Sunday, October 25, 2026

WD 361: Brazil, JetBlue Bankruptcy, Mexican Airlines Merger

Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.

JBLU $964M

Ian’s Insider Corner 19h ago 10 clicks

Oct 24 RNGR $347M

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Calvin Blissett 68 clicks

Oct 23 EROC $453M

Research & Analysis: ERock, Inc. (NYSE: EROC)

Monte Independent Investment Research 9 clicks

From X

@ACapitalLP 19h ago 4 clicks

A Capital on X

Argentina should trade down in sympathy with Brazil following Lula’s win, but the distinction matters: Brazil faces a direct repricing of its domestic policy outlook, while Argentina faces mostly regional contagion and trade-related risks. Lula’s victory doesn’t change Milei’s economic program or Argentina’s reform trajectory. Could create an interesting “perception vs. reality” trade, particularly in Argentine financials… $ARGT

@aleabitoreddit 22h ago 3 clicks

Serenity on X

Not actively. I've been pointing out issues with Neocloud/Colo financing since 2025 from $SLNH to $CRWV debt interest. And maintain my opinion only a few neoclouds would survive in a few years, given they build enough of a moat to differentiate themselves against hyperscalers. So I don't think Elon's comments are completely wrong about Neoclouds, but there's nuances. One example was $NBIS SOFR + 2.75% $3.5B facility with Citibank, which actually has better rates than GPU financing from $2T+ companies. So kinda hard to say neocloud financing has "entirely shut off" since this Citibank facility was announced 3D ago I'm not arguing the merits of Elon's claims here. There's some truth to them, even if they're framed in extremes. I'm happy to hear his opinion on the direction of the industry... but if they're mainly amplifying concerns about competitor downfall (which benefits $SPCX + $TSLA) There's some cause for concern about how healthy that is to the town square dynamic Elon originally envisioned with X.

@DevinLaSarre 31h ago 3 clicks

Devin LaSarre on X

Newest out. Philip Morris International: Ho-hum Hrmm? $PM $BTI $MO $IMBBY $STG $HAYPP https://t.co/SF1OCjjdx1

@majgeoinvesting 38h ago

Maj Soueidan on X

@Daniel___Gordon $BWEN hasn’t proven they can execute on the bottom line yet. Maybe they’ll grow revenue, but they need to show they can actually make money doing it. They didn’t do it with the previous business - for the last 10 years or so. Let’s see if they can do it with the new focus.

@partners_road 42h ago 1 click

RiverRoadPartners on X

@Yulai_Jump @LordPos3idon @AdamBScott1979 @BamaBonds No better example: the most money poured into $ARKK roughly around its all-time high price of $156.58 on 2/12/21. On 12/23/22, $ARKK traded at $30.97. Retail bought the top and sold the low. Not for the first time, and not for the last.

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 24 4 clicks

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

What a trade! Sell the $ELME stub for $0.08 and not have to wait 1-2 years to get it It pays to be tactical with REIT liquidations It’s also the graveyard of event driven careers/capital in 2026 https://t.co/diGvv6LFd3

@junkbondinvest Oct 24

junkbondinvestor on X

$JBLU is the worst HY bond performer last week, down nearly 14pts to the mid 40s Plenty of other names got hit hard too https://t.co/Zficn0BlGj

@BarbarianCap Oct 24 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

"Its $2 billion notes due 2031 fell to 42 cents on Thursday before bouncing back slightly in the mid-40s on Friday" JetBlue Creditors Hire Advisers as Airline’s Shares, Bonds Sink $JBLU https://t.co/GMllSmqHbH

Investor Letters

All letters

💥Is Getty a Prepack in Name Only?💥

Getty Images' 2026 Chapter 11 filing is challenged as a prepack after warrant litigation, a failed Shutterstock merger and AI pressure.

