Sunday, October 25, 2026

WD 361: Brazil, JetBlue Bankruptcy, Mexican Airlines Merger

Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.

JBLU $964M

Ian’s Insider Corner 42h ago 11 clicks

Oct 24 RNGR $344M

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Calvin Blissett 70 clicks

Oct 23 EROC $453M

Research & Analysis: ERock, Inc. (NYSE: EROC)

Monte Independent Investment Research 9 clicks

From X

@ACapitalLP 42h ago 4 clicks

A Capital on X

Argentina should trade down in sympathy with Brazil following Lula’s win, but the distinction matters: Brazil faces a direct repricing of its domestic policy outlook, while Argentina faces mostly regional contagion and trade-related risks. Lula’s victory doesn’t change Milei’s economic program or Argentina’s reform trajectory. Could create an interesting “perception vs. reality” trade, particularly in Argentine financials… $ARGT

@aleabitoreddit 45h ago 3 clicks

Serenity on X

Not actively. I've been pointing out issues with Neocloud/Colo financing since 2025 from $SLNH to $CRWV debt interest. And maintain my opinion only a few neoclouds would survive in a few years, given they build enough of a moat to differentiate themselves against hyperscalers. So I don't think Elon's comments are completely wrong about Neoclouds, but there's nuances. One example was $NBIS SOFR + 2.75% $3.5B facility with Citibank, which actually has better rates than GPU financing from $2T+ companies. So kinda hard to say neocloud financing has "entirely shut off" since this Citibank facility was announced 3D ago I'm not arguing the merits of Elon's claims here. There's some truth to them, even if they're framed in extremes. I'm happy to hear his opinion on the direction of the industry... but if they're mainly amplifying concerns about competitor downfall (which benefits $SPCX + $TSLA) There's some cause for concern about how healthy that is to the town square dynamic Elon originally envisioned with X.

@DevinLaSarre Oct 25 3 clicks

Devin LaSarre on X

Newest out. Philip Morris International: Ho-hum Hrmm? $PM $BTI $MO $IMBBY $STG $HAYPP https://t.co/SF1OCjjdx1

@majgeoinvesting Oct 25

Maj Soueidan on X

@Daniel___Gordon $BWEN hasn’t proven they can execute on the bottom line yet. Maybe they’ll grow revenue, but they need to show they can actually make money doing it. They didn’t do it with the previous business - for the last 10 years or so. Let’s see if they can do it with the new focus.

@partners_road Oct 24 1 click

RiverRoadPartners on X

@Yulai_Jump @LordPos3idon @AdamBScott1979 @BamaBonds No better example: the most money poured into $ARKK roughly around its all-time high price of $156.58 on 2/12/21. On 12/23/22, $ARKK traded at $30.97. Retail bought the top and sold the low. Not for the first time, and not for the last.

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 24 4 clicks

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

What a trade! Sell the $ELME stub for $0.08 and not have to wait 1-2 years to get it It pays to be tactical with REIT liquidations It’s also the graveyard of event driven careers/capital in 2026 https://t.co/diGvv6LFd3

@junkbondinvest Oct 24

junkbondinvestor on X

$JBLU is the worst HY bond performer last week, down nearly 14pts to the mid 40s Plenty of other names got hit hard too https://t.co/Zficn0BlGj

@BarbarianCap Oct 24 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

"Its $2 billion notes due 2031 fell to 42 cents on Thursday before bouncing back slightly in the mid-40s on Friday" JetBlue Creditors Hire Advisers as Airline’s Shares, Bonds Sink $JBLU https://t.co/GMllSmqHbH

💥Is Getty a Prepack in Name Only?💥

Getty Images' 2026 Chapter 11 filing is challenged as a prepack after warrant litigation, a failed Shutterstock merger and AI pressure.

GETY $11MSSTK $168M

PETITION Oct 25 4 clicks

Unicycive (UNCY):

Unicycive’s oxylanthanum carbonate NDA earned a March 25, 2027 PDUFA date after two manufacturing-related rejections, with no FDA clinical…

UNCY $104M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Oct 22 4 clicks

Moon River Moly: Research Note

Moon River Moly’s updated Davidson PEA lifts after-tax NPV to $1.24 billion as flotation raises tungsten output 350% and cuts molybdenum…

MRIVF $16M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 21 4 clicks

Bumble is being taken private

Bumble agreed to a $6.05-per-share cash sale to Ithaca Holdings, 136% above its October 2 share price.

