Anthropic’s Growth is Slowing: Is AI Capex Next? | The Weekly Wrap
Anthropic’s revenue growth slowed from 147% in Q2 to 45% in Q3, raising questions about AI capital spending as Amazon holds capex flat.
Friday, October 30, 2026
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A Capital on X
Look at $FDXF. A month of underperformance based on “channel checks,” followed by a ~15% move and multiple analyst upgrades after a single session (catalyst day). https://t.co/X81f5cl6Eh https://t.co/FfwGWZlciQ
Barbarian Capital on X
Starbucks sales miss expectations, but its U.S. turnaround is gaining steam $SBUX https://t.co/kPufTMV5zS
Barbarian Capital on X
Reddit stock plunges 30% after weak outlook, heads for worst day ever $RDDT https://t.co/aemPgp56rc
Barbarian Capital on X
BP’s profits surge to new record on high fuel prices $BP https://t.co/bUl30Vb4Ti
DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X
Woah, massive $PESI news out tonight... DOE breaks ground on new cleanup system at Hanford Site - Elkhorn Media Group https://t.co/jYZklPDW4S
SouthernValue on X
Meanwhile @OpenAI pulled IPO and can barely get its latest funding round off. $META and $GOOG will win consumer AI. https://t.co/eqJPtwTTwh
SouthernValue on X
What year will $MSFT take @OpenAI into receivership?
Barbarian Capital on X
CD&R pursues buyout of $40 bn card processor Global Payments $GPN https://t.co/Wil5Zf6xn7
Investor Letters
All letters- Artisan Partners Q3 2026 HDLMY $32BIQV $43B
- Sound Shore Management third quarter of 2026 BP $125BLUV $21B
- Curreen Capital July–September 2026 CLVT $1.4BAAP $2.9B
- Aristotle Funds third quarter of 2026
- Troy Asset Management No. 90 2026
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 OCTV $5.7BAMZN $2.9T
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SNY Earnings Review
Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.
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Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts
Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.
Amazon 3Q’26: Trillion Dollar Talks
Amazon projects AWS growth above 40% through 2028 while funding a $220 billion capex plan with rising debt and an $80 billion equipment…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Alphabet's Post-Earnings Selloff Is The Best Buying Opportunity In Years
Alphabet's Google Cloud operating income more than tripled to $11.1 billion, while EPS fell 26% on a $2.76 billion SpaceX paper loss.
Rick Orford 5 clicks
Earnings Review: $AMZN and $LLY
Amazon’s AWS revenue grew 39% to $46B as capex drove negative FCF; Lilly raised 2026 guidance to $91-92B on GLP-1 volume growth.
Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.
Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…
Alphabet: Don’t Search for a Straight Line in Innovation
Alphabet’s Q3 2026 cloud growth stayed strong while Search revenue growth slowed to 12%, with higher AI capital spending driving negative…
Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity
Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…
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PESI · long Perma-fix Environmental Svcs
Perma-Fix Environmental Services (PESI) is presented as a long investment idea.
Peloton: Subscriber Squeeze
Peloton’s improved balance sheet has not stopped weak subscription trends or sharp volatility, prompting purchases near $3.70, a later…
40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)
Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…
WD #353: Colombia, Earnings (INTR, BRKR, TEAM)
Colombia’s Abelardo de la Espriella signals tax cuts and an Ecopetrol revival, while Inter & Co.
Preview of the Week Ahead: W/C August 10, 2026
Week of August 10 brings CPI, PPI and retail-sales data after the S&P 500 rose 3.0% and Nasdaq 4.73%; Bitcoin remains below its 200-day…
CBRS Update, WOLF/NVTS Lawsuit, HBF Spec Analysis, Aeva WTF, Taalas/AMD, AAOI, TSEM, uLED Jihad
Cerebras’s upcoming WSE 3.5 targets power delivery and clock speeds; the analysis argues parametric yield, not defect routing, is key to…
💥New Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Filing - Hughes Satellite Systems Corporation💥
Hughes Satellite Systems, owned by EchoStar, and 11 affiliates filed Chapter 11 cases in the Southern District of Texas on August 2, 2026.
Genius Sports: Update Post Earnings
Genius Sports reported $195.5 million revenue, up 65%, and signed Kalshi for soccer data, expanding sports-data sales to prediction markets…
Uber: The Market Is Wrong, Time to Buy!
Uber trades at 16x 2027 earnings after robotaxi disruption fears drove shares 25% below their highs, despite 16% trailing growth.
The Last Bidder
Aquarian won Brighthouse Financial despite a lower bid after higher offers failed to secure reinsurance for its legacy liabilities and thin…
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