Anthropic’s Growth is Slowing: Is AI Capex Next? | The Weekly Wrap
Anthropic’s revenue growth slowed from 147% in Q2 to 45% in Q3, raising questions about AI capital spending as Amazon holds capex flat.
Friday, October 30, 2026
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Look at $FDXF. A month of underperformance based on “channel checks,” followed by a ~15% move and multiple analyst upgrades after a single session (catalyst day). https://t.co/X81f5cl6Eh https://t.co/FfwGWZlciQ
Barbarian Capital on X
Starbucks sales miss expectations, but its U.S. turnaround is gaining steam $SBUX https://t.co/kPufTMV5zS
Barbarian Capital on X
Reddit stock plunges 30% after weak outlook, heads for worst day ever $RDDT https://t.co/aemPgp56rc
Barbarian Capital on X
BP’s profits surge to new record on high fuel prices $BP https://t.co/bUl30Vb4Ti
SouthernValue on X
Meanwhile @OpenAI pulled IPO and can barely get its latest funding round off. $META and $GOOG will win consumer AI. https://t.co/eqJPtwTTwh
SouthernValue on X
What year will $MSFT take @OpenAI into receivership?
Barbarian Capital on X
CD&R pursues buyout of $40 bn card processor Global Payments $GPN https://t.co/Wil5Zf6xn7
Barbarian Capital on X
"higher sales and recent cost-savings efforts weren’t able to fully offset steeper-than-expected inflation." $NWL Newell Brands Swings to Loss Despite Higher Sales https://t.co/WPRdY3lzz3
Investor Letters
All letters- Artisan Partners Q3 2026 HDLMY $32BIQV $45B
- Sound Shore Management third quarter of 2026 BP $125BLUV $21B
- Curreen Capital July–September 2026 CLVT $1.1BAAP $2.9B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 OCTV $5.7BAMZN $2.6T
- East 72 Period to 30 September 2026 BOIVF $12BAVOL $8.1B
- Broyhill Asset Management third quarter 2026 CACI $15BGOOGL $3.4T
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SNY Earnings Review
Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.
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Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts
Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.
Amazon 3Q’26: Trillion Dollar Talks
Amazon projects AWS growth above 40% through 2028 while funding a $220 billion capex plan with rising debt and an $80 billion equipment…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Alphabet's Post-Earnings Selloff Is The Best Buying Opportunity In Years
Alphabet's Google Cloud operating income more than tripled to $11.1 billion, while EPS fell 26% on a $2.76 billion SpaceX paper loss.
Rick Orford 5 clicks
Earnings Review: $AMZN and $LLY
Amazon’s AWS revenue grew 39% to $46B as capex drove negative FCF; Lilly raised 2026 guidance to $91-92B on GLP-1 volume growth.
Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.
Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…
Alphabet: Don’t Search for a Straight Line in Innovation
Alphabet’s Q3 2026 cloud growth stayed strong while Search revenue growth slowed to 12%, with higher AI capital spending driving negative…
Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity
Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…
Terry Chrisomalis 2 clicks
CCOI · long Cogent Communications Hldgs
Cogent Communications (CCOI) is presented as a long investment idea, revisiting prior bull cases from 2022 and 2025.
GLP-1 winners and losers
GLP-1 drugs are gaining traction across Asia as Chinese developers advance candidates and Indian generics slash prices, reshaping prospects…
lululemon: A Fall From Grace, But I'm Still Holding On (Rating Downgrade)
Lululemon’s Q2 revenue fell 3.2% and core product sales dropped 20%, while tariff refunds masked worsening Americas margins and comparable…
Gytis Zizys 
Jensen Huang on the 'Irresponsible' AI Doomers, RSI, and Dario's Essay
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang calls AI extinction forecasts irresponsible and says frontier labs should fix safety failures through engineering,…
Bloom Energy: Valuation Attractive, Buy This Dip
Bloom Energy's Q2 2026 revenue rose 165.5% as AI data-center demand lifted fuel-cell sales, prompting $3.9 billion to $4.2 billion…
Oakoff Investments 
No Cap? Currently Capped by Three Hundredths of a Percent: Medtronic’s MiniMed Split-Off Odd Lot
Medtronic’s MiniMed split-off gives odd-lot MDT holders priority on a 7% discounted exchange, but a 4.5939-share cap has begun reducing the…
Vera Rubin NVL72 Agentic Inference: 67x better Performance per Dollar
Nvidia’s Vera Rubin NVL72 delivers up to 67x better agentic inference performance per dollar than Blackwell, according to SemiAnalysis…
One Hour Analysis: ($LILAP) Liberty Latin America's 9% Preferred. What is John Malone Up To This Time?
Liberty Latin America’s LILAP 9% cumulative preferred yields 10.8%, backed by Cable & Wireless cash flow and $48.9 million of insider…
Dassault Aviation: Rafale Upside Makes This A Strong Buy
Dassault Aviation reported 46% first-half sales growth and a €45.4 billion backlog, with Rafale F5 demand offsetting Falcon 10X delays and…
Dhierin Bechai 1 click
Meta’s Trojan Horse for the Consumer Internet
Meta’s Muse strategy targets the consumer internet through a Trojan-horse product.
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