Thursday, October 29, 2026

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.4B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 2 clicks

Oct 28 GPI $3.1B

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Cannibal Stocks 1 click

Oct 28 ENVA $4.3B

Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record

Substack von Philipp 3 clicks

From X

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 29

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

More $CUBE news Sold 80% to Heitman in a JV valued $197mm at a roughly mid 5% cap rate and used proceeds to buy back better assets like those in NYC in that 6.3% to 6.5% cap rate range Improves quality and sell non-core at lower cap rate than higher quality assets Retains management and builds annuity mgt fee stream

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 29

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

I have consistently talked about buying $CUBE in the past year and highlighted their incredible NYC/NNJ portfolio It accounts for 1/4 of the company's NOI, up 5.5% in Q3 on a YOY basis. Moves the needle. Overall NOI up 2.1% YOY High barrier, no rent regs like housing, truly a great asset NOI declines mostly in Sunbelt high supply markets Story is as old as time Bought at a rough 6.7% cap about a year ago at $36 ish now $41.08 plus about $2.12 in dividends since Not too shabby for a 20% one year return for buying a high quality SS with low leverage

@orrdavid Oct 29

David Orr on X

$PURR https://t.co/yeJJ2cHVeE

@stockgutter Oct 29

SG on X

$CAKE execs are sellers into the political hype. Form 144s filed today indicate ~$3m of sales. https://t.co/3UrKd4AXRe

@stockgutter Oct 29

SG on X

$COLM Columbia Sportswear is the latest apparel manufacturer to post a good report. Per market pulse, the apparel manufacturers overall are up 15.43% over the past month. Np in Columbia but I own $VFC (North Face) and others. https://t.co/jGMxLBridY

@david_katunaric Oct 29

Mikro Kap David on X

Well timed by insiders. $HOG turnaround going better than I thought it would. https://t.co/MnY4WBAEQY

@david_katunaric Oct 29

Mikro Kap David on X

For anyone chasing yield while everyone seems bearish on duration, I noticed that $VNO preferreds are currently yielding >8.2%, while Manhattan office leasing activity is at its strongest level since 2000. At the same time, I struggle to see credit risk here. The sector seems to have weathered the worst of the downturn, Vornado's balance sheet looks more than capable of handling its corporate debt obligations, and several major refinancings are now behind it. Personally, my hurdle is higher, and as a 🇭🇷 investor, the currency risk and 30% US dividend withholding tax make the setup much less attractive to me. But I figured it was worth sharing for anyone looking for income opportunities.

@AsifSuria Oct 29

Asif Suria on X

This has been a very active week for M&A activity with 6 new deals announced and half of them over $10 billion in size. The largest spread is for the acquisition of Maplebear (the weird name for Instacart) $CART by DoorDash $DASH with the deal trading for a 11% discount to the acquisition price. Considering what happened with the merger of the uniform rental companies UniFirst $UNF and Cintas this week and Mayor Mamdani's comments about the Instacart acquisition, it is not going to be easy for DoorDash to get this deal to the finish line.

AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth

AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.

APPF $7.6B

Speedwell Research Oct 27 5 clicks

TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers

TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…

TTMI $8.6B

Nicolas Bolsinger Oct 27 1 click

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII

Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…

KRMN $5B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 27 1 click

Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…

KNSL $8.3B

Bearstone Oct 26 8 clicks

Duolingo: The 2027 Bull Case Is Hidden In The Monetization Switch

Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…

DUOL $6.4B

Geneva Investor Oct 26 4 clicks

Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?

Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.

SIG $4.4B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 25 20 clicks

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…

BLKB $2.4B

Calvin Blissett Oct 24 81 clicks

ExlService: A Boring Compounder That Could Double

EXLService's AI-led business, 61% of revenue and growing 30% year over year, trades at 18 times forward earnings after legacy digital…

EXLS $6.3B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Oct 24 4 clicks

Oscar Health: Up Over 200% From The March Lows, Still Room To Run (Ticker: OSCR)

Oscar Health raised 2026 operating earnings guidance to $600 million-$800 million after ACA-marketplace expansion drove 60% membership and…

OSCR $9.4B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 23 5 clicks

Trade Alert - Long RIG

HFI Portfolio bought 94,214 shares of Transocean, RIG, for $570,000 at $6.05 per share.

RIG $7.4B

HFI Research Oct 22 10 clicks

KRYS · short

Krystal Biotech INC

Krystal Biotech is a profitable commercial-stage biotech with an $8.7 billion enterprise value and one FDA-approved topical gene therapy,…

KRYS $9.7B

Value Investors Club Jun 3

Short LUMN

Lumen Technologies faces a fading boost from its PCF-related sugar high.

LUMN $4.9B

Shallow Dives Mar 25

✅ Buying AI Beneficiaries and Selling One AI-disrupted Business

Sleep Well Portfolio is selling SPS Commerce as AI-vulnerable and adding Veeva, Mercado Libre, Cellebrite and Sea, citing proprietary data,…

CLBT $3B

Sleep Well Investments Mar 12

Low-Entropy Businesses: Why Some Companies Quietly Endure (Part II)

OMA, Diageo and Alpine railways show how fixed concessions, enduring rituals and irreplaceable geography can create durable operating…

OMAB $4.9B

Ezra's Notes Mar 3

Single Stock Spotlight #3: Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)

Alpha Metallurgical Resources has retired more than 30% of its shares since 2022; higher structural metallurgical-coal costs could support…

AMR $2B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Mar 3

Sleep Well Portfolio (Feb 2026) - Software AI risk Assessed

Sleep Well Portfolio cuts SPS Commerce after assessing AI risk across 12 software holdings, finding deterministic, rule-based data…

SPSC $3.1B

Sleep Well Investments Mar 2

Shift4 Company Podcast Episode Released!

Shift4 built its payments business by acquiring gateway nodes and migrating merchants to its processing platform; revenue has compounded…

FOUR $3B

Speedwell Memos Feb 19 1 click

The Skills AI Can’t Replace

Duolingo is presented as an AI-resilient opportunity after SaaS stocks sold off on fears that coding tools will compress software moats,…

DUOL $6.4B

Modern Value Investing Feb 15

The Great Rotation: Long Live the Old Economy — Weekly Treasure Hunt #04

Vaca Muerta’s $36–45-per-barrel breakevens, Milei reforms and $17 billion infrastructure buildout underpin the bullish case for Vista…

VIST $7.8B

Treasure Hunting Feb 15

FDA vs. HIMS: Why the Oral “Wegovy Copy” Crackdown Changes the GLP-1 Game

FDA’s crackdown on HIMS’s $49 compounded oral Wegovy copy reshapes GLP-1 competition after Novo Nordisk forecast 2026 sales and profit…

HIMS $6.5B

Modern Value Investing Feb 8

Thursday, October 29, 2026

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

David Orr on X

SG on X

SG on X

Mikro Kap David on X

Mikro Kap David on X

Asif Suria on X

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