Friday, October 23, 2026

AI Narrative Switched, Debt Yields Spike | The Weekly Wrap

CoreWeave’s rising debt yields and fading confidence in AI data-center economics frame a weekly review of Meta, Tesla, SpaceX, Netflix, French bonds and housing.

CRWV $34B

Steve Eisman 36h ago 25 clicks

45h ago CRWV $34B

Our Views on CoreWeave

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 10 clicks

37h ago BE $56B

Bloom Energy (NYSE: BE) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings - Revenue Up 138% On The Datacenter Power Race

Cestrian Capital Research 5 clicks

From X

@stockgutter Oct 13

SG on X

Apparel manufacturing is having a great month $VFC $JRSH $PVH (I own all three) https://t.co/rrSHcSo9QN

@aleabitoreddit Oct 13

Serenity on X

I'm just tracking technological inflection points, not making an argument for stock prices right now like $CCXI (Agility). But if people are long term investors in humanoids + their supply chains like actuators, feels more like a matter of when. Since mass commercialization seems inevitable if humanoids are able to do 80%+ of tasks in unfamiliar environments... for such a cheap cost

@gnoble79 Oct 13 2 clicks

George Noble on X

The $open army has been obliterated. @ericjackson @rabois @mikealfred @APompliano all belong in jail. And to all the financially illiterate haters who gave me crap for being short $OPEN from $8, have a nice day. @philrosenn @dayetweets https://t.co/aN2KlgB4Tc

@aleabitoreddit Oct 13

Serenity on X

Samsung has LTAs covering 70% of memory capacity spanning until 2031. $LITE is completely sold out into 2029 and with customers starting to lock in orders for 2030. There's the actual demand. Then there's short term media narratives that cause people to sell. There's been many scares over the past few years over $NVDA GPUs from Deepseek to macro but in the end fundamentals matter more.

@AsifSuria Oct 13

Asif Suria on X

@RecoveryTrade @compound248 Even with the current lax antitrust environment, I think it would be difficult to get a $MTCH and $BMBL deal past the FTC or DOJ.

@finphysnerd Oct 13

Myles on X

$FIZZ seems like an attractive short. Classic staple juicing price into slowing volumes, meanwhile they're getting attacked by competition. They trade at around 17x earnings for some reason when a lot of better looking staples trade at low teens.

@stockgutter Oct 12

SG on X

likely to return to $3 imo $CD https://t.co/0ff0aX4f7D

@aleabitoreddit Oct 12

Serenity on X

What oversupply? Even in the lower end ranges that they're focusing on, Chinese pluggable makers like Innolight are still bottlenecked for 70-100mW ranges from ECOC channel checks. Cambridge wouldn't be going out financing suppliers with convertible loans for scarce laser capacity. Suppliers wouldn't be raising ASPs if there was overcapacity. Also not all CW lasers are the same. China is a ways away from from scaling UHP lasers needed for CPO, which is why there's still premiums given to $LITE, $COHR, $SIVE. $LITE lasers are sold out into 2029 and they're starting negotiations into 2030. I don't think anyone genuinely believes that China will flood the laser markets medium term, even both $LITE / $AAOI CEO said there was a difference between comments made and what they're actually seeing. From AOI on China: "of them, they are working maybe 70 mW or very few can really do 100 mW. For 300 mW laser, especially DWDM spec, we don't see that." "Not in the next two, three years, especially the demand is so big. Okay? Even combined AOI, Lumentum, Coherent, Broadcom all together, it's still very tough to meet the customer demand in the next few years" From Lumentum last month: "At least at the moment, we see no impact from any Chinese laser supply." But whenever markets want a correction people just blindly point to China with memory or optics while ignoring what's actually occurring with demand imbalances + LTAs spanning many years and constantly extending.

