Recovery Signs (Rating Downgrade)
Alexandria Real Estate (ARE) faces lease expirations and occupancy pressure through 2028, but leasing momentum supports a projected…
Luuk Wierenga 
Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record
Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…
Xenia Hotels: A Buy Ahead Of Q3 Results, Betting On Continued Portfolio Quality
Xenia Hotels & Resorts pairs luxury hotel assets, brand affiliations and planned renovations with investment-grade credit and covered…
Albert Anthony 2 clicks
PSN · long Parsons CORP
Parsons generates roughly half of its $6.4 billion revenue from Federal Solutions, serving defense and intelligence customers.
The Fed Hiked And Dynex Bled, Rithm Held
Rithm Capital’s 0.74x-book valuation and 2.2x dividend coverage contrast with Dynex’s payout above earnings, leaving RITM better positioned…
Benjamin C. Barry 
Innodata responds, Amkor surges, Mega Tech spending on tap
Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.
AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth
AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.
TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers
TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…
Nicolas Bolsinger 1 click
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII
Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…
The Data Center Bridge
Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…
Amkor Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
Amkor's Q3 sales were flat at $1.991 billion as computing and automotive/industrial growth offset a 27% communications decline; Q4 sales…
Lula wins, Brazil panics, then rallies. It’s happened every time. A 16% ROE bank at 7.4x earnings and book value, down 36% in a day. Up to 3.8x
A Brazilian digital bank with 45 million clients fell 36% after Lula’s election, despite 16.3% ROE, 13 record quarters and a 7.4x earnings…
Build-A-Bear Workshop: The Price Assumes Its Worst Quarter Lasts Forever
Build-A-Bear Workshop’s failed pre-made toy line compressed margins, but resilient children’s sales support a $39.39 fair value estimate…
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Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
