Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.
Friday, October 16, 2026
Back to today 
From X
George Noble on X
@richardsmith $IREN could be a zero.
Barbarian Capital on X
$PM crazy intraday moves (incl new intraday ATH both days) July 28 Oct 15 $COST $KO $BUD $MO $MDLZ similar on these two days; earnings day-like moves https://t.co/jVyJ8a4Tkp
Barbarian Capital on X
E.l.f. Beauty CFO Mandy Fields on consumers, pricing and building a foundation in cosmetics $ELF https://t.co/VYtj1rP3T7
Myles on X
Continuing to add Biotech long short exposure aggressively here. Just longing anything smart people/funds are long and shorting anything with high short interest that's a bit squeezy as a basket, plus shorting some $XBI. Nearing 10% gross exposure.
A Capital on X
@edge_of_power Sounds like cope. Smart money says $CIFR is a 🍩
Lee Roach on X
Target has been completely liquidated of every single Pokemon card and they put up this sign. I’m standing and watching this area and there have been dozens of grown me. Come into your look for Pokemon cards. Market sleeping on GameStop $GME with their entire thumb up their ass. https://t.co/9iA5sovJ8Q
Kuppy on X
Where were the signs..?? $CRWV https://t.co/YEEG8BJ02p
Investor Letters
All letters- Distillate Capital 2026 Q3 TOL $12B
- Ariel Investments Quarter Ended September 30, 2026 BIO $9.7BCRL $15B
- Rewey Asset Management 3Q26 MEC $362MUCTT $2.5B
- Hosking Partners Q3 2026 DHT $4.1BHAFN $5.4B
- Guinness Global Investors third quarter of 2026 AFL $59BDANOY $44B
- Patient Capital Management 3Q26 ADBE $98BADYEN $34B
- Wedgewood Partners Third Quarter 2026 MSI $74BODFL $38B
- Artisan Partners Q3 2026 JPPTY $68BNGG $80B
Fannie Mae Preferreds For Post-Midterm IPO Announcement
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Is The Market Turning The Page?
CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.
PesoRama: Research Flash
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Modine Deep Dive
Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…
CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default
CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…
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AppLovin Deep Dive
AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…
Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)
Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…
Park Aerospace: The Q2'27 Sell-Off Misreads a Sole-Source Defense Supplier
Park Aerospace’s 11% Q2’27 sell-off overlooks sole-source PAC-3 rocket-motor materials and A320neo engine composites, with missile capacity…
uniQure: The Market Graded The Wrong Exam
UniQure's Huntington's gene therapy faces an FDA accelerated-approval decision around November 1 after three-year data met both agency…
Bhavneesh Sharma 12 clicks
Constellation: Stars Aligning?
Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…
NRGV · long Energy Vault Holdings INC
Energy Vault (NRGV) is pitched as a long at about $4 per share, with contracted owned-and-operated projects supporting a $10 to $15 target.
Stocks on My Radar - Consumer Edition
Crocs’ core brand surpassed $1 billion in quarterly revenue, while HEYDUDE weakness, tariffs and 2025 impairments weigh on shares trading…
Nintendo: The Software Payoff Is Still Ahead
Nintendo expects software, digital sales and character licensing to drive growth, with FY2027 revenue forecast at ¥2.05 trillion and…
LL Insights 
Adobe, Oracle, and Druckenmiller (NOTW#107)
Adobe’s RPO and ARR growth continue to decelerate, while Oracle’s AI cloud capex economics face a supply-normalization test.
Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis
Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed…
The Groupon Turnaround — Dušan Šenkypl & Rana Kashyap | Ep. 3
Groupon CEO Dušan Šenkypl and CFO Rana Kashyap discuss rebuilding the local-experiences marketplace with AI infrastructure, better…
Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound
Lululemon’s growth stalled as affordable-luxury apparel brands face fading post-Covid demand, cheap social-media influence and China…
The Five Deals That Made Apollo
Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)
TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…
Independence Realty Buying Centerspace: Opportunity And Implications
Independence Realty Trust is buying Centerspace in stock to create an $8.1 billion apartment REIT, targeting 5% 2027 Core FFO per-share…
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