Capital Wars

CoreWeave’s $35 billion to $39 billion 2026 spending plan relies on debt as unsecured yields reach 15%, making its GPU cloud expansion a…

CRWV $34B

Net Interest 40h ago 8 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/23/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ally’s improving credit and capital returns, Pepsi’s weak beverage brands, and Match Group’s plan to revive…

ALLY $12BMTCH $11B

TSOH Investment Research 41h ago 3 clicks

Research & Analysis: ERock, Inc. (NYSE: EROC)

ERock’s modular microgrids bridge data-center power gaps years before grid interconnects, with Meta and Anthropic projects filling capacity…

EROC $453M

Monte Independent Investment Research 45h ago 7 clicks

Putting bear cases to rest

Medpace authorized $1 billion of buybacks through 2028 after Q3 revenue rose 8.5% to $716 million; service revenue grew roughly 12% as…

MEDP $18B

Best Anchor Stocks 45h ago 11 clicks

Industry Primers Podcast: Natural Resources Royalty & Streaming, Part One: The Story

Franco-Nevada, Wheaton and Texas Pacific Land built royalty and streaming businesses by buying fixed shares of mines and wells, tracing the…

FNV $47BWPM $57B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 23 3 clicks

Oscar Health: Up Over 200% From The March Lows, Still Room To Run (Ticker: OSCR)

Oscar Health raised 2026 operating earnings guidance to $600 million-$800 million after ACA-marketplace expansion drove 60% membership and…

OSCR $10B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 23 4 clicks

It’s time to sell the winners again as Western Digital, Bloom report outstanding results, shares drop

Western Digital and Bloom Energy fell after strong quarterly results, extending the selloff in AI-linked stocks.

BE $56B

The Technology Letter Oct 22 4 clicks

OCP 2026: MicroVCSELs are gaining attention, but microLEDs still have a case

Credo’s microVCSEL pivot targets 10–20m data-center links where copper falls short, while microLEDs compete nearer compute on integration,…

CRDO $28B

Vik's Newsletter Oct 22 5 clicks

Trade Alert - Long RIG

HFI Portfolio bought 94,214 shares of Transocean, RIG, for $570,000 at $6.05 per share.

RIG $7.2B

HFI Research Oct 22 7 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Patient Investors Should Hold Through Volatility

CoreWeave targets 8 GW of active power by 2030, expands into India and builds its AI cloud ecosystem through Google Cloud and partner…

CRWV $34B

Jack Elias Oct 22 6 clicks

CLF · long

Cleveland-cliffs INC

Cleveland-Cliffs is pitched as a long on underappreciated earnings power, with more than 90% return potential over six to nine months.

CLF $7.8B

Value Investors Club Jul 25

Moody's: Q3 Earnings Emphasize Detached Valuation

Moody’s Q3 revenue rose 1% as operating margins fell, while shares trade near 30 times forward earnings despite slower growth and a weaker…

MCO $83B

YR Research Oct 22 1 click

MYR Group q3’26 Earnings Preview

MYR Group’s Q3 2026 preview cites data-center and power transmission demand, with long-term service agreements supporting margin growth and…

MYRG $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 22 5 clicks

Mosaic: Cash from Potash Now, a Recovery in Phosphates Later

Mosaic’s potash business generated $930 million after capital spending and closure cash in 2025, while phosphate operations consumed $207…

MOS $5.5B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 9 clicks

Mosaic, Part One: The Story

Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.

MOS $5.5B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 31 clicks

Mosaic, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Mosaic, NYSE: MOS, is the subject of a second audio program for professional investors analyzing fertilizer producers.

MOS $5.5B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 4 clicks

Thursday Tailwinds #12: Oct 22, 2026

PJM's 6,831 MW capacity shortfall is driving nuclear uprates, with Google contracting 890 MW from 11 operating reactors.

CEG $96B

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 22 2 clicks

4 Boring Non-AI Stocks Trading at Attractive Valuations

Rollins, North America’s largest pest-control provider, gets 75–80% of revenue from recurring contracts but has fallen about 45% year to…

ROL $17B

Jimmy's Journal Oct 22 65 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Lithia Motors (LAD)

Group 1 Automotive and Lithia Motors divide two longtime value investors: David Abrams switched to Lithia in 2018, while Greg Alexander…

GPI $2.7BLAD $6.6B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 22 6 clicks

Diageo: Gen Z Is Drinking Again, And They Want Cocktails

DEO $52B

PropNotes Oct 22 7 clicks

Friday, October 23, 2026

SG on X

Serenity on X

George Noble on X

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Asif Suria on X

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