How to Read a 10-K Like a Short Seller
A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14 accounting as a case study.
A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14 accounting as a case study.
$BMBL looking past GAAP accounting like a 1x Owner's Earnings multiple, not shrinking fast, executing turnaround strategy and optimizing for quality over quantity. Founder back, paying off debt more than doubles the equity. Which the FCF says they can do. https://t.co/6byxo2vb8s
$JRVR ~4x multiple. Below adjusted book of circa $6.68 per share, activist, E&S is a good niche, mgmt rationalizing for economics. This one has messed up bad many times in the past and probably deservedly has a horrible reputation https://t.co/CD2VZ19KO0
$ARKO Trading below the value of it's stake in $APC, transferring to asset light business model, targeting 10% dividend https://t.co/kDZ2zPoIkm
Stocks that need activists: $ATGN: Had yrs. to execute turnaround + monetize $FISV & new offerings. No buybacks/insider purchases. $PBSV: Yrs. of no growth + underutilized cash-rich balance sheet. Special divys are a start, but bought back only 4K shares this yr. Any others?
Joke Of The Week award goes to $UPXI👇 Year end “highlights” from press release: - Repurchased 2.9M shares. - Subsequent to fiscal year-end, issued 2.5M shares under the company’s at-the-market program. Punch line: Now that’s what capital allocation looks like baby!
@LogicalThesis $MXCT ?
Wendy's franchisee surprise bankruptcy filing. Stock down 85%. Friendly reminder to not buy OTC stocks. $MHGU https://t.co/LbEfbjCBba
@CapstackCapital Did you catch $FTEK CEO’s presentation? Quite strong, they expect to add more wins to backlog by EOY.
Namib Minerals’ How Mine mill reached 55,000 tonnes per month, 36% above prior capacity, while a proposed $30 million Ecobank facility…
Bimergen Energy filed for a Texas retail-power license to supply data centers directly and gained eligibility for federal contracts through…
Getty Images' 2026 Chapter 11 filing is challenged as a prepack after warrant litigation, a failed Shutterstock merger and AI pressure.
Unicycive’s oxylanthanum carbonate NDA earned a March 25, 2027 PDUFA date after two manufacturing-related rejections, with no FDA clinical…
Moon River Moly’s updated Davidson PEA lifts after-tax NPV to $1.24 billion as flotation raises tungsten output 350% and cuts molybdenum…
Bumble agreed to a $6.05-per-share cash sale to Ithaca Holdings, 136% above its October 2 share price.
Gloo faces related-party deals, insider-heavy IPO ownership, acquisition losses and $84.5 million of CEO-backed puts as it burns cash and…
CareCloud may attract a private-equity buyer after its Q3 call, with acquiring enough shares the main obstacle to a take-private deal.
AGI Inc trades at 5.6x earnings after a 35% post-IPO decline, despite roughly 30% ROE and resilient INSS payroll-loan growth.
Hain Celestial sold its North American snacks business for $115 million as declining sales and EBITDA left $558 million of secured debt…
DGXX · short
Kingstone Company is replacing quota-share cessions with catastrophe reinsurance, lifting quarterly EBIT margin to 29% from a 24% sector…
Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.
Eagle Point Credit's NAV is down 25% YTD and shares nearly 50%, while its expense ratio climbed to 9.21% despite a 25% yield.
Build-A-Bear's push into prestuffed toys and broader retail distribution tests brand stretchability, but recent results warrant caution.
LendingTree derives roughly two-thirds of revenue from insurance and trades near 4 times expected adjusted earnings despite record revenue,…
Elutia’s antibiotic-eluting surgical matrices target breast-surgery infections, with Minot Light valuing $100 million in sales at a…
First Financial’s merger with First Illinois Financial is expected to lift net interest income and ROE from 2027 after Q2 net income rose…
Gloo's $3.25 follow-on, going-concern warning and $28.0 million first-half cash burn frame the short case against its acquisition-driven…
Tower Properties, $TPRP, went dark after a 2006 squeeze-out cut holders below 300, leaving a Kemper-controlled apartment and office…
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