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Monday, October 26, 2026

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How to Read a 10-K Like a Short Seller

A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14 accounting as a case study.

HTZ $709M
Jimmy's Journal 67 clicks

From X

@KEDM_COM

KEDM.com on X

ADW Capital continues to increase its stake in Compass Diversified $CODI, now already reflecting 14%. It's also good to see insiders buying shares on the open market. We flagged CODI a few weeks ago. ADW is pushing for a liquidation, stating that a wind‑down could unlock over $26 p/s, well above the current price. As a reminder, CODI’s share price collapsed last year on the accounting mess at its sub Lugano, forcing CODI to declare its 2022-24 financials unreliable. Lugano had hidden financing arrangements and misstated sales, inventory, and receivables. The fallout pushed CODI into forbearance, dividend suspension, reduced borrowing capacity, and eventually covenant breaches. The company has already questioned its ability to continue as a going concern; i.e., there is a good chance they'll liquidate.
@DOMOCAPITAL

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

$MNRO must buy all lubricants, non-lubes and service chemicals from Valvoline and can't market competing products. This is an in-depth partnership. Could there be a price increase? Sure, prices have already gone up this year quite a bit, but it won't be the price gouging type of supply that shops with no vendor will be facing. Two main points here. $MNRO is not in danger of running out of supply and if the price does increase, it won't be to the level of competitors without this type of relationship. I had a discussion with a manager at TiresPlus that points to exactly this. Prices so far this year have increased, but he said that the pricing he is getting from vendors he doesn't have a relationship with is multiples higher and he's going to have to pull the trigger with one of them within weeks.
@DOMOCAPITAL

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Nice call - 100% agree! Having an exclusive retail partnership with Valvoline may make them even more attractive to a potential buyer now. Did you listen to the CEO speak last week? He know his stuff and they are already winning market share... What also makes this interesting is that not only does a sale to Mavis (who bought Pep Boys) make sense, but so does a piecemeal sale since $MNRO has very distinctive brands in different geographical locations.

Investor Letters

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Unicycive (UNCY):

Unicycive’s oxylanthanum carbonate NDA earned a March 25, 2027 PDUFA date after two manufacturing-related rejections, with no FDA clinical…

UNCY $98M
Triple S Special Situations Investing 4 clicks

GLOO, part two

Gloo faces related-party deals, insider-heavy IPO ownership, acquisition losses and $84.5 million of CEO-backed puts as it burns cash and…

GLOO $269M
Guardian Research 4 clicks

Carecloud News

CareCloud may attract a private-equity buyer after its Q3 call, with acquiring enough shares the main obstacle to a take-private deal.

CCLD $74M
Calvin Blissett 11 clicks

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $578M
Trade Ideas Flow 21 clicks

Build-A-Bear: A Narrower Path

Build-A-Bear's push into prestuffed toys and broader retail distribution tests brand stretchability, but recent results warrant caution.

BBW $292M
TSOH Investment Research 18 clicks

Twenty Years in the Dark

Tower Properties, $TPRP, went dark after a 2006 squeeze-out cut holders below 300, leaving a Kemper-controlled apartment and office…

TPRP $128M
Orphan REITs 5 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

BMBL $787M
TSOH Investment Research 12 clicks

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