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Monday, October 26, 2026

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Merger Monday & Election Implications

EQT’s $50 billion merger with Range Resources and Ovintiv’s $1.26 billion acquisition of Logan Energy reshape North American oil and gas alongside Brazil and British Columbia election…

EQT $34BRRC $13B
Bison Insights 7 clicks

From X

@BrokenMoats 1 click

Broken Moats on X

2 questions: How come there are no institutional owners of this business (small cap fundamental funds, not the two ETF asset aggregators)? Whats the right multiple for a business that has burned 20m in FCF YTD (isolating SBC as it may not be a "cash" cost but is dilutive) on 45m in gross profit? Legitimate question? 4.4x ev/sales does not say cheap to me looking at their financial profile or where more asset light businesses are taking currently The history of these type of CapX security companies has been rather poor. Look at $SSTI and theres been others in the small cap space. Maybe this one's different I have only briefly looked at the business a few times over the years.
@leevalueroach

Lee Roach on X

If I was @ryancohen at $GME, I would drop the bid for ebay and instead go after Hasbro, Inc. They own Magic the Gathering and if Cohen could get ahold of the MTG IP it would transform the company. Hasbro is only a $12 billion market cap and GameStop has enough capital to do a deal there. Cohen could then dispose of the non-MTG junk and cut costs like crazy. The CEO of Hasbro made $18.6 million in 2025. There is so much bloat you can take out of Hasbro. It is filled with suits that don't own the company and make millions with no risk at the table.
@DOMOCAPITAL

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

What makes $MNRO even more interesting is that short interest is ~22.5% of shares outstanding and 41% of the float as not only does Icahn have ~32% of shares tied up, but Gabelli (GAMCO) is also involved. This is probably why cost to borrow is so cheap. Shorts are betting on a dividend cut, but completely ignoring the fact that Icahn/Gabelli and others have 40%+ of the shares. Icahn is now flush with cash from the sale of Pep Boys to Mavis. He can either offer similar terms for $MNRO and buy the remaining shares for $25/share and come away with a superior asset vs Pep Boys or he can push for a sale of the entire company at a similar price or even more. Poison pill expires November 6th... going to get interesting. If there ends up being a proxy battle then all of these shares would have to be called back which would significantly increase short borrowing costs....

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Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…

MOH $11BKNSL $8.3B
Bearstone 8 clicks

Tower Semiconductor Deep Dive

Tower Semiconductor’s low-loss photonics chips halve lasers in 1.6T optical modules, supporting a $680 million annualized photonics run…

TSEM $18B
CV's Substack 10 clicks

Margin Call

Petrobras’s Morpho-1 well revived hopes that Brazil’s Equatorial Margin can become a major new oil frontier after hydrocarbons were…

PBR $81B
Doomberg 13 clicks

Our Views on CoreWeave

CoreWeave's financial statements point to a business model familiar to the authors after a closer review of the AI infrastructure company.

CRWV $34B
WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 13 clicks

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