Saturday, October 17, 2026

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

SiriusXM trades at 6.5 times free cash flow, a 15% yield, with high short interest and catalysts that could drive a short squeeze.

SIRI $9B

Eagle Point Capital 31h ago 29 clicks

Oct 15 TBBB $6.8B

PesoRama: Research Flash

Atrium Research - Equity Research 6 clicks

Oct 15 MOD $9.2B

Modine Deep Dive

CV's Substack 17 clicks

From X

@junkbondinvest Oct 15

junkbondinvestor on X

GTCR and Elliott are buying $CCC at ~5.3x fwd revenue and ~12.5x EBITDA. This is a uppier-tier vertical SaaS w/ ~42% EBITDA margins, ~98% gross retention, and network effects If the best assets are clearing at 5-6x, think about what that means for software lenders on everything else.

@valuedontlie Oct 15 2 clicks

Colin King on X

September 2026 write-ups: 1) $THRM RMT transaction (sort of a spin) 2) $CTVA $VYLR spin-off 3) Guide to M&A situations 4) $DECK beaten down (busted GARP) 5) $RAVE transitioning from turnaround to growth story https://t.co/fKWlrWNy4S

@gnoble79 Oct 15

George Noble on X

Thank you @ericjackson for making our 75% return on our $OPEN short position possible. https://t.co/nYkwFmfGHw

@gnoble79 Oct 15

George Noble on X

Attention $OPEN army. I could not have been any more explicit and persistent in urging you to sell your $OPEN at 8 one year ago. You did not listen. Instead I was met with profane invective. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. It is indeed. The ridicule was loud. The analysis was weak. The result was decisive. Some arguments are best settled by the scoreboard. The media is complicit for promoting this garbage. The Noble Update has generated a long/short spread of 63% from selecting longs and shorts over the last year. I Check it out. You want performance? We got this. @natbrunell @philrosenn @APompliano @ericjackson @rabois @MebFaber @dayetweets @MarkNeuman18 @nejatian @piovincenzo_ @MollySOShea @shaneparrish @JonErlichman @Mindset4Money_X @cvpayne @SaraEisen @carlquintanilla @michaelsantoli @jonathanrstern

@irbezek Oct 15 3 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

If you're wondering why half of FinTwit is going nuts while everyone else is chilling, it's because some of the momo stuff is down 30% this week. $AAOI https://t.co/2s7dBv2qgq

@DeepSailCapital Oct 15 2 clicks

Deep Sail Capital on X

I’d throw out $JOBY, it’s still a legit company and leader in the EVTOL space with real catalyst ahead with Dubai commercial service is targeted for the end of 2026

@valuedontlie Oct 15

Colin King on X

@junkbondinvest CSWC spun off control stake in what is now $CSW Solid operators in an otherwise tough space

@stockgutter Oct 15

SG on X

you should start a thread collecting "mega junk" ideas that may bounce. Here's one: $FRMI. Total shitco down 89% in the past year. And, a large owner just lost a proxy fight so should be presumed to sell. He dumped over 4m shares this week. But Fermi finally has a tenant and signed a deal with AMD, so has resolved some short-term problems. 19+% of float is short. I think they have pressed too far. No position yet but stinkbids are in today.

Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!

Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.

RIG $6.2BVAL $5.8B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 15 39 clicks

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…

SOLS $9.7B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Peabody Energy: The Recovery Case Depends On Centurion

Peabody Energy’s recovery case hinges on Centurion, coal-market leverage, capital allocation and balance-sheet strength amid commodity…

BTU $3.1B

CAN Analyst Oct 14 1 click

CarGurus ($CARG): The Auto Trader of America, Priced Like a Used Car

CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…

CARG $2.7B

Substack von Philipp Oct 13 11 clicks

The Final Phase of This Bull Market Will Be Massive | Charles Lemonides

Charles Lemonides argues the 18-year bull market has not reached its late-stage liftoff, pairing value-oriented semiconductor longs with…

