TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Friday, October 30, 2026
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From X
Brian McGough on X
Our call has been to be Short Retail, and Long 'boring' retailers -- things like $BBWI, $GIL, $VVV, $DRVN. Revenue inflecting positive on all three, stocks should grind higher through 2H, while the rest of retail melts down. https://t.co/4HTXOpOsaz
Brian McGough on X
Best Idea Short $FND should literally be down 20% on this print alone. Across the board guide-down and cutting unit growth AGAIN. Winners don't cut unit growth when times are tough, they LEAN-IN and accelerate investment. But in FND's case it's about cash preservation. Bulls are having major thesis drift here.
catechwilliams on X
$PLUS Earnings on 8/5, expectations & stock disconnected from reality. Suppliers ($CSCO – 50% of product sales), competitors & customers all reporting sharp sales declines. Non-event PR today re a service they’ve been offering for 3 yrs is pumping stock; suggests mgmt is grasping
Brian McGough on X
Only ONE Firm has a 'Short' on $HELE today... Those $140 price targets are going to have to come down by well over $100...Just sayin... https://t.co/PAUJtlnhCv
Brian McGough on X
Congratulations to $HELE management for executing the worst timed stock repo I've ever seen. Buying $100mm in the quarter just shows how little they know about what's actually going on with their business. @HedgeyeRetailJM is this a ZERO?
Brian McGough on X
$HELE elevated on Short list last month, and delivered a killer Black Book outlining why you want to short the name everyone thinks is so damn cheap (which it's not) last week. Stock could still be cut in half from here -- even on a big down move today. https://t.co/YN5Hrtfu8q
Brian McGough on X
Thanks to Spruce Point for making our $FND Short Call! The work we've done on this name is the best work we've done -- on ANY name -- EVER. @HedgeyeRetailJM @hedgeyeretailrw
Investor Letters
All letters- Curreen Capital July–September 2026 CLVT $1.4BAAP $2.9B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 OCTV $5.6BCALY $3B
- East 72 Period to 30 September 2026 AVOL $8.2BFCODF $4.8B
- Broyhill Asset Management third quarter 2026 MFP $1.9BVVV $4.4B
- Fairtree Asset Management Q3 2026 SSL $9.7B
- Alluvial Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 BSVN $553MGDOT $727M
- 1 Main Capital third quarter 2026 BFIT $2.2BHGV $3.3B
- Polaris Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 G $6.8BLKQ $5.1B
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