Saturday, October 31, 2026

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet 2027 debt maturities.

ABR $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 3 clicks

Oct 31 VRRM $404M

Verra veerer

The Oak Bloke 2 clicks

Oct 31 LIF $4B

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Substack von Philipp 3 clicks

From X

@TheBenSchmark Sep 22

JabroniCoin.USD on X

If Bernstein’s capex numbers for CXMT are anywhere in the ballpark, semicap ought to do well. At this point $ACMR seems to be still be a cheap hedge on memory https://t.co/b4lAZogFcJ https://t.co/kShCjd5m9x

@valuedontlie Sep 22

Colin King on X

$MDT $MMED exchange offer an interesting special sit… Own shares of MDT and swap for MMED at 7% discount Odd lot provision for 99 shares held too High enough share price to be worthwhile ($90+ MDT price works out to $600+ profit in a few weeks time)

@aleabitoreddit Sep 22

Serenity on X

I feel like traditional "value investing" went into hibernation. Before it was finding a 10x -12x P/E company like $UPWK or $PYPL, Dominoes, Pepsi. Or even a cheap Japanese company below book value. Then just enjoying slow growth but buyback/dividend appreciation from their cashflow. Now you can find 1.8x runrate P/E company like $ESMT that grew revenue 605.24% Y/Y. And the main thing you need to argue about is duration. Or a 16.2x trailing P/E Sumitomo, despite having way too many hyperscaler LTAs in AI from fiber to lasers. AI created much bigger medium-term anomaly, where "value investing" went towards high growth, "deep value" companies.

@majgeoinvesting Sep 22 2 clicks

Maj Soueidan on X

Here’s a video from $RFIL website on how their DAC (direct air cooling) product works in large enclosures. In theory, $PSIX might be an interesting channel partner if they have an “at the edge” enclosure presence. DAC is not a hyperscaler solution, but the “edge”is heating up. https://t.co/h8EScDrBlo

@TheBenSchmark Sep 22

JabroniCoin.USD on X

The franchisee in bankruptcy also pointed to the reduced effectiveness of Wendy’s brand marketing and national promotional strategies. $WEN they gonna stop trian? https://t.co/oFWD9DSqud https://t.co/WyL5iMVgs8

@ACapitalLP Sep 22 3 clicks

A Capital on X

Anyone looking at $BBWI as a potential activist-driven pre-deal? Barington pushing for buybacks / strategic alternatives, ~$4bn market cap, ~$1.2bn EBITDA and trading ~5-6x EV/EBITDA. Real FCF business despite the top-line issues. What does this get taken out for if someone can underwrite a turnaround? Cc: Sycamore

@BarbarianCap Sep 21 4 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

Ethan Allen Launches Search for Next Chief Executive $ETD https://t.co/w9liHmiy2F

@irbezek Sep 21 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

What's going down faster, $OPEN's stock price or Rabois' credibility as a geopolitical analyst? https://t.co/ThqR7rsRsO

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

ADT $7.2BBBW $363M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity

Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…

TNGX $3.7B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 30 2 clicks

Build-A-Bear (BBW) Part II: The Scion Capital Analyst Tempate and the All Map

Build-A-Bear’s lease overhaul, off-mall expansion and partner-led wholesale growth reshaped a debt-free retailer with $80 million EBITDA,…

BBW $363M

Cassandra Unchained Oct 29 2 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.4BWGO $903M

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 3 clicks

Kratos: Strong Organic Growth And Production Ramp-Ups Support A Buy Rating

Kratos posted Q2 FY2026 revenue growth of 30.5% to $458.8 million as unmanned systems, propulsion and defense-electronics production ramps…

KTOS $7.7B

Arizona Equity Research Oct 29

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…

GPI $3.2B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 28 1 click

Daktronics (DAKT): Dominant Leader | Deep Dive

Daktronics, the leader in U.S. sports video boards, targets 10-12% EBIT margins after shifting production to China and Mexico and exiting…

DAKT $977M

Hidden Gems Investing Oct 28 6 clicks

Alexandria Real Estate: Market Sees Declining Occupancy, I See Early Recovery Signs (Rating Downgrade)

Alexandria Real Estate (ARE) faces lease expirations and occupancy pressure through 2028, but leasing momentum supports a projected…

ARE $7.4B

Luuk Wierenga Oct 28

Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record

Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…

ENVA $4.4B

Substack von Philipp Oct 28 3 clicks

Innodata responds, Amkor surges, Mega Tech spending on tap

Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.

INOD $1.5B

The Technology Letter Oct 27 6 clicks

PSN · long

Parsons CORP

Parsons generates roughly half of its $6.4 billion revenue from Federal Solutions, serving defense and intelligence customers.

PSN $5.6B

Value Investors Club Aug 2

AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth

AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.

APPF $7.6B

Speedwell Research Oct 27 5 clicks

TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers

TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…

TTMI $7.7B

Nicolas Bolsinger Oct 27 1 click

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII

Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…

KRMN $5.2B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 27 1 click

The Data Center Bridge

Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…

IREN $9.9BFRMI $1.3B

CV's Substack Oct 26 16 clicks

Lula wins, Brazil panics, then rallies. It’s happened every time. A 16% ROE bank at 7.4x earnings and book value, down 36% in a day. Up to 3.8x

A Brazilian digital bank with 45 million clients fell 36% after Lula’s election, despite 16.3% ROE, 13 record quarters and a 7.4x earnings…

INTR $1.7B

Calvin Blissett Oct 26 38 clicks

Build-A-Bear Workshop: The Price Assumes Its Worst Quarter Lasts Forever

Build-A-Bear Workshop’s failed pre-made toy line compressed margins, but resilient children’s sales support a $39.39 fair value estimate…

BBW $363M

Rafa F. Oliver, CFA Oct 26 4 clicks

Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…

KNSL $8.8B

Bearstone Oct 26 8 clicks

Duolingo: The 2027 Bull Case Is Hidden In The Monetization Switch

Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…

DUOL $7.6B

Geneva Investor Oct 26 4 clicks

How to Read a 10-K Like a Short Seller

A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14…

HTZ $684M

Jimmy's Journal Oct 26 69 clicks

Saturday, October 31, 2026

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Colin King on X

Serenity on X

Maj Soueidan on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

A Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Ian Bezek on X

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