Sunday, October 18, 2026

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

SiriusXM trades at 6.5 times free cash flow, a 15% yield, with high short interest and catalysts that could drive a short squeeze.

SIRI $9B

Eagle Point Capital Oct 17 55 clicks

Oct 16 GLOO $298M

GLOO: Gloo's own filings make the short case

Guardian Research 17 clicks

Oct 16 TPRP $128M

Twenty Years in the Dark

Orphan REITs 4 clicks

From X

@stockgutter Oct 13

SG on X

Apparel manufacturing is having a great month $VFC $JRSH $PVH (I own all three) https://t.co/rrSHcSo9QN

@aleabitoreddit Oct 13

Serenity on X

I'm just tracking technological inflection points, not making an argument for stock prices right now like $CCXI (Agility). But if people are long term investors in humanoids + their supply chains like actuators, feels more like a matter of when. Since mass commercialization seems inevitable if humanoids are able to do 80%+ of tasks in unfamiliar environments... for such a cheap cost

@gnoble79 Oct 13 2 clicks

George Noble on X

The $open army has been obliterated. @ericjackson @rabois @mikealfred @APompliano all belong in jail. And to all the financially illiterate haters who gave me crap for being short $OPEN from $8, have a nice day. @philrosenn @dayetweets https://t.co/aN2KlgB4Tc

@AsifSuria Oct 13

Asif Suria on X

@RecoveryTrade @compound248 Even with the current lax antitrust environment, I think it would be difficult to get a $MTCH and $BMBL deal past the FTC or DOJ.

@finphysnerd Oct 13

Myles on X

$FIZZ seems like an attractive short. Classic staple juicing price into slowing volumes, meanwhile they're getting attacked by competition. They trade at around 17x earnings for some reason when a lot of better looking staples trade at low teens.

@stockgutter Oct 12

SG on X

likely to return to $3 imo $CD https://t.co/0ff0aX4f7D

@stockgutter Oct 12 2 clicks

SG on X

@Imperium1136 @DeepSailCapital agree, though think $MRNX is the better vehicle

@aleabitoreddit Oct 12

Serenity on X

What oversupply? Even in the lower end ranges that they're focusing on, Chinese pluggable makers like Innolight are still bottlenecked for 70-100mW ranges from ECOC channel checks. Cambridge wouldn't be going out financing suppliers with convertible loans for scarce laser capacity. Suppliers wouldn't be raising ASPs if there was overcapacity. Also not all CW lasers are the same. China is a ways away from from scaling UHP lasers needed for CPO, which is why there's still premiums given to $LITE, $COHR, $SIVE. $LITE lasers are sold out into 2029 and they're starting negotiations into 2030. I don't think anyone genuinely believes that China will flood the laser markets medium term, even both $LITE / $AAOI CEO said there was a difference between comments made and what they're actually seeing. From AOI on China: "of them, they are working maybe 70 mW or very few can really do 100 mW. For 300 mW laser, especially DWDM spec, we don't see that." "Not in the next two, three years, especially the demand is so big. Okay? Even combined AOI, Lumentum, Coherent, Broadcom all together, it's still very tough to meet the customer demand in the next few years" From Lumentum last month: "At least at the moment, we see no impact from any Chinese laser supply." But whenever markets want a correction people just blindly point to China with memory or optics while ignoring what's actually occurring with demand imbalances + LTAs spanning many years and constantly extending.

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

BMBL $783M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 16 11 clicks

Dorchester Minerals: Variable Royalty Income Without Enough Valuation Discount

Dorchester Minerals' 9.5% normalized yield and debt-free royalty model are offset by limited upside at $29.71, as extraordinary…

DMLP $1.5B

Atlas Diary Oct 16 3 clicks

Tuya: A Global Smart-Home Platform Priced Like a Cash Box

Tuya’s $976 million cash pile equals 94% of its $1.04 billion market cap as its smart-home platform returned to 16% revenue growth in Q2…

TUYA $1.1B

Substack von Philipp Oct 16 43 clicks

Fannie Mae Preferreds For Post-Midterm IPO Announcement

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could leave conservatorship through a 2026 restructuring and IPO, monetizing the government’s equity stake while…

FNMA $4.2B

Glen Bradford Oct 16 5 clicks

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

TBBB $6.8B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 15 7 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $9.2B

CV's Substack Oct 15 19 clicks

Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)

Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…

DFH $764M

Hunterbrook Oct 15 14 clicks

Park Aerospace: The Q2'27 Sell-Off Misreads a Sole-Source Defense Supplier

Park Aerospace’s 11% Q2’27 sell-off overlooks sole-source PAC-3 rocket-motor materials and A320neo engine composites, with missile capacity…

PKE $571M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 15 12 clicks

uniQure: The Market Graded The Wrong Exam

UniQure's Huntington's gene therapy faces an FDA accelerated-approval decision around November 1 after three-year data met both agency…

QURE $1.5B

Bhavneesh Sharma Oct 15 16 clicks

Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!

Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.

RIG $6.2BVAL $5.8B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 15 43 clicks

FINV · long

Finvolution Group

FinVolution, a China and ASEAN unsecured consumer lender, trades at 4x earnings and 0.5x book value.

FINV $711M

Value Investors Club Jul 20 4 clicks

Aya Gold & Silver Stock: The Story Just Got Better

Aya Gold & Silver quadrupled Zgounder production, lifting shares 331% since early 2025, while Boumadine targets another fourfold increase…

AYA $3.8B

Laurentian Research Oct 17 2 clicks

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…

SOLS $9.7B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.

Shenandoah Telecommunications’ Glo Fiber buildout ends this year, and private infrastructure investors’ repeated fiber deals frame a…

SHEN $556M

Phynvesting Oct 14 20 clicks

El Pollo Loco: New York State Of Mind

El Pollo Loco plans 18 to 20 FY26 openings, including 15 franchised New York stores over five years, as asset-light expansion and…

LOCO $499M

Pedro Goulart Oct 14 1 click

SED Energy: The 40% Dividend. Signal or Noise?

SED Energy's proposed Ventura merger projects a 22% to 40% dividend yield, but idle tender barges, debt and repayments materially reduce…

SBDXF $498M

Cannibal Stocks Oct 13 8 clicks

GitLab Will Finally Break GitHub's Monopoly In 2027

GitLab targets a 2027 inflection as agentic AI, software sovereignty demand and GitHub reliability issues lift win rates, first orders and…

GTLB $8.9B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Oct 13 1 click

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXI

Park Aerospace reported 27% revenue growth and 72% EPS growth, supported by composite materials for Airbus engines and PAC-3 rocket motors.

PKE $571M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 13 5 clicks

CarGurus ($CARG): The Auto Trader of America, Priced Like a Used Car

CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…

CARG $2.7B

Substack von Philipp Oct 13 11 clicks

The Final Phase of This Bull Market Will Be Massive | Charles Lemonides

Charles Lemonides argues the 18-year bull market has not reached its late-stage liftoff, pairing value-oriented semiconductor longs with…

LYFT $6.5B

The Monetary Matters Network Oct 12 9 clicks

Sunday, October 18, 2026

SG on X

Serenity on X

George Noble on X

Asif Suria on X

Myles on X

SG on X

SG on X

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