GETY $11MSSTK $168M

PETITION 30h ago 4 clicks

Unicycive (UNCY):

Unicycive’s oxylanthanum carbonate NDA earned a March 25, 2027 PDUFA date after two manufacturing-related rejections, with no FDA clinical…

UNCY $108M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Oct 22 4 clicks

Moon River Moly: Research Note

Moon River Moly’s updated Davidson PEA lifts after-tax NPV to $1.24 billion as flotation raises tungsten output 350% and cuts molybdenum…

MRIVF $16M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 21 4 clicks

Bumble is being taken private

Bumble agreed to a $6.05-per-share cash sale to Ithaca Holdings, 136% above its October 2 share price.

BMBL $783M

Modern Value Investing Oct 21 8 clicks

GLOO, part two

Gloo faces related-party deals, insider-heavy IPO ownership, acquisition losses and $84.5 million of CEO-backed puts as it burns cash and…

GLOO $291M

Guardian Research Oct 21 4 clicks

Sagimet Biosciences: The U.S. Acne Trial Is A Replication Exercise, Not A Discovery Bet

Sagimet Biosciences' denifanstat enters a fully funded U.S. acne registration trial after Phase 3 results, with SGMT trading below cash and…

SGMT $676M

Equity Eagle Oct 21 3 clicks

Carecloud News

CareCloud may attract a private-equity buyer after its Q3 call, with acquiring enough shares the main obstacle to a take-private deal.

CCLD $74M

Calvin Blissett Oct 20 11 clicks

💥Hain Celestial: Earthly Issues💥

Hain Celestial sold its North American snacks business for $115 million as declining sales and EBITDA left $558 million of secured debt…

HAIN $20M

PETITION Oct 20 6 clicks

LCNB: Solid Q3 2026 With A 4.7% Yield

LCNB’s Q3 2026 net interest income rose 8.6% year over year as the bank beat revenue and EPS estimates, while trading at a 27% discount to…

LCNB $268M

Sorrento Research Oct 20 2 clicks

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $492M

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 19 21 clicks

EVC · long

Entravision Communications

Entravision Communications, up fourfold year to date, is pitched as an undervalued growth business emerging from a troubled parent…

EVC $575M

Value Investors Club Jul 27

Gladstone Investment: High Dividend Increases And NAV Gains, But Very Risky

Gladstone Investment's 50% equity portfolio drove NAV and dividend gains, but five holdings make up 44.5% of fair value and heighten Level…

GAIN $584M

Stephen Nemo Oct 21 4 clicks

Build-A-Bear: A Narrower Path

Build-A-Bear's push into prestuffed toys and broader retail distribution tests brand stretchability, but recent results warrant caution.

BBW $292M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 19 18 clicks

LendingTree (NASDAQ: $TREE) – A Cyclical Comeback Story Priced as if the Cycle Never Turns

LendingTree derives roughly two-thirds of revenue from insurance and trades near 4 times expected adjusted earnings despite record revenue,…

TREE $373M

Substack von Philipp Oct 19 10 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (12th-18th October) 🖨️

Elutia’s antibiotic-eluting surgical matrices target breast-surgery infections, with Minot Light valuing $100 million in sales at a…

ELUT $37M

Capital Employed Oct 19 71 clicks

First Financial: Acquisitions Drive 2027 Growth

First Financial’s merger with First Illinois Financial is expected to lift net interest income and ROE from 2027 after Q2 net income rose…

THFF $887M

Sorrento Research Oct 18 2 clicks

GLOO: Gloo's own filings make the short case

Gloo's $3.25 follow-on, going-concern warning and $28.0 million first-half cash burn frame the short case against its acquisition-driven…

GLOO $291M

Guardian Research Oct 16 18 clicks

Twenty Years in the Dark

Tower Properties, $TPRP, went dark after a 2006 squeeze-out cut holders below 300, leaving a Kemper-controlled apartment and office…

TPRP $128M

Orphan REITs Oct 16 5 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

BMBL $783M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 16 12 clicks

Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)

Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…

DFH $839M

Hunterbrook Oct 15 15 clicks

Sunday, October 25, 2026

A Capital on X

Serenity on X

Devin LaSarre on X

Maj Soueidan on X

RiverRoadPartners on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

junkbondinvestor on X

Barbarian Capital on X

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