LYFT $6.5B

The Monetary Matters Network Oct 12 9 clicks

Bristlemoon September 2026 Quarterly Letter

Bristlemoon Global Fund lost 8.4% in the September quarter and added shorts in Campbell’s, REA Group, MasterBrand and Polaris amid narrow…

CPB $6B

Bristlemoon Capital Oct 12 10 clicks

LQDA: finer powder, higher doses

Liquidia’s Yutrepia sales reached $170.4 million in Q2 2026, while a patent ruling threatens its PH-ILD label but leaves PAH sales and a…

LQDA $3.1B

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 12 4 clicks

Jumping On The Robotics Train: Initiating Buy On Cognex

Cognex expects 15% revenue growth this year as its RealSense acquisition expands machine-vision exposure to robotic perception, logistics,…

CGNX $9.6B

Fountainhead Oct 12 2 clicks

Global-e: The Invisible Engine Behind the Brands You Buy From Directly Online! $GLBE

Global-e provides cross-border merchant-of-record, payments, tax and fulfillment services to more than 1,500 brands, including Shopify…

GLBE $6.4B

Substack von Philipp Oct 12 6 clicks

Penguin Solutions: Explosive AI Growth At A Surprisingly Low Valuation

Penguin Solutions grew FY2026 revenue 26% as AI data-center and memory demand expanded, while negative free cash flow and cyclical memory…

PENG $3.5B

Investor Overview Oct 12 5 clicks

SPHR · long

Sphere Entertainment CO

Sphere Entertainment is shifting from construction and startup spending to a high-margin, cash-generative venue-operator model, with…

SPHR $3.7B

Value Investors Club Jul 17 2 clicks

GitLab Will Finally Break GitHub's Monopoly In 2027

GitLab targets a 2027 inflection as agentic AI, software sovereignty demand and GitHub reliability issues lift win rates, first orders and…

GTLB $8.9B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Oct 13 1 click

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Hong Kong stocks Value Stocks late in a Bull Market, and Consolidating a Big Short

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac common shareholders face at least 90% dilution if Treasury converts its growing senior preferred stakes into…

FNMA $4.2B

Cassandra Unchained Oct 11 5 clicks

Deep Dive: Inter & Co

Inter & Co, Brazil’s second-largest neobank, grew over 20% with controlled delinquencies and 15% book-value compounding while trading at…

INTR $3B

Capitalist Letters Oct 11 7 clicks

Glaukos: Steep Premium For New Therapies And Growth

Glaukos is expanding from glaucoma devices into sustained drug delivery and corneal cross-linking, but GKOS's premium valuation leaves…

GKOS $9.7B

Myriam Alvarez Oct 11 4 clicks

You Understand Now, Why You Came This Way

Brazil’s October 25 runoff puts Bolsonaro’s likely victory at the center of a bullish regional-stock case; Golar LNG (GLNG) also reports…

GLNG $4.7B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 9 3 clicks

Research & Analysis: Legence Corp. (NASDAQ: LGN)

Legence trades at 10.4x EV/aEBITDA with a $5.7 billion backlog, as AI data center installations drive growth and expand its maintenance…

LGN $4.8B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 9 3 clicks

OceanaGold: A Debt-Free Gold Miner Priced Below Its Mines, With Its Best One Still Being Dug

OceanaGold trades below its mine value despite US$655 million of cash and no debt, with production set to dip before Wharekirauponga begins…

OGC $5.7B

The Bullionaire Oct 9 1 click

Cava Group: Buying The (Feta) Dip? (Ticker: CAVA)

Cava’s $3 million AUVs, 25.1% restaurant margins and sector-leading same-store sales support its expansion case as awareness rose from 40%…

CAVA $6.4B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 9 6 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Constellation Brands, GEO Group, Under Armour, CITIC Resources

Special-situations survey profiles 26 activist, capital-return, M&A and strategic-alternative catalysts, led by buybacks at Under Armour,…

GEO $4.1BUAA $2.1B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 8 2 clicks

Saturday, October 17, 2026

junkbondinvestor on X

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George Noble on X

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