BMBL $787M

Modern Value Investing Oct 21 8 clicks

GLOO, part two

Gloo faces related-party deals, insider-heavy IPO ownership, acquisition losses and $84.5 million of CEO-backed puts as it burns cash and…

GLOO $269M

Guardian Research Oct 21 4 clicks

Sagimet Biosciences: The U.S. Acne Trial Is A Replication Exercise, Not A Discovery Bet

Sagimet Biosciences' denifanstat enters a fully funded U.S. acne registration trial after Phase 3 results, with SGMT trading below cash and…

SGMT $676M

Equity Eagle Oct 21 3 clicks

Carecloud News

CareCloud may attract a private-equity buyer after its Q3 call, with acquiring enough shares the main obstacle to a take-private deal.

CCLD $74M

Calvin Blissett Oct 20 11 clicks

💥Hain Celestial: Earthly Issues💥

Hain Celestial sold its North American snacks business for $115 million as declining sales and EBITDA left $558 million of secured debt…

HAIN $14M

PETITION Oct 20 6 clicks

LCNB: Solid Q3 2026 With A 4.7% Yield

LCNB’s Q3 2026 net interest income rose 8.6% year over year as the bank beat revenue and EPS estimates, while trading at a 27% discount to…

LCNB $281M

Sorrento Research Oct 20 2 clicks

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $492M

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 19 21 clicks

SCEYF · long

Source Energy Services LTD

Source Energy Services is Western Canada’s dominant integrated frac-sand producer and logistics provider, supplied by three Wisconsin…

SCEYF $90M

Value Investors Club Jun 16 1 click

Dramatically Undervalued SAAS Company Primed for Buyout ($AWRE)

Aware ($AWRE) trades near its net-cash value as recurring biometric SaaS revenue grows, supporting a buyout thesis backed by debt-free…

AWRE $19M

Multibagger Monitor Apr 30 1 click

IOFNF- Iofina (buy)

Iofina’s IO10 iodine plant is due in Q3 2024, adding 100 to 150 metric tons of capacity while higher brine costs pressure earnings.

IOFNF $107M

Sylence Capital Apr 28

JVA- Coffee Holding Co (buy)

Coffee Holding trades near a $9 million market cap and $17 million net current asset value, while its proposed Delta merger values JVA…

JVA $26M

Sylence Capital Apr 27

A 4x in 4 Years Surfing the Data Center Tsunami? ($TSSI)

Total Site Solutions ($TSSI) depends on Dell for 96% of revenue; the 4x thesis rests on Dell expanding modular data centers amid AI-driven…

TSSI $216M

Multibagger Monitor Apr 16 4 clicks

One Group Hospitality (STKS) - One Hour Analysis: Quick Thoughts on Benihana Acquisition. Building an attractive acquisition candidate by acquisition?

One Group Hospitality's $365 million Benihana acquisition adds $575 million of revenue and $70 million of EBITDA, funded partly by costly…

STKS $35M

Investing 501 Apr 3

~9 EV/OCF AI Company Growing Revenue 75%+ YoY ($ALAR)

Alarum ($ALAR) trades near 9x operating cash flow as its NetNut proxy network supports web scraping and AI data collection, with revenue…

ALAR $11M

Multibagger Monitor Mar 24 1 click

A Mexican Blue Chip Bargain

Grupo Herdez, a MXN 15.2 billion Mexican food company, pairs dominant grocery brands with McCormick, Barilla and Hormel joint ventures.

GUZOF $973M

Exploring with Alluvial Capital Mar 7

Nvidia, Nano-X and the interpretation of 13F filings

Nvidia’s $380,000 Nano-X stake came from Zebra Medical Vision’s acquisition and is managed by another reporting person, undermining the 50%…

NNOX $30M

John Hempton's Newsletter Feb 15 3 clicks

Checking Out Music Royalties

Mills Music Trust's 8.5% yield faces declining distributions as songs enter the public domain, while Royalty Exchange lists more than 700…

MMTRS

Exploring with Alluvial Capital Feb 1

Sunday, October 25, 2026

A Capital on X

Serenity on X

Devin LaSarre on X

Maj Soueidan on X

RiverRoadPartners on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

junkbondinvestor on X

Barbarian Capital on X

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