Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.7BSBUX $109B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Oct 14 NVDA $5.2T

An Interview with Nvidia’s Ian Buck on Why GPUs Keep Winning

Key Context by Tae Kim 5 clicks

Oct 14 SHEN $556M

Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.

Phynvesting 20 clicks

From X

@RagingVentures Oct 14 2 clicks

Raging Capital Ventures on X

@orrdavid @merrillmatter To be fair, I asked you *a lot* of questions - $SPCX was far from the hardest! In response, you were fully transparent and didn’t dodge any of my questions. You were great. I can’t wait to share the full cleaned up transcript of our discussion, likely in early November.

@LaughingH20Cap Oct 14 5 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@bufetmastermind @secretlyaninja @mbamcnulty maybe i don't. I'd appreciate if you could explain. they had said 50% FCF margin on $1B in sales. $LQDA is still going to get to $1B in sales. Its just going to take longer. Tell me why 50% FCF margins are not in play. Bonus points if you can tell why they won't reduce costs

@HaydenCapital Oct 14 1 click

Fred Liu on X

Is Tiktok Shop slowing? J&T Express just reported SE Asia parcel volumes, and are flat for the year at ~31M per day for the last few qtrs. They're guiding to 50-55% full year growth, implying Q4 holiday season only ramps to 33-37M parcels. Evidence Shopee's VIP & logistics investments are working? $SE $1519.HK

@hkuppy Oct 14 1 click

Kuppy on X

I’m sure that $CRWV is money good on funding its gazillions of chip purchase orders, as long as someone funds $CRWV…🤭🤭 https://t.co/TOnS6iGurC

@StableBread Oct 14

Fajasy on X

Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners II $ATII, the SPAC taking atomic-scale coatings maker Forge Nano public, amended the $100M lead commitment in its PIPE on October 13, three days before the October 16 merger vote. Alyeska, the Chicago hedge fund behind that $100M, will now take 7,031,175 of its 10M shares as pre-funded warrants, up from the 3M planned as of September 24. Those warrants cost $0.0001/share to exercise and never expire, but they don't vote until exercised, and Alyeska can cap its ownership at 4.9%, 9.9%, or 19.9% of the shares. ATII and its sponsor, with the consent of BTIG (the bank that ran ATII's IPO), also waived the transfer restrictions on the 3M founder shares the sponsor hands Alyeska for free at close. Counting the founder share transfer, Alyeska's effective cost is $7.69/share, and the S-4 (the merger filing) says so directly. So the $100M still lands at close, but the fund providing it got more flexible terms the day before ATII holders had to decide whether to redeem.

@gnoble79 Oct 14 8 clicks

George Noble on X

Keith, you are a total POS. You belong in jail for securities fraud. I own you. You laughed at me first shorting $OOEN at 8. You are such a pathetic, odious pile of garbage. So pathetic. The entire world is laughing at you. Thanks for playing. $OPEN @rabois @ericjackson @APompliano @

@BrokenMoats Oct 14 4 clicks

Broken Moats on X

Hottest trade in the past month.....retail stocks Seems odd with rates and oil and diesel moves over the same time frame. And these are not bounces from being oversold these are double digit moves in most cases to new highs while dpz struggled on their print this week, stocks like DKS collapsed around the time this trade started. Bifurcation in retail in recent weeks that seems to be favoring low quality. Something to watch for a reversal soon $KSS $FIGS $URBN $SHOP

@calvinblissett Oct 14 2 clicks

Calvin Blissett on X

@valuedontlie Forgive me I haven’t done the work I may soon, isn’t the whole point of $VITL is having a brand and being specialized to insulate it from cyclicality to see degree? I’m one of those people who pay up for pasture raised no matter what

RTX Q3 Preview: Two Growth Engines Make This Aerospace And Defense Leader A 'Buy'

RTX’s $289 billion backlog, including $119 billion in defense, supports growth from defense contracts and commercial aerospace aftermarket…

RTX $247B

Blake Winiecki Oct 14 4 clicks

Coherent | Management Call

COHR $52B

P Equity Research Oct 14 19 clicks

My 2028 numbers

ASML’s €11.7 billion quarter benefited from €3.3 billion in installed-base sales and operating leverage, while the MATCH Act threatens…

ASML $631B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 14 26 clicks

Visa: Unpacking The 7 Powers And Forward Valuation Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

Visa’s network economics support long-term compounding, but a 1.7–1.8 forward PEG and risks to high-margin payment revenues limit near-term…

V $750B

C Jessen Oct 14 36 clicks

Deep Dive: Applied Materials ($AMAT)

Applied Materials leads wafer-fab deposition and ranks third in etch, positioning it for tougher 3D chip manufacturing as investors weigh a…

AMAT $359B

Rebound Capital Oct 14 30 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $88BJBHT $22B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 14 clicks

Palantir Is Not C3.Ai, But C3.Ai Wrote Its Watch List - Downgrade Palantir To Hold, Sell C3.Ai

Palantir is cut to Hold after a 35% multiple-driven rally, while C3.ai is rated Sell on stalled revenue, expensive valuation and weak…

PLTR $482B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 14 11 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 16 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

KVHI · long

KVH Industries

KVH Industries is winding down capital-intensive GEO antenna manufacturing and pivoting to an asset-light maritime connectivity business.

KVHI $109M

Value Investors Club May 23 3 clicks

Adobe Deep Dive

Adobe trades at 14x earnings after a 65% decline, with AI, Canva and Figma threatening subscriptions, customer acquisition and…

ADBE $98B

Speedwell Memos May 26 2 clicks

Seaport Entertainment (SEG): Four Catalysts Begin in August 2026

Seaport Entertainment targets positive property-level EBITDA as announced leases and programming add $31 million, while an August 2026…

SEG $287M

Hidden Gems Investing May 26

Glow Lifetech ($GLOW.C) FINS Review

Glow Lifetech’s Q1 revenue hit a record $643,000, up 35% year over year, while its $9.6 million market cap and fading warrant overhang…

GLWLF $5.4M

Wolf's Substack May 26

The $130M Company That Rules What Others Refuse To Touch...(MRDN)

Meridian Holdings (MRDN) operates online betting and casino platforms in 25 countries, arguing its long-standing licenses create a…

MRDN $140M

Phynvesting May 25

Atlas Engineered Products ($AEP.V)

Atlas Engineered Products reported Q1 revenue down 15.5%, gross margin at 3%, and a $1.73 million loss while drawing $2 million on its…

APEUF $29M

Wolf's Substack May 25 1 click

NVIDIA: The AI Factory Is Still Undervalued

NVIDIA reported $81.6 billion revenue, $75 billion data-center sales and $49 billion free cash flow, then weighs custom chips, hyperscalers…

NVDA $5.2T

Modern Value Investing May 25

TIC Solutions Update: New performance framework and a path to $26+ per share.

TIC targets $3 billion of 2029 revenue, 18% adjusted EBITDA margin and 85% free cash flow conversion, requiring roughly $400 million of…

TIC $1.9B

Kairos Research May 22

The Chains Buffett Forged

Warren Buffett's discipline built Berkshire's 22.2% book-value compounding but excluded high-growth winners such as Amazon, Netflix, Google…

BRK.A $1.1T

Bearstone May 20

Nvidia should buyback stock

Nvidia enters earnings with a case for stock buybacks.

NVDA $5.2T

Fabricated Knowledge May 19

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Fred Liu on X

Kuppy on X

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Broken Moats on X

Calvin Blissett on X

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