Tuesday, October 27, 2026

How to Read a 10-K Like a Short Seller

A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14 accounting as a case study.

HTZ $709M

Jimmy's Journal Oct 26 69 clicks

Oct 25 SSTK $160M

💥Is Getty a Prepack in Name Only?💥

PETITION 4 clicks

Oct 24 RNGR $357M

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Calvin Blissett 81 clicks

From X

@eriksen_tim Oct 27

Tim Eriksen on X

@ericgold34 Been buying $UBAB lately. A few I have not followed closely. Some are very illiquid.

@majgeoinvesting Oct 27

Maj Soueidan on X

$ULBI 😡😡😡 well, at least I can say I used to own it😂. https://t.co/RRNt29oewi

@eriksen_tim Oct 27

Tim Eriksen on X

First ECIP repurchase has occurred. From M&F Proxy Supplement $MFBP Others to watch $CZBS $UBAB $BFCC $PDLB $MNMB $SFDL $PCB $BYFC $NMBF $HRBK $IBWC https://t.co/2gh1b3W6X4

@IdeaBrunchEmail Oct 27

Idea Brunch on X

Idea Brunch with T. Heath Fountain, CEO of Colony Bancorp $CBAN We are looking to interview more excellent business operators; please DM with nominations! https://t.co/RAU7Q7vF0m

@leevalueroach Oct 27

Lee Roach on X

Clearwater Paper $CLW is a sitting duck for an aggressive activist. Stock is down 30% today. Management has zero at risk capital and all of the shares they own were given to them. No insider buys and only sells. Then this Stanford goofy comes in and buys their Augusta Mill for a ridiculously stupid valuation. He spent shareholders capital at the peak of the cycle for this capex pig at $1,184/ton. This mill has been a problem since day one and now is driving the stock down 30% today because they have to spend even more money on downtime for this POS. And then Mr. Arsen puts this POS in his header on LinkedIn. Only way they can realize value for this is by selling entire company or literally Arsen changing his name to Arson and torching this thing to the ground. The only thing Arsen is doing is torching shareholder capital here. There is no one stopping an activist here imo. Management owns 2% of the shares all from awards. No open market buys from insiders, only sells. Shareholders are visibly unhappy with say on pay support falling four years in a row and 2026 equity pay passed with only 54.5%. There is also no poison pill, all eight seats are up at the 2027 meeting and there is a fat change in control so management will get paid if you can get this dog shit sold. Also bank debt can be prepaid at par and that won't block a buyer. Suzano was exploring a bid in 2024 and Koch/Georgia-Pacific are logical buyers. Idea is to buy all the dog shit $CLW owns and shut it down and it fixes the oversupply in the market. Activist playbook is to buy a big block, flip the board, run a sales process and focus on capital discipline. I think you could sell this for $560/ton which is around $31/share, more than 2x current valuation. Management has blown their entire load on this dumb Augusta facility at the peak and it continues to cost shareholders who have at risk capital money. Management are employees who get paid no matter what happens. Activists should apply here. Fat pitch imo.

@KEDM_COM Oct 27

KEDM.com on X

Pale Fire is very rapidly building a large stake in https://t.co/rXznF1WIoi $CMRC, now close to 9%. This comes just as the company unveiled a big restructuring plan, targeting a.o. $60-80m in annual cost savings (which is pretty big on ~$220m OPEX) and announcing a $50m buyback authorization (~20% of the market cap) over the next two years. More to come here.

@aleabitoreddit Oct 27

Serenity on X

@nisanyanviskisi $EOSE was added to this meme port just by looking at the chart... https://t.co/3AElXGYtTO

@aleabitoreddit Oct 27 1 click

Serenity on X

@GusPaschal91721 Wow $LWLG crashed from $18->$4. I was pretty negative on it, but I'm surprised it's lower than when they announced a partnership with $TSEM. and even last year. Perfect addition to my "It's all over" portfolio https://t.co/2MCx1bNM5w

Research & Analysis: ERock, Inc. (NYSE: EROC)

ERock’s modular microgrids bridge data-center power gaps years before grid interconnects, with Meta and Anthropic projects filling capacity…

EROC $444M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 23 10 clicks

Unicycive (UNCY):

Unicycive’s oxylanthanum carbonate NDA earned a March 25, 2027 PDUFA date after two manufacturing-related rejections, with no FDA clinical…

UNCY $104M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Oct 22 4 clicks

BMBL 2026-10-21

Bumble is being taken private

Bumble agreed to a $6.05-per-share cash sale to Ithaca Holdings, 136% above its October 2 share price.

