Merger Monday & Election Implications
EQT’s $50 billion merger with Range Resources and Ovintiv’s $1.26 billion acquisition of Logan Energy reshape North American oil and gas alongside Brazil and British Columbia election…
EQT’s $50 billion merger with Range Resources and Ovintiv’s $1.26 billion acquisition of Logan Energy reshape North American oil and gas alongside Brazil and British Columbia election…
My quarterly investor letter went out a few weeks ago. I wrote a brief investment thesis on $CBNA, a recent IPO. It is a small bank with an excellent, low-cost deposit franchise trading just above tangible book. DM me your email address to receive a copy of the letter.
@Ron284Ron From obscure micro-cap to S&P 500 constituent. Impressive run, and for me the first time to see this happen. $TPL #noposition #sadly
Yes, $HELE just paid $225mm and levered up to buy a nail polish company. 11x EBITDA, when HELE trades at 7x. But don't worry, this will work out just great!
@StockJabber Thank you. As a read on $PLUS Q3 is tracking in October, $CSCO just reported -23% sales in networking (products account for ~50% of $PLUS revenue) for the Oct quarter-end. Further confirmation that PLUS Q3 is going to be ugly and no turnaround in sight.
Today's Old Wall downgrade of $RH on liquidity risk is laughable. Reads like the analyst was fed a thesis by a hedge fund who's short the stock. I give 'em credit for making a bold call...it's just missing real clarity on RH liquidity and margin structure.
$PLUS Accelerating, sales -14% y/y in Q2, noted Q3 not improving yet implied FY guide is for flat sales (downward revisions to come). Margins benefitted from 1-time financing segment gain-on-sale. Still trading at a premium to higher quality industry leader CDW, makes zero sense.
$CPRI only missed by $0.07 -- with EPS of $0.65. I was seriously bracing for earnings to come in closer to break-even given that nobody is running that company. Shows the resilience of margins at Kors. That brand is trading at 1-2x EBITDA, which is just nuts...
$LULU ripping today. Been short this since $470. But I think it's a better short today than it was back then. The stock doesn't know that margins are going to fall apart here. This story is going to end badly. Restructuring, mgmt fired. Badly... We're presenting a Black Book next Friday to outline why.
A Brazilian digital bank with 45 million clients fell 36% after Lula’s election, despite 16.3% ROE, 13 record quarters and a 7.4x earnings…
Truist Financial trades at 10.5x earnings and 1.5x tangible book as new CEO Mike Lyons sells non-core assets and targets 16% to 18% ROTCE.
Build-A-Bear Workshop’s failed pre-made toy line compressed margins, but resilient children’s sales support a $39.39 fair value estimate…
Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…
Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…
A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14…
Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.
Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.
Avalo Therapeutics' Abdakibart enters a pivotal hidradenitis suppurativa trial after positive LOTUS data, with monthly dosing and…
Tower Semiconductor’s low-loss photonics chips halve lasers in 1.6T optical modules, supporting a $680 million annualized photonics run…
WRBY · long Warby Parker's $25 valuation does not capture potential upside from smartglasses alongside its core omnichannel eyewear business.
Klaviyo's customer-data platform and new AI Composer product underpin a bullish growth case, with Salesforce's Braze acquisition cited as a…
Super Micro’s 2026 xAI rack orders, GB300 price increases and B300 mix frame its gross-margin outlook.
Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…
Ares Capital’s 10%+ yield is supported by a $30.5 billion portfolio with over 70% floating-rate debt, though dividend coverage remains…
Petrobras’s Morpho-1 well revived hopes that Brazil’s Equatorial Margin can become a major new oil frontier after hydrocarbons were…
CoreWeave’s rising debt yields and fading confidence in AI data-center economics frame a weekly review of Meta, Tesla, SpaceX, Netflix,…
CoreWeave's financial statements point to a business model familiar to the authors after a closer review of the AI infrastructure company.
DigitalOcean is pivoting toward affordable AI infrastructure and inference workloads, targeting share from AWS and Google Cloud amid…
Bloom Energy’s Q3 FY26 revenue rose 138% to $1.24 billion as datacenter power orders lifted operating margin to 18%; capex drove $181…
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