Friday, October 16, 2026

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34B

Steve Eisman 44h ago 15 clicks

47h ago GLOO $298M

GLOO: Gloo's own filings make the short case

Guardian Research 11 clicks

Oct 16 BMBL $783M

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

TSOH Investment Research 11 clicks

From X

@gnoble79 39h ago 2 clicks

George Noble on X

@richardsmith $IREN could be a zero.

@BarbarianCap 40h ago 2 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

$PM crazy intraday moves (incl new intraday ATH both days) July 28 Oct 15 $COST $KO $BUD $MO $MDLZ similar on these two days; earnings day-like moves https://t.co/jVyJ8a4Tkp

@BarbarianCap 40h ago 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

E.l.f. Beauty CFO Mandy Fields on consumers, pricing and building a foundation in cosmetics $ELF https://t.co/VYtj1rP3T7

@finphysnerd 41h ago 1 click

Myles on X

Continuing to add Biotech long short exposure aggressively here. Just longing anything smart people/funds are long and shorting anything with high short interest that's a bit squeezy as a basket, plus shorting some $XBI. Nearing 10% gross exposure.

@finphysnerd 42h ago 2 clicks

Myles on X

Had a 2.7% up day today, which is my best day since starting to manage money last year. Back to all time highs courtesy of $SITC, plus everything else lining up nicely today. Feels good after an absolute grind of a month.

@KEDM_COM 42h ago 4 clicks

KEDM.com on X

A company that is not having a good time is the recent spin-off, Honeywell Aerospace $HONA, which is still not recovering from the poor set of results. A reminder that these guys are targeting 6-8% organic growth through 2030, with EBIT and FCF growing faster than revenue. The business combines leading OEM positions with a large aftermarket franchise, including the #1 position in APUs (~65% share) and the #2 position in avionics. Cheaper than its peers, but for a reason? That's why it's interesting to see the first insider buying shares on the open market.

@ACapitalLP 44h ago 1 click

A Capital on X

@edge_of_power Sounds like cope. Smart money says $CIFR is a 🍩

@leevalueroach 44h ago 11 clicks

Lee Roach on X

Target has been completely liquidated of every single Pokemon card and they put up this sign. I’m standing and watching this area and there have been dozens of grown me. Come into your look for Pokemon cards. Market sleeping on GameStop $GME with their entire thumb up their ass. https://t.co/9iA5sovJ8Q

Dorchester Minerals: Variable Royalty Income Without Enough Valuation Discount

Dorchester Minerals' 9.5% normalized yield and debt-free royalty model are offset by limited upside at $29.71, as extraordinary…

DMLP $1.5B

Atlas Diary Oct 16 2 clicks

Tuya: A Global Smart-Home Platform Priced Like a Cash Box

Tuya’s $976 million cash pile equals 94% of its $1.04 billion market cap as its smart-home platform returned to 16% revenue growth in Q2…

TUYA $1.1B

Substack von Philipp Oct 16 38 clicks

Fannie Mae Preferreds For Post-Midterm IPO Announcement

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could leave conservatorship through a 2026 restructuring and IPO, monetizing the government’s equity stake while…

FNMA $4.2B

Glen Bradford Oct 16 4 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 51 clicks

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

TBBB $6.8B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 15 6 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $9.2B

CV's Substack Oct 15 16 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 24 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $88B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 25 clicks

Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)

Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…

DFH $764M

Hunterbrook Oct 15 13 clicks

Park Aerospace: The Q2'27 Sell-Off Misreads a Sole-Source Defense Supplier

Park Aerospace’s 11% Q2’27 sell-off overlooks sole-source PAC-3 rocket-motor materials and A320neo engine composites, with missile capacity…

PKE $571M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 15 12 clicks

OSG · long

Octave Specialty Group INC

Octave Specialty Group, formerly Ambac Financial, is pitched as a long after its municipal bond insurance past.

OSG $209M

Value Investors Club Jun 29 1 click

P&C Stocks Worth Owning: The AI Hedge with Ryan Tunis | The Real Eisman Playbook Episode 74

Ryan Tunis discusses P&C insurers, favoring Travelers over Chubb in a soft commercial market and calling AIG a near-book-value self-help…

TRV $79BAIG $41B

Steve Eisman Sep 7 12 clicks

Pinterest: Underlying Growth Remains Stronger Than The Market Thinks

Pinterest’s Q2 showed reaccelerating North American growth, while weaker international trends, AI-related engagement risks and elevated…

PINS $13B

Richard Durant Sep 7 2 clicks

Lasers for CPO/NPO: Part 3 – Master Oscillator, Power Amplifier

MOPA lasers combine a roughly 100 mW seed diode with an integrated semiconductor optical amplifier to produce about 400 mW for co-packaged…

LITE $77B

Vik's Newsletter Sep 7

WD #357: Tecnoglass/Tariffs, Colombia Mining Boom?, Airports & Airlines

Tecnoglass could recover tariff- and FX-hit margins as U.S. blanket tariffs on Colombian goods lift.

TGLS $1.7B

Ian’s Insider Corner Sep 7 3 clicks

Scholar Rock: Manufacturing Noise Obscures A Muscle-Targeted Franchise

Scholar Rock’s apitegromab could become the first muscle-targeted SMA therapy by September 2026, but manufacturing setbacks and a…

SRRK $4.8B

Equity Eagle Sep 7

The Quality Check #1

The Quality Check #1 reviews recent developments at Arista, Cummins, Veeva, ServiceNow and AppLovin following earnings season.

CMI $73BVEEV $51B

Jimmy's Journal Sep 7

lululemon: An 18% Crash Is Not A Buy Signal

Lululemon’s Americas revenue fell 8% and comps dropped 12%, while a $134.5 million tariff refund masked weakening underlying margins after…

LULU $11B

On the Pulse Sep 7 1 click

Celsius: The Pepsi Put

Celsius holds 20% of the U.S. energy-drink market and 40% of sugar-free sales, but its $1.65 billion Alani acquisition complicates…

CELH $7.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 7 8 clicks

On Holding $ONON: I Bought the Shoes First, Then the Stock

On Holding $ONON combines a high-margin direct-to-consumer footwear model with replacement-driven demand, after Q2 2026 sales rose 21.6%…

ONON $12B

Substack von Philipp Sep 7 5 clicks

Friday, October 16, 2026

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Barbarian Capital on X

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A Capital on X

Lee Roach on X

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