Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.6BSBUX $113B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Oct 14 SHEN $544M

Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.

Phynvesting 22 clicks

Oct 14 COHR $46B

Coherent | Management Call

P Equity Research 19 clicks

From X

@catechwilliams Dec 5

catechwilliams on X

$DAKT Another strong result: sales grew 6%, $0.27 EPS (ex non-cash convert expense) brings LTM to nearly $1.40 or 8x EPS. Don't see a lot of growing, industry leaders w strong FCF profiles at that multiple. No banks cover it, that will change soon. CFO at 2 conferences this week.

@catechwilliams Dec 4 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$DKNG Basically just said at the Craig Hallum Conference they are going to miss Q4 guidance. CEO: "literally had the worst stretch of the year, the last few weeks...sometimes that happens where you issue your guidance...So we'll see."

@IdeaBrunchEmail Dec 4

Idea Brunch on X

New Idea Brunch interview with Wyatt Sparks of Sea Meadow Capital We discuss a ton of his ideas including $AROC, $AESI, $EQC, $ELME, $WY, and more Read on: https://t.co/2EqRqiZWve

@catechwilliams Nov 30

catechwilliams on X

$DAKT Perhaps the most attractive long I’ve seen in years. Dominant \position in a category growing >20%. Major business overhaul taking hold after years of underperformance. Stock trades at 7x EPS/ 13% FCF yield due to low awareness of these structural improvements (see below)..

@IdeaBrunchEmail Nov 26

Idea Brunch on X

Thank you @irbezek for the phenomenal interview! Some tickers mentioned include $PAC, $OMAB, $ASR, $AGUA, $ALSEA, and $CIB https://t.co/uzLr6Yk1wh

@gatorcapital Nov 16

Derek Pilecki on X

Attended the Piper Sandler bank conference today. Met with $NBN, $UNTY, $WBS, $CNOB and others. Huge disparity between where market is pricing the stocks and what mgmt teams are saying about credit.

@gatorcapital Nov 14

Derek Pilecki on X

I sent out my investor letter last week. I wrote up my investment thesis on $FCNCA. If you would like to receive a copy, DM me your email address.

@CapitalVoss Nov 6 1 click

Voss Capital on X

In Voss's Q3 2023 letter we give updates on $ECN and $CROX and highlight a new long idea, $CRH (base case PT $120, 118% upside). Link here: https://t.co/iCyikUpqno https://t.co/NtFZk6UERg

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending: Discount Is Attractive, But Credit Has Not Stabilized; Hold

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending trades at a 32% NAV discount as non-accruals reach 2.9%, NII and NAV decline, and dividend coverage falls to…

MSDL $1.5B

Rubicon Associates Oct 14 1 click

Deep Dive: Applied Materials ($AMAT)

Applied Materials leads wafer-fab deposition and ranks third in etch, positioning it for tougher 3D chip manufacturing as investors weigh a…

AMAT $301B

Rebound Capital Oct 14 32 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $76BJBHT $21B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 16 clicks

Palantir Is Not C3.Ai, But C3.Ai Wrote Its Watch List - Downgrade Palantir To Hold, Sell C3.Ai

Palantir is cut to Hold after a 35% multiple-driven rally, while C3.ai is rated Sell on stalled revenue, expensive valuation and weak…

PLTR $471B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 14 11 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $20B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 16 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $20B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $20B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

Eaton: Strong Backlog And Margin Recovery Support The Buy Case

Eaton’s backlog, data-center