When the liquidity does not add up
Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet 2027 debt maturities.
Saturday, October 31, 2026
Back to today
From X
Lee Roach on X
@CapitalFang Worked for $BTU. Not sure if something will work here.
Lee Roach on X
I recently shared my brokerage account YTD and Max returns but I’d thought I’d share my actual positions. I’m still heavily invested in $EVC. Let's Go! https://t.co/2tmL8Z5FMw
JabroniCoin.USD on X
JPM taking $ACMR PT from $70 to $110 >105% order growth (memory likely more than half) > international markets expanding > ECP lead (#3 globally) > “Platform in the making” https://t.co/caRVrfHgSm
mavix on X
Shelly Group $SLYG H1 '26 results: ▫️Revenues +26.5% ▫️EBIT +45.6% ▫️EBIT margin of 26% (vs. 22.6%) ▫️Net result +51.4% ▫️OCF +260.6% ▫️FCF +354.3% ▫️Cash +133.1% ▫️DSO of 147 days (-21) ✅ Guidance confirmed https://t.co/do39CfwTEk
Lee Roach on X
The CEO of $HOG bought $250k of shares in the open market yesterday and you morons are selling it off today? https://t.co/gjtDirn6Hp
ToffCap on X
$MRX Q2: +39% revenue growth, 17% PAT margin (cont ops), 37% ROE, ~$2 EPS growing 100%+, mgt guiding further strong growth... Still 8.5x annualised PE https://t.co/ihSaFMMBLO
Maj Soueidan on X
$ITRN is pristine (was $36 at the time of this post). It’s $55 today, up $3 on a solid Q2. The moron I am, I still haven’t bought. The valuation was never “perfect.” Some things are just worth paying up for. I do see a path to $100. Lesson👉 InfoArb exists even outside microcaps. https://t.co/kJghFGxAph
Lee Roach on X
@kingdomcapadv posted a good $EVC write up on Seeking Alpha this morning. https://t.co/k96glqoOiQ
Investor Letters
All letters- Curreen Capital July–September 2026 CLVT $1.4BAAP $2.9B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 OCTV $5.7BCALY $2.8B
- East 72 Period to 30 September 2026 AVOL $8.1BFCODF $4.8B
- Broyhill Asset Management third quarter 2026 MFP $1.9BVVV $4.3B
- Alluvial Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 BSVN $553MGDOT $727M
- 1 Main Capital third quarter 2026 BFIT $2.2BHGV $3.3B
- Polaris Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 G $6.8BLKQ $5.1B
- Langdon Equity Partners Q3 2026 LOECF $740MATS $1.9B
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity
Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…
Terry Chrisomalis 2 clicks
Build-A-Bear (BBW) Part II: The Scion Capital Analyst Tempate and the All Map
Build-A-Bear’s lease overhaul, off-mall expansion and partner-led wholesale growth reshaped a debt-free retailer with $80 million EBITDA,…
This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal
Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.
Kratos: Strong Organic Growth And Production Ramp-Ups Support A Buy Rating
Kratos posted Q2 FY2026 revenue growth of 30.5% to $458.8 million as unmanned systems, propulsion and defense-electronics production ramps…
Arizona Equity Research 
Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings
Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…
Daktronics (DAKT): Dominant Leader | Deep Dive
Daktronics, the leader in U.S. sports video boards, targets 10-12% EBIT margins after shifting production to China and Mexico and exiting…
Alexandria Real Estate: Market Sees Declining Occupancy, I See Early Recovery Signs (Rating Downgrade)
Alexandria Real Estate (ARE) faces lease expirations and occupancy pressure through 2028, but leasing momentum supports a projected…
Luuk Wierenga 
Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record
Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…
Innodata responds, Amkor surges, Mega Tech spending on tap
Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.
PSN · long Parsons CORP
Parsons generates roughly half of its $6.4 billion revenue from Federal Solutions, serving defense and intelligence customers.
AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth
AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.
TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers
TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…
Nicolas Bolsinger 1 click
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII
Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…
The Data Center Bridge
Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…
Amkor Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
Amkor's Q3 sales were flat at $1.991 billion as computing and automotive/industrial growth offset a 27% communications decline; Q4 sales…
Lula wins, Brazil panics, then rallies. It’s happened every time. A 16% ROE bank at 7.4x earnings and book value, down 36% in a day. Up to 3.8x
A Brazilian digital bank with 45 million clients fell 36% after Lula’s election, despite 16.3% ROE, 13 record quarters and a 7.4x earnings…
Build-A-Bear Workshop: The Price Assumes Its Worst Quarter Lasts Forever
Build-A-Bear Workshop’s failed pre-made toy line compressed margins, but resilient children’s sales support a $39.39 fair value estimate…
Rafa F. Oliver, CFA 4 clicks
Molina & Kinsale
Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…
Duolingo: The 2027 Bull Case Is Hidden In The Monetization Switch
Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…
Geneva Investor 4 clicksPublications we follow
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Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
Dalius - Special Sits
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
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Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
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Fajasy
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Fierce_beast
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Hunterbrook
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Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
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junkbondinvestor
kab60
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Kuppy
Laughing Water Capital
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Maius
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marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
Mikro Kap David
Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs”
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SG
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ToffCap
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Undiscovered Compounders
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Investor letters we follow
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- Donville Kent Asset Management Inc.
