Friday, October 30, 2026

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

ADT $7.2BBBW $327M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Oct 29 OSS $129M

OSS Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Analysis

Cestrian Capital Research 1 click

Oct 29 BBW $327M

Build-A-Bear (BBW) Part II: The Scion Capital Analyst Tempate and the All Map

Cassandra Unchained 2 clicks

From X

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 26

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

@voltino_cro We bought $VNO preferred a few years back at 11.5% yield We've done over 20% CAGR for almost 4 years now Just added a little bit recent at a 8.3% yield

@stockgutter Oct 26 1 click

SG on X

anyone buying Brazil today? Had several aggressive stinkbids in. Only one hit so far, $XP at 14.75. Will probably cover with calls. https://t.co/53Pn9RoLEs

@StableBread Oct 26 1 click

Fajasy on X

On EV to year-end ARR, Boost Run $BRUN now trades below CoreWeave $CRWV, Nebius $NBIS, and $IREN. At $8.89/share, $BRUN’s EV is $989.7M. That’s 2.5x its $400M target for year-end ARR, down from 5.4x at the $22.93 price in my August 16 update. EV is market cap plus debt and lease liabilities, less unrestricted cash, using October 16 closes and June 30 balance sheets ($BRUN’s cash is pro forma for the warrant exercises). ARR is the midpoint of each company’s year-end 2026 target, which is $18.5-19.5B for CoreWeave, $7-9B for Nebius, $400M for $BRUN, and more than $4B for $IREN. At 2.5x, $BRUN trades below all three peers, including $IREN at 3.2x. A reasonable range for $BRUN is 2.5-5.0x, from where it trades today to just under the midpoint of CoreWeave’s 4.2x and Nebius’s 5.9x. I use the peers’ median rather than their average, since Nebius’s 5.9x skews the average higher. Nebius also owns more than 75% of its contracted power, while $BRUN owns no data centers (a different model, not a weakness).

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 26 4 clicks

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

As someone who grew up in the restaurant business and provided a lot of free child labor, there is nothing passive or boring about any of these businesses. These kind of tweets are harmful! Want 7.2-8.3% passive income? You may want to consider the $REXR $PSA $VNO preferred https://t.co/y1NuP1BOcD

@valuedontlie Oct 26

Colin King on X

Flagstar $FLG probably outside my "circle of competence" but can't help looking... Cut FY27 EPS guidance from $1.65 to $0.90 (ouch) and pushed out to FY28 (because higher rates?) $60bn loan book with half of it in questionable CRE/MF loans concentrated in NYC (former NYCB), another ~third in growing C&I loan book Efficiency ratio ugly $10 stock with $15/sh TBV = 0.67x Maybe a value trap?

@BarbarianCap Oct 26 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

$EWZ : $SPY Lula : AOC 2026 : 2028 -25% : -XX%

@InvestSpecial Oct 26 1 click

Dalius - Special Sits on X

$NDLS is back at SSI write-up levels after a wild ride. Q3 results are weeks away, and the strategic review could wrap up soon. Activists own >50%, and a sale would give them a clear way out. Stock looks interesting again. Full update on SSI👇 https://t.co/5NMtZQjCME

@junkbondinvest Oct 26 1 click

junkbondinvestor on X

Every investor learns it eventually. EM is a trade, not an investment. $EWZ

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.4BWGO $842M

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 2 clicks

Duos Technologies Pivot To Data Center Pods Is Gaining Traction

Duos Technologies, DUOT, has shifted to modular edge data center pods, with Q2 revenue up 30% to $6.18 million and FY27 revenue guided…

DUOT $192M

Shareholders Unite Oct 29 2 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…

GPI $3.1B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 28 1 click

Daktronics (DAKT): Dominant Leader | Deep Dive

Daktronics, the leader in U.S. sports video boards, targets 10-12% EBIT margins after shifting production to China and Mexico and exiting…

DAKT $913M

Hidden Gems Investing Oct 28 6 clicks

Alexandria Real Estate: Market Sees Declining Occupancy, I See Early Recovery Signs (Rating Downgrade)

Alexandria Real Estate (ARE) faces lease expirations and occupancy pressure through 2028, but leasing momentum supports a projected…

ARE $7.1B

Luuk Wierenga Oct 28

Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record

Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…

ENVA $4.3B

Substack von Philipp Oct 28 3 clicks

Innodata responds, Amkor surges, Mega Tech spending on tap

Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.

INOD $1.6B

The Technology Letter Oct 27 6 clicks

AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth

AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.

APPF $7.6B

Speedwell Research Oct 27 5 clicks

TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers

TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…

TTMI $8.6B

Nicolas Bolsinger Oct 27 1 click

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII

Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…

KRMN $5B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 27 1 click

RYZ · long

Ryerson Holding CORP

Ryerson Holding (RYZ) is a long position following its all-stock merger with Olympic Steel, at 1.7105 RYZ shares per Olympic Steel share.

RYZ $1.5B

Value Investors Club Aug 1

Miami International: Q3 Growth And Operating Leverage Impress (Rating Upgrade)

Miami International Holdings posted 20% Q3 revenue growth and 47% EBITDA growth as options volumes, market-share gains and operating…

MIAX $3.2B

Seeking Profits Oct 29 4 clicks

The Data Center Bridge

Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…

FRMI $1.9B

CV's Substack Oct 26 16 clicks

Lula wins, Brazil panics, then rallies. It’s happened every time. A 16% ROE bank at 7.4x earnings and book value, down 36% in a day. Up to 3.8x

A Brazilian digital bank with 45 million clients fell 36% after Lula’s election, despite 16.3% ROE, 13 record quarters and a 7.4x earnings…

INTR $1.8B

Calvin Blissett Oct 26 38 clicks

Build-A-Bear Workshop: The Price Assumes Its Worst Quarter Lasts Forever

Build-A-Bear Workshop’s failed pre-made toy line compressed margins, but resilient children’s sales support a $39.39 fair value estimate…

BBW $327M

Rafa F. Oliver, CFA Oct 26 4 clicks

Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…

KNSL $8.3B

Bearstone Oct 26 8 clicks

How to Read a 10-K Like a Short Seller

A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14…

HTZ $684M

Jimmy's Journal Oct 26 69 clicks

WD 361: Brazil, JetBlue Bankruptcy, Mexican Airlines Merger

Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.

JBLU $1.2BINTR $1.8B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 25 11 clicks

💥Is Getty a Prepack in Name Only?💥

Getty Images' 2026 Chapter 11 filing is challenged as a prepack after warrant litigation, a failed Shutterstock merger and AI pressure.

SSTK $160M

PETITION Oct 25 4 clicks

Digital Marketing Leader Klaviyo Deserves A Strong Buy

Klaviyo's customer-data platform and new AI Composer product underpin a bullish growth case, with Salesforce's Braze acquisition cited as a…

KVYO $5.8B

Fountainhead Oct 25 2 clicks

Friday, October 30, 2026

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

SG on X

Fajasy on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Colin King on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Dalius - Special Sits on X

junkbondinvestor on X

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