Friday, October 16, 2026

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

Brookfield Asset Management: What If The AI Boom Backfires?

Brookfield Asset Management's fee revenue rose 16.2% and distributable earnings 15.8%, but its 18% five-year target relies on AI-led growth…

BAM $72B

SA Daniel Schönberger Oct 15 3 clicks

Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…

Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!

Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…

Everyone wants to defend CoreWeave but who really knows

CoreWeave faces fresh skepticism as another AI trade selloff collides with bullish defenses of the company.

A Conversation With Ari Emanuel About Entertainment and AI

Ari Emanuel discusses AI’s impact on Hollywood, live events, social networks and the future of advertising.

Coherent | Management Call

Peabody Energy: The Recovery Case Depends On Centurion

Peabody Energy’s recovery case hinges on Centurion, coal-market leverage, capital allocation and balance-sheet strength amid commodity…

BTU $3.1B

SA CAN Analyst Oct 14 1 click

MSI · long

Motorola Solutions INC

Motorola Solutions’ core value proposition remains intact after business changes since 2022, supporting a growth-at-a-reasonable-price…

A letter to founding members

Cannibal Stocks favors cash-generative companies that retire shares at low valuations, citing Dillard’s 80% share reduction and…

[Market Memo] Qualcomm/Amazon, Apple C2 Modem, Credo uLED 30M Claim, Cerebras I/O Conspiracy Theory

Qualcomm's Amazon coherent-lite DSP work may carry lower margins as Apple’s C2 modem cuts Qualcomm’s iPhone share; Credo’s 30-meter uLED…

A compounding Toll Bridge at a 7x multiple, 4% dividend yield, 31 year average concession life, 12% of shares bought back, 12% current authorization with secular trends. Founder CEO

PINFRA's nonvoting PINFRAL shares trade 27.2% below voting stock despite identical economics, while its toll-road concessions average 31…

Oak Bloke Bonkers Conkers 13th September 2026

Oak Bloke’s 2026 picks have returned 37% in GBP, with AltynGold, Geiger Counter, Silvercorp and China-focused trusts still rated buys…

Stocks on My Radar - Consumer Edition

Crocs’ core brand surpassed $1 billion in quarterly revenue, while HEYDUDE weakness, tariffs and 2025 impairments weigh on shares trading…

Adobe, Oracle, and Druckenmiller (NOTW#107)

Adobe’s RPO and ARR growth continue to decelerate, while Oracle’s AI cloud capex economics face a supply-normalization test.

USA Compression: Unlocking Efficiency As It Heads To The Texas Stock Exchange

USA Compression targets nearly 30% full-year EBITDA growth as JW Power synergies, telemetry and maintenance reduce costs; its units yield…

USAC $3.6B

SA Ron Ferrie Sep 11 3 clicks

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed…

Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound

Lululemon’s growth stalled as affordable-luxury apparel brands face fading post-Covid demand, cheap social-media influence and China…