Merger Monday & Election Implications
EQT’s $50 billion merger with Range Resources and Ovintiv’s $1.26 billion acquisition of Logan Energy reshape North American oil and gas alongside Brazil and British Columbia election…
EQT’s $50 billion merger with Range Resources and Ovintiv’s $1.26 billion acquisition of Logan Energy reshape North American oil and gas alongside Brazil and British Columbia election…
$APP just up'd its Share Repurchase authorization. Rare to see a positive 8K drop, on a Friday afternoon... was worried for a second😅 https://t.co/XKfTEFkf4d https://t.co/516mtR8Xnd
$FTDR Vol declining (existing home sales=driver). Pricing lagging inflation, massively over-earning. Problematic given 25% churn w aggressive new entrants. Dubious company overall. Investor day yesterday was comical, compared themselves to $NFLX. Earnings misses coming.
$AVO $CVGW 1) Retailers $CMG, etc sourcing elsewhere given MX tariff risk. 2) Avocado price spike during last year’s peak harvest season enabled distributors to realize outsized margins. 1-time benefit has reversed, significant earnings misses ahead for these commodity businesses
$NX Outlandishly guiding to flat 2025 sales, customers and channel -DD. Commodity window and door components facing pricing pressure from larger customers ($JELD, $OC). Now levered 4x, trading at a premium to higher value-add building products peers. Guide cut inevitable.
$J Beat earnings yesterday. Holding back detailed guidance for Investor Day (2/18)—likely raise ’25 #s, 4-year financial targets w significant upside on margins ($ACM and other peers +15% EBITDA margins). Record backlog and multi-year growth runway.
The industrial logic for the $UNF and $CTAS merger captured in one picture. Both have been going to the Chipotle (or same strip center) near our office in Houston on the same days at the same time (the store was closed at the time this pic was taken). https://t.co/zxTIFVgn1s
@olvehe That’s why I use $XPEL paint protection film on all my cars 😉
A Brazilian digital bank with 45 million clients fell 36% after Lula’s election, despite 16.3% ROE, 13 record quarters and a 7.4x earnings…
Truist Financial trades at 10.5x earnings and 1.5x tangible book as new CEO Mike Lyons sells non-core assets and targets 16% to 18% ROTCE.
Build-A-Bear Workshop’s failed pre-made toy line compressed margins, but resilient children’s sales support a $39.39 fair value estimate…
Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…
Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…
A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14…
Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.
Getty Images' 2026 Chapter 11 filing is challenged as a prepack after warrant litigation, a failed Shutterstock merger and AI pressure.
Klaviyo's customer-data platform and new AI Composer product underpin a bullish growth case, with Salesforce's Braze acquisition cited as a…
Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.
DGXX · short
Kingstone Company is replacing quota-share cessions with catastrophe reinsurance, lifting quarterly EBIT margin to 29% from a 24% sector…
Tower Semiconductor’s low-loss photonics chips halve lasers in 1.6T optical modules, supporting a $680 million annualized photonics run…
Super Micro’s 2026 xAI rack orders, GB300 price increases and B300 mix frame its gross-margin outlook.
Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…
Ares Capital’s 10%+ yield is supported by a $30.5 billion portfolio with over 70% floating-rate debt, though dividend coverage remains…
Petrobras’s Morpho-1 well revived hopes that Brazil’s Equatorial Margin can become a major new oil frontier after hydrocarbons were…
CoreWeave’s rising debt yields and fading confidence in AI data-center economics frame a weekly review of Meta, Tesla, SpaceX, Netflix,…
CoreWeave's financial statements point to a business model familiar to the authors after a closer review of the AI infrastructure company.
DigitalOcean is pivoting toward affordable AI infrastructure and inference workloads, targeting share from AWS and Google Cloud amid…
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