Tuesday, October 27, 2026

How to Read a 10-K Like a Short Seller

A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14 accounting as a case study.

HTZ $684M

Jimmy's Journal Oct 26 69 clicks

Oct 24 RNGR $315M

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Calvin Blissett 81 clicks

Oct 23 EROC $402M

Research & Analysis: ERock, Inc. (NYSE: EROC)

Monte Independent Investment Research 11 clicks

From X

@ToffCap May 11 1 click

ToffCap on X

Whenever there's a very strong move on earnings, I always check it out and almost always add / buy. From experience I know that the market generally doesn't price strong news properly. At best, most often the share price will only reflect the earnings dynamics, but not any multiple rerating. And in case of VERY strong earnings (such as $EVC) the market will not even price those properly, leaving plenty to go for the price on both earnings and multiple rerating. People in it for a trade will sell down on the massive move. Those that made a bundle might also, as the position becomes too large. And others who missed it are biased in buying something that already ran so much. This often leads to a few days of 'pressure', and a good moment to add. And then the market does its work.

@Fierce__beast May 11

Fierce_beast on X

the bear case for $udmy / $COUR https://t.co/fN3TS2Jmm3

@DevinLaSarre May 10

Devin LaSarre on X

Newest out: Logista: Still Truckin' $LOG $IMBBY $MO $PM $BTI $STG $HAYPP https://t.co/7p5IFSBnJf

@marginofdanger May 9 1 click

marginofdanger on X

The SF housing market is on fire. Should bode very well for $FPH's Candlestick project, including finding financing partners. https://t.co/vFjXoS2coK

@TimyanBankAlert May 8

Timyan Bank Alert on X

@DrSichuan at this rate, a few more. I'm amazed people keep voting for Chevis' slate. He had ten years where he could have and should have sold to $FBMS for a large premium to today's price. The $PFBX over Chevis decades-long regime is anemic.

@jawagner92 May 8

Odd Lot Arbitrageur on X

MDVT is smaller and trades at approx. half the multiple of CMTV. Disclosure: long $MDVT

@jawagner92 May 8

Odd Lot Arbitrageur on X

Dominant local franchise: 5 branches and 56% deposit market share in Addison county. ~2/3 of loan book in resi mortgages. Owns most of its office locations and 50% of a $1.6b trust company in a JV with $CMTV.

@jawagner92 May 8

Odd Lot Arbitrageur on X

National Bank of Middlebury $MDVT: one of the oldest community banks in the country; received its charter in 1831. Trades at +/- 7x ntm earnings. https://t.co/ZryrKkgLGm

Namib Minerals: Research Flash

Namib Minerals’ How Mine mill reached 55,000 tonnes per month, 36% above prior capacity, while a proposed $30 million Ecobank facility…

NAMM $43M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 25 2 clicks

Bimergen Energy: Research Flash

Bimergen Energy filed for a Texas retail-power license to supply data centers directly and gained eligibility for federal contracts through…

BESS $19M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 25 3 clicks

💥Is Getty a Prepack in Name Only?💥

Getty Images' 2026 Chapter 11 filing is challenged as a prepack after warrant litigation, a failed Shutterstock merger and AI pressure.

GETY $8MSSTK $160M

PETITION Oct 25 4 clicks

Unicycive (UNCY):

Unicycive’s oxylanthanum carbonate NDA earned a March 25, 2027 PDUFA date after two manufacturing-related rejections, with no FDA clinical…

UNCY $104M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Oct 22 4 clicks

Moon River Moly: Research Note

Moon River Moly’s updated Davidson PEA lifts after-tax NPV to $1.24 billion as flotation raises tungsten output 350% and cuts molybdenum…

MRIVF $22M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 21 4 clicks

BMBL 2026-10-21

Bumble is being taken private

Bumble agreed to a $6.05-per-share cash sale to Ithaca Holdings, 136% above its October 2 share price.

BMBL $790M

Modern Value Investing Oct 21 8 clicks

GLOO, part two

Gloo faces related-party deals, insider-heavy IPO ownership, acquisition losses and $84.5 million of CEO-backed puts as it burns cash and…

GLOO $268M

Guardian Research Oct 21 4 clicks

Carecloud News

CareCloud may attract a private-equity buyer after its Q3 call, with acquiring enough shares the main obstacle to a take-private deal.

CCLD $75M

Calvin Blissett Oct 20 12 clicks

AGI Inc: The Bargain Is Even More Attractive

AGI Inc trades at 5.6x earnings after a 35% post-IPO decline, despite roughly 30% ROE and resilient INSS payroll-loan growth.

AGBK $832M

Multiplo Invest Oct 20 14 clicks

💥Hain Celestial: Earthly Issues💥

Hain Celestial sold its North American snacks business for $115 million as declining sales and EBITDA left $558 million of secured debt…

HAIN $14M

PETITION Oct 20 6 clicks

SAMG · long

Silvercrest Asset Mgt

Silvercrest Asset Management is framed as undervalued while funding an ambitious investment cycle.

SAMG $85M

Value Investors Club Jul 29

Build-A-Bear Workshop: The Price Assumes Its Worst Quarter Lasts Forever

Build-A-Bear Workshop’s failed pre-made toy line compressed margins, but resilient children’s sales support a $39.39 fair value estimate…

BBW $363M

Rafa F. Oliver, CFA Oct 26 4 clicks

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $537M

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 19 21 clicks

Sell Eagle Point Credit Now - Match The Loss With Portfolio Gains To Lower Income Taxes

Eagle Point Credit's NAV is down 25% YTD and shares nearly 50%, while its expense ratio climbed to 9.21% despite a 25% yield.

ECC $350M

Anthony Cataldo Oct 19 5 clicks

Build-A-Bear: A Narrower Path

Build-A-Bear's push into prestuffed toys and broader retail distribution tests brand stretchability, but recent results warrant caution.

BBW $363M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 19 18 clicks

LendingTree (NASDAQ: $TREE) – A Cyclical Comeback Story Priced as if the Cycle Never Turns

LendingTree derives roughly two-thirds of revenue from insurance and trades near 4 times expected adjusted earnings despite record revenue,…

TREE $405M

Substack von Philipp Oct 19 11 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (12th-18th October) 🖨️

Elutia’s antibiotic-eluting surgical matrices target breast-surgery infections, with Minot Light valuing $100 million in sales at a…

ELUT $37M

Capital Employed Oct 19 71 clicks

First Financial: Acquisitions Drive 2027 Growth

First Financial’s merger with First Illinois Financial is expected to lift net interest income and ROE from 2027 after Q2 net income rose…

THFF $942M

Sorrento Research Oct 18 2 clicks

GLOO: Gloo's own filings make the short case

Gloo's $3.25 follow-on, going-concern warning and $28.0 million first-half cash burn frame the short case against its acquisition-driven…

GLOO $268M

Guardian Research Oct 16 18 clicks

Twenty Years in the Dark

Tower Properties, $TPRP, went dark after a 2006 squeeze-out cut holders below 300, leaving a Kemper-controlled apartment and office…

TPRP $128M

Orphan REITs Oct 16 6 clicks

Tuesday, October 27, 2026

ToffCap on X

Fierce_beast on X

Devin LaSarre on X

marginofdanger on X

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Odd Lot Arbitrageur on X

Odd Lot Arbitrageur on X

Odd Lot Arbitrageur on X

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