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- Equity Management Associates
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- Focus Capital Management
- Forager Funds Management
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- Highwood Value Partners
- Hinde Group
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- Hosking Partners
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- Infuse Asset Management
- Integrity Asset Management — Micro Cap Value Equity
- Intrepid Capital
- Invenomic Capital Management
- Ironvine Capital Partners
- Ithaka Group — US Growth Strategy
- JB Global Capital
- JM Finn
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- Jemekk Capital Management
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- LVS Advisory
- Lakehouse Capital Global Growth Fund
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- Langdon Equity Partners
- Lansing Street Advisors
- Latitude Investment Management
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- Leonard Rickey Investment Advisors
- Lindsell Train Limited
- Long Cast Advisers
- Loomis Sayles — Global Growth Fund
- Lyrical Asset Management
- MJG Capital
- Madison Investments — Small Cap Fund
- Mairs & Power
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- Markel Group
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- Massif Capital
- Matrix Asset Advisors
- Matthews Asia
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- McIntyre Partnerships
- Meridian Growth Fund
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- Merion Road Capital
- Miller Value Partners
- Miller/Howard Investments
- Minot Light Capital Partners
- Minotaur Capital
- Moerus Capital Management
- Mondrian Investment Partners
- Moneta Group
- Montaka Global Investments
- Moon Capital Management
- Mott Capital Management
- Mountain Vista Wealth Management
- Muhlenkamp & Company
- Munro Partners
- Myrmikan Capital, LLC
- NS Partners
- Nelnet
- Newport Capital Group
- Next Century Growth Investors
- Night Watch Investment Management
- Nightview Capital
- Nixon Capital
- North Sky Capital
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory
- Oak Associates Funds
- Oak Ridge Investments
- Oakmark Funds
- Oceana Investimentos
- Oldfield Partners
- Open Insights Capital
- Ophir Asset Management
- Optimist Fund
- Orange Investment Advisors
- Oujo Wealth Strategies
- Overseas Asset Management Asian Recovery Fund
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- PM Capital
- Packer & Co
- Palm Harbour Capital
- Palm Valley Capital
- Patient Capital Management
- Peak Asset Management
- Peapack Private
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V.
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd.
- Penn Davis McFarland
- Pershing Square Holdings
- Pittenger & Anderson
- Plural Investing
- Polaris Capital Management
- Polen Capital 5Perspectives Growth Opportunities
- Polen Capital U.S. Opportunistic High Yield
- Praetorian Capital
- Private Capital Management
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- Quercus Fund
- RD Capital Partners
- REQ Capital
- RF Capital Management
- RGA Investment Advisors
- ROCKLINC Investment Partners
- Regal Partners Global Investments
- Regency Wealth Management
- Renaissance Investment Management — Large Cap Growth
- Rewey Asset Management
- Right Tail Capital
- RiverPark Funds
- Riverwater Partners
- Robinson Capital Management
- Rowan Street Capital
- Royce Investment Partners
- Rozendal Partners
- SRK Capital
- Saga Partners
- SaltLight Capital
- Sandon Capital — Activist Fund
- Sawgrass Asset Management
- Seafarer Capital Partners
- Sequoia Fund
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- Sharp Capital
- Shelton Capital Management
- Sigil
- Signia Capital Management
- Skybound Wealth Management
- Smead Capital Management
- Social Capital
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- Sound Shore Management
- Southeastern Asset Management
- SouthernSun Asset Management
- Sparrow Wealth Management
- Spyglass Capital Management
- Starvine Capital
- Stenham Asset Management
- Stewart Asset Management
- Steyn Capital
- Stone Ridge Asset Management
- Stone Sentinel Capital
- Stonehearth Capital Management
- Summers Value Partners
- Sustainable Growth Advisers
- TEAM Asset Management
- TIFF Investment Management
- Tall Oak Capital Advisors
- The London Company
- Third Avenue Management
- Third Point
- TimesSquare Capital Management
- Troy Asset Management
- Tweedy, Browne
- Unconventional Value
- Upslope Capital Management
- VH Standard Asset Management
- Value Line Funds
- Victory Capital — Sycamore Mid Cap Value Equity
- Vision Capital Fund
- Vltava Fund
- Voss Capital
- Voya Investment Management — MI Dynamic Small Cap Fund
- Vulcan Value Partners
- Warden Capital
- Wasatch Global Investors — Micro Cap Fund
- Wasatch Global Investors — Small Cap Growth Strategy
- Wealthspire Advisors
- Wedgewood Partners
- Weitz Investment Management
- Wellington Management — Quarterly Market Review
- WestEnd Capital Management
- Westfield Capital Management
- Westwood — Quality SmallCap Fund
- White Brook Capital
- White Falcon Capital Management
- YCG Investments
Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
