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Friday, October 16, 2026

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PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store openings.

TBBB $6.8B
Atrium Research - Equity Research 6 clicks

From X

@AltayCapital 2 clicks

AltayCap on X

The only industries where obvious capital allocation lingo is useful is leasing / banking / insurance. It's much more nebulous in operating businesses that do real things. $AER ceo saying the cheapest commercial jets are on the NYSE under the ticker AER is easy to understand. As math is pencilling out cost of new orders vs buying back stock. $FOUR competes in the real world. Leasing/banking products are fungible. Much harder biz to forecast. Cap allocation is still important, but a lot harder.
@calvinblissett 2 clicks

Calvin Blissett on X

$TTAM: Stan Druckenmiller and Chris Hohn long concrete. Titan America is a vertically integrated East Coast cement/building-materials platform with leading positions in Florida (~31%), Virginia/North Carolina (~30%) and Metro New York (~24%). Its moat is physical: scarce permitted cement capacity, quarries, marine terminals, rail, ready-mix and downstream distribution. The business generated $1.66B of revenue and $390M of adjusted EBITDA in 2025, and 2025 ROCE was 19.5%. The major change in 2026 is Keystone. Titan closed the $310M acquisition in May, adding 990K tons of clinker capacity and >50 years of mineral reserves. Keystone contributed ~$20M of Q2 revenue; Titan is targeting ≥$30M of annual run-rate synergies by 2029. Mid-Atlantic Q2 revenue/EBITDA rose 27%/30%, partly driven by Keystone, while Florida EBITDA fell 19% because of Pennsuco maintenance and import-logistics disruptions. The construction backdrop is softer than the old table suggested: U.S. construction spending was down 3.8% YoY in July 2026, and ACA expects cement consumption to fall 2.5% in 2026 before turning positive in 2027. The bright spots are data centers and infrastructure: July 2026 AIA consensus calls for data-center construction growth of 33% in 2026 and 24.7% in 2027, while nonresidential overall is -0.3% / +3.0%. At $13.85 on September 25, TTAM has ~$2.55B of market cap and ~$3.09B of EV against $393.7M of TTM adjusted EBITDA, or ~7.9x EV/EBITDA. A reference peer group is around ~12.4x. Your replacement-cost framework of ~$4.2B ex-logistics therefore equates to ~$1.1B above current EV; after net debt, roughly ~$3.7B of equity value versus ~$2.6B today. The key debate is no longer whether Keystone is cheap on capacity—it is whether Titan can actually turn that capacity into normalized EBITDA through utilization, pricing and network synergies.

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October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…

SOLS $9.7B
Yet Another Value Podcast 87 clicks

LQDA: finer powder, higher doses

Liquidia’s Yutrepia sales reached $170.4 million in Q2 2026, while a patent ruling threatens its PH-ILD label but leaves PAH sales and a…

LQDA $3.1B
Trade Ideas Flow 4 clicks
SPHR · long

Sphere Entertainment CO

Sphere Entertainment is shifting from construction and startup spending to a high-margin, cash-generative venue-operator model, with…

SPHR $3.7B
Value Investors Club 2 clicks

Deep Dive: Inter & Co

Inter & Co, Brazil’s second-largest neobank, grew over 20% with controlled delinquencies and 15% book-value compounding while trading at…

INTR $3B
Capitalist Letters 7 clicks

You Understand Now, Why You Came This Way

Brazil’s October 25 runoff puts Bolsonaro’s likely victory at the center of a bullish regional-stock case; Golar LNG (GLNG) also reports…

GLNG $4.7B
WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 3 clicks

Thursday Tailwinds #10: 8 Oct 2026

US aluminium tariffs, European glass automation and Foraco’s constrained drilling fleet create multi-year pricing tailwinds, with Century…

CENX $3.4B
Trade Ideas Flow 2 clicks

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