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Monday, October 26, 2026

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Merger Monday & Election Implications

EQT’s $50 billion merger with Range Resources and Ovintiv’s $1.26 billion acquisition of Logan Energy reshape North American oil and gas alongside Brazil and British Columbia election…

EQT $34BRRC $11B
Bison Insights 7 clicks

From X

@BrokenMoats 1 click

Broken Moats on X

$PEGA numbers begin the software back to earth story....expect sick to be down significantly tomorrow (it never trades true until the open). The backlog is down QoQ and we are talking 6% ACV now versus guide for 15% at the start of the year. Without a total break from recent trends they will need an absolute monstrous Q4 (comping against a very strong Q4 number yoy coming up) otherwise the backlog number will drop out and that will move from an inflated 15% yoy (from the Q4 25') probably to low single digits or worse..... Big portions of software is in trouble, this is the very beginning
@AsifSuria

Asif Suria on X

On the public company side, I have been looking into the boring company Mueller Water Products $MWA that makes things like fire hydrants. Yes, there is a data center angle but that part of their business is currently small. It showed up on my radar because of insider buying by an independent board member though a 10b5-1 plan. This director previously spent nearly 24 years at Morgan Stanley rising up to the position of Managing Director and Co-Head of Mergers & Acquisitions (Americas). Has an MBA from @UChicago and currently teaches at University of Virginia.

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Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…

MOH $11BKNSL $8.1B
Bearstone 7 clicks

Tower Semiconductor Deep Dive

Tower Semiconductor’s low-loss photonics chips halve lasers in 1.6T optical modules, supporting a $680 million annualized photonics run…

TSEM $19B
CV's Substack 10 clicks

Margin Call

Petrobras’s Morpho-1 well revived hopes that Brazil’s Equatorial Margin can become a major new oil frontier after hydrocarbons were…

PBR $83B
Doomberg 10 clicks

Our Views on CoreWeave

CoreWeave's financial statements point to a business model familiar to the authors after a closer review of the AI infrastructure company.

CRWV $30B
WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 12 clicks

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