BMBL $788M

Modern Value Investing Oct 21 8 clicks

GLOO, part two

Gloo faces related-party deals, insider-heavy IPO ownership, acquisition losses and $84.5 million of CEO-backed puts as it burns cash and…

GLOO $274M

Guardian Research Oct 21 4 clicks

Sagimet Biosciences: The U.S. Acne Trial Is A Replication Exercise, Not A Discovery Bet

Sagimet Biosciences' denifanstat enters a fully funded U.S. acne registration trial after Phase 3 results, with SGMT trading below cash and…

SGMT $741M

Equity Eagle Oct 21 3 clicks

Carecloud News

CareCloud may attract a private-equity buyer after its Q3 call, with acquiring enough shares the main obstacle to a take-private deal.

CCLD $75M

Calvin Blissett Oct 20 11 clicks

AGI Inc: The Bargain Is Even More Attractive

AGI Inc trades at 5.6x earnings after a 35% post-IPO decline, despite roughly 30% ROE and resilient INSS payroll-loan growth.

AGBK $790M

Multiplo Invest Oct 20 14 clicks

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $578M

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 19 21 clicks

Sell Eagle Point Credit Now - Match The Loss With Portfolio Gains To Lower Income Taxes

Eagle Point Credit's NAV is down 25% YTD and shares nearly 50%, while its expense ratio climbed to 9.21% despite a 25% yield.

ECC $348M

Anthony Cataldo Oct 19 5 clicks

Build-A-Bear: A Narrower Path

Build-A-Bear's push into prestuffed toys and broader retail distribution tests brand stretchability, but recent results warrant caution.

BBW $327M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 19 18 clicks

BLND · long

Blend Labs INC

Blend Labs (BLND) is presented as a long investment idea, with prior VIC writeups cited for business background.

BLND $274M

Value Investors Club Jul 17 2 clicks

Practical Semiconductor Optical Amplifiers (SOA)

Semiconductor optical amplifiers offer compact, low-cost gain for LiDAR, long-haul links and ultra-high-power co-packaged optics, trading…

AEVA $638M

Irrational Analysis Jul 18

Groupon Built a Brain

Groupon is building an AI “Brain” to personalize its app for each user, turning its turnaround plan into a product initiative.

GRPN $639M

Mispriced Assets Jul 16

Quick Value #322 - FuboTV (FUBO)

Fubo's Hulu Live merger leaves Disney with 70% ownership and resets its 2028 EBITDA target to $300 million; at $10, it trades at 4.2 times…

FUBO $853M

Value Don't Lie Jul 13

What Amazon Can't Buy

Betterware de Mexico sells locally designed home organizers through direct sellers in informal neighborhoods, generating 67% gross margins;…

BWMX $675M

Phynvesting Jul 13 1 click

Matan on Stitch Fix

Stitch Fix’s rushed Freestyle pivot cannibalized its profitable Fix business, driving active clients below 3.4 million, quarterly revenue…

SFIX $380M

MBI Deep Dives Jul 11 2 clicks

$50M Cash, No Debt, 0.74x Book: A Deep-Value Machine Tool Setup

A debt-free machine tool company with $50 million in cash trades at 0.74 times book value and below net current asset value.

HURC $142M

The Value Road Jul 10 5 clicks

Corporate dark arts: the strangest 8-K I've ever seen $DMRC

DMRC’s incoming CEO can earn more than $40 million if shares rise roughly fivefold, despite an 8-K warning of substantial doubt about the…

DMRC $241M

Yet Another Value Blog Jul 9 3 clicks

Double Down Interactive (DDI): Update

DoubleU’s $11.25-per-share bid for DoubleDown Interactive values its operating business at 0.25-0.7x EBITDA; minority holders can block it…

DDI $673M

Sylence Capital Jul 8

Weight Watchers International (WW)

WeightWatchers emerged from Chapter 11 with 70% less debt, positive free cash flow and a cash sweep, while Galloway Capital holds 8% and…

WW $148M

Sylence Capital Jul 6

Tuesday, October 27, 2026

Tim Eriksen on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Tim Eriksen on X

Idea Brunch on X

Lee Roach on X

KEDM.com on X

Serenity on X

Serenity on X

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