WD 361: Brazil, JetBlue Bankruptcy, Mexican Airlines Merger
Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.
Sunday, October 25, 2026
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From X
catechwilliams on X
$AS 50x P/E levered retail roll-up w only one decent asset (Arc’teryx). Stagnating in the US, nearly fully-penetrated in China. >$500 jackets didn’t work for $GOOS in Asia. Arc already bigger. Hyper promotional mgmt sent the stock skyward. This is going to be an epic crash.
Idea Brunch on X
Idea Brunch with @Derek_K_Brown of Dardanelles Capital Tickers mentioned include $FLUT and $ELF https://t.co/RqbtxVhwEo
Little Owl Research on X
*THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE* 1/6 I’ve been slowly building a position in $RAVE since December of 2023 but since their most recent annual report I’ve been buying much more aggressively…
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW In MRQ benefited from temp avocado price spike and 1-time F/X add-back. Volumes have been declining LDD for the last 3Qs ($CMG shifting suppliers). DOJ investigation continues. Prices & earnings reverting lower. Commodity distributor trading at 30x P/E is not sustainable.
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT New $50M display upgrade award for the Miami Heat arena. Will be a nice boost to current quarter earnings (FQ2'25). https://t.co/sLAFBEerYi
catechwilliams on X
$NX Just acquired peer Tyman. >3x leverage, never done a deal before, commodity business, customers all cutting numbers w deteriorating resi remodel activity ($AMWD yesterday, $MBC, $OC, $JELD). Stock is trading at close to 14x EPS. Seen this movie before. Earnings next week.
Brian McGough on X
My team has the stones to tell me "the deck we prepared on $PLNT is the best work we've EVER done." I rarely hear that degree of confidence from anyone. You be the judge...presentation TOMORROW, 8/16. Deets below. https://t.co/u5qz3Xcdl4
Investor Letters
All letters- Halvio Capital Q3 2026 CZBS $126MMCCK $468M
- Bretton Fund 3rd Quarter 2026 MBGL $5.8B
- GreensKeeper Asset Management Q3 2026 ABANF $249MICE $96B
- Miller Value Partners third quarter 2026 CNXC $1.9BFOSL $451M
- EdgePoint Wealth Management 3rd quarter, 2026 ROST $74BTTNDY $31B
- Guinness Global Investors third quarter of 2026 AFL $62BDANOY $47B
- Rowan Street Capital third quarter 2026 TTD $6.1B
- Artisan Partners Q3 2026 DANOY $47BHDLMY $35B
💥Is Getty a Prepack in Name Only?💥
Getty Images' 2026 Chapter 11 filing is challenged as a prepack after warrant litigation, a failed Shutterstock merger and AI pressure.
Expert Call | AI Server OEM: 2026 xAI Orders, GB300 Price Hikes & B300 Margin Gains
Super Micro’s 2026 xAI rack orders, GB300 price increases and B300 mix frame its gross-margin outlook.
I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it
Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…
Ares Capital: This 10%+ Yield Is An Undervalued Buy
Ares Capital’s 10%+ yield is supported by a $30.5 billion portfolio with over 70% floating-rate debt, though dividend coverage remains…
Jonathan Weber 6 clicks
Margin Call
Petrobras’s Morpho-1 well revived hopes that Brazil’s Equatorial Margin can become a major new oil frontier after hydrocarbons were…
AI Narrative Switched, Debt Yields Spike | The Weekly Wrap
CoreWeave’s rising debt yields and fading confidence in AI data-center economics frame a weekly review of Meta, Tesla, SpaceX, Netflix,…
Our Views on CoreWeave
CoreWeave's financial statements point to a business model familiar to the authors after a closer review of the AI infrastructure company.
DigitalOcean's AI Flywheel: Unleashing Massive Growth Potential For Bold Investors
DigitalOcean is pivoting toward affordable AI infrastructure and inference workloads, targeting share from AWS and Google Cloud amid…
Star Investments 9 clicks
Bloom Energy (NYSE: BE) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings - Revenue Up 138% On The Datacenter Power Race
Bloom Energy’s Q3 FY26 revenue rose 138% to $1.24 billion as datacenter power orders lifted operating margin to 18%; capex drove $181…
Capital Wars
CoreWeave’s $35 billion to $39 billion 2026 spending plan relies on debt as unsecured yields reach 15%, making its GPU cloud expansion a…
JBFCY · long Jollibee Foods CORP
Jollibee Foods trades at PHP 144, about 56% below its January 2019 high, framing a long thesis on the Philippine restaurant operator.
SLB Stock: Upgrading Back To A Buy As The Earnings Recovery Takes Shape
SLB’s Q3 beats, sequential margin gains and roughly $10 billion Q4 revenue guide support an earnings recovery despite flat Middle East…
Steven Fiorillo 3 clicks
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/23/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ally’s improving credit and capital returns, Pepsi’s weak beverage brands, and Match Group’s plan to revive…
Tempus AI: Moderna's New Cancer Vaccine Partner Is The Pick Of The AI Biotech Bunch
Tempus AI targets $1.6 billion of 2026 revenue through AI diagnostics, data licensing and cancer-testing partnerships, with Personalis…
Edmund Ingham 7 clicks
Research & Analysis: ERock, Inc. (NYSE: EROC)
ERock’s modular microgrids bridge data-center power gaps years before grid interconnects, with Meta and Anthropic projects filling capacity…
Putting bear cases to rest
Medpace authorized $1 billion of buybacks through 2028 after Q3 revenue rose 8.5% to $716 million; service revenue grew roughly 12% as…
Industry Primers Podcast: Natural Resources Royalty & Streaming, Part One: The Story
Franco-Nevada, Wheaton and Texas Pacific Land built royalty and streaming businesses by buying fixed shares of mines and wells, tracing the…
Oscar Health: Up Over 200% From The March Lows, Still Room To Run (Ticker: OSCR)
Oscar Health raised 2026 operating earnings guidance to $600 million-$800 million after ACA-marketplace expansion drove 60% membership and…
It’s time to sell the winners again as Western Digital, Bloom report outstanding results, shares drop
Western Digital and Bloom Energy fell after strong quarterly results, extending the selloff in AI-linked stocks.
OCP 2026: MicroVCSELs are gaining attention, but microLEDs still have a case
Credo’s microVCSEL pivot targets 10–20m data-center links where copper falls short, while microLEDs compete nearer compute on integration,…
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Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
