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Wednesday, October 28, 2026

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@leevalueroach

Lee Roach on X

The management team at $NCMI are idiots. Pausing the dividend and buyback to buy an operate of digital video elevator and lobby advertising in office buildings. For $275 million. They pulled guidance too and net leverage is 3.9x. They are buying this garbage at 14.5x 2025 EBITDA. The $3.5 million of annualized syngeries only gets you to 12.2x EBITDA. And they are headlining a 10x acquisition multiple. Any management team that spends shareholder capital buying overvalued assets needs to be fired.
@KEDM_COM

KEDM.com on X

Stride’s $LRN CEO James Rhyu seems to be getting canned and will be replaced by old-timer Robert Knowling. Is the 71-year-old CEO the right person to run a company that’s struggling with tech implementations, or is he better suited to manage relations with school boards? To calm the markets, LRN pre-released earnings in line with expectations, but they failed to comment on enrollment figures, which spooked markets. This has been a volatile name. If they guide to a return to growth in Q1, this should re-rate from the 9x FCF it currently trades at. If for some reason enrollments decline because parents are holding a grudge after a year of tech issues, watch out below. Operating leverage is very strong here. Mr. Knowling’s contract includes a change-of-control provision.
@majgeoinvesting

Maj Soueidan on X

Just finished going over the $BWEN Q2 earnings script. There might be a glimmer of hope it to keep it interesting in the short term: •Unfortunately, 19% EBITDA industrial segment margins will “fall to more normal levels.” For the last three years, that’s ranged between 11 and 15%. However, revenue will be above historical levels. •Backlog is exceptionally strong, with visibility out to 2028. These guys have never had that kind of visibility. •It looks like a chance for profitability comes from me two scenarios. 1). Aggressively growing the industrial segment because it doesn’t look like margin expansion will occur. 2). The gearing segment EBITDA margins have been historically low, under 10%. So an expansion there, while also getting revenue growth might be interesting. •As far as acquisitions go, I’m not holding out for them finding a great deal. You have to think that valuations will be extended. I would actually prefer them to take their time, by being patient and growing organically - filling some of the available capacity they have right now. •In the end, it’s all about margins for these guys. They really have had a hard time keeping them stable.

Investor Letters

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The Data Center Bridge

Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…

IREN $9.9BFRMI $1.3B
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Amkor Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Amkor's Q3 sales were flat at $1.991 billion as computing and automotive/industrial growth offset a 27% communications decline; Q4 sales…

AMKR $8.8B
Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…

KNSL $8.8B
Bearstone 8 clicks
WULF · long

Terawulf INC

TeraWulf is shifting from bitcoin mining toward data centers, seeking a higher-quality and more defensive business model.

WULF $5B
Value Investors Club

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/23/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ally’s improving credit and capital returns, Pepsi’s weak beverage brands, and Match Group’s plan to revive…

MTCH $9.7B
TSOH Investment Research 5 clicks

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