TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)
Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.
Friday, October 16, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Barbarian Capital on X
E.l.f. Beauty CFO Mandy Fields on consumers, pricing and building a foundation in cosmetics $ELF https://t.co/VYtj1rP3T7
Myles on X
Continuing to add Biotech long short exposure aggressively here. Just longing anything smart people/funds are long and shorting anything with high short interest that's a bit squeezy as a basket, plus shorting some $XBI. Nearing 10% gross exposure.
A Capital on X
@edge_of_power Sounds like cope. Smart money says $CIFR is a 🍩
Ian Bezek on X
@valuedrift Without naming that which should not be named, it is interesting Mexico $EWW is up 1.3% today.
Farmer on X
Bought some $ABVX calls instead.
Farmer on X
@Biohazard3737 $ZURA price action makes me think retail accounts getting margin called. Unless pods are yolo'ing into @A_May_MD pitches too.
Colin King on X
Anyone have access to BofA downgrade on $DCH? I'm long and this is a pretty steep cut lol https://t.co/6mhk6JRqA8
Myles on X
Shorting a tiny bit of $RGR here on a post tender slide.
Investor Letters
All letters- Ariel Investments Quarter Ended September 30, 2026 BIO $9.7BNCLH $6.8B
- Rewey Asset Management 3Q26 MEC $362MUCTT $2.5B
- Hosking Partners Q3 2026 DHT $4.1BHAFN $5.4B
- Patient Capital Management 3Q26 NCLH $6.8BPGEN $2.7B
- Artisan Partners Q3 2026 SPIIY $7.2B
- Frank Capital Partners Q3 2026 SPB $1.8BHRB $6B
- Jemekk Capital Management Q3 2026 MDA $4.7B
- Southeastern Asset Management 3Q26 ACI $6.3BFBIN $4.8B
Modine Deep Dive
Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…
Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)
Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…
Park Aerospace: The Q2'27 Sell-Off Misreads a Sole-Source Defense Supplier
Park Aerospace’s 11% Q2’27 sell-off overlooks sole-source PAC-3 rocket-motor materials and A320neo engine composites, with missile capacity…
uniQure: The Market Graded The Wrong Exam
UniQure's Huntington's gene therapy faces an FDA accelerated-approval decision around November 1 after three-year data met both agency…
Bhavneesh Sharma 11 clicks
Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!
Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.
October 2026 Random Ramblings
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…
Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.
Shenandoah Telecommunications’ Glo Fiber buildout ends this year, and private infrastructure investors’ repeated fiber deals frame a…
El Pollo Loco: New York State Of Mind
El Pollo Loco plans 18 to 20 FY26 openings, including 15 franchised New York stores over five years, as asset-light expansion and…
Pedro Goulart 1 click
SED Energy: The 40% Dividend. Signal or Noise?
SED Energy's proposed Ventura merger projects a 22% to 40% dividend yield, but idle tender barges, debt and repayments materially reduce…
GitLab Will Finally Break GitHub's Monopoly In 2027
GitLab targets a 2027 inflection as agentic AI, software sovereignty demand and GitHub reliability issues lift win rates, first orders and…
Ignacio Planas Gonzalez 1 click
POST · long Post Holdings INC
Post Holdings remains a large position after the stock's recent decline.
Alsea: Durable Growth at 5.4x EBITDA (Ticker: ALSEA)
Alsea, Mexico’s Starbucks, Domino’s and Burger King franchise operator, trades at 5.4x EBITDA while funding remodels, Mexican expansion and…
Grupo Aeroportuario Del Sureste: Quant Ratings Say Sell, But The Underlying Moat Says Strong Buy
ASR’s $992 million Motiva acquisition broadens its South American airport network after a 25% YTD decline, while its 8.5% FCF yield and…
C Jessen 3 clicks
Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update
Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…
Birkenstock: Sector-Leading Growth At An Attractive Valuation
Birkenstock targets 13–15% annual revenue growth through FY2028, driven by APAC expansion and closed-toe footwear, while trading at 13.44…
Roman Vitasek 4 clicks
Thursday Tailwinds #8: Sep 24, 2026
ResMed benefits as Eli Lilly-funded sleep-apnoea diagnoses expand PAP demand, while NOV’s geothermal cutters and Po Valley’s unhedged…
Fast Growth, Weak Controls: The Trouble Beneath Kestra Medical ($KMTS)
Kestra Medical’s growth was flattered by reserve benefits, while weak WCD compliance and Element’s Jewel patch threaten ASSURE’s advantage.
A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t
ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…
Turning Point Brands: The Market Is Now Overly Concerned (Rating Upgrade)
Turning Point Brands reaffirmed 2026 guidance after a CEO change, while ALP and FRE expansion has compressed margins through marketing and…
Caffital Research 1 click
Research Roundup Vol. LIII
Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…
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Seeking Alpha 52 of 235
Albert Anthony
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The J Thesis
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Value Capital Research
Vishal Jadaun
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Dalius - Special Sits
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Deep Sail Capital
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DOMO Capital Management, LLC
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Fierce_beast
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Hunterbrook
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JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
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Kuppy
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ToffCap
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Undiscovered Compounders
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- 1 Main Capital
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- Akre Capital Management, LLC
- Alluvial Capital Management
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- Alpinum Investment Management AG
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- Andvari Associates
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- Markel Group
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- Nelnet
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- Optimist Fund
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- Pershing Square Holdings
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- Vltava Fund
- Vulcan Value Partners
- Warden Capital
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- Wedgewood Partners
- Weitz Investment Management
- White Brook Capital
- White Falcon Capital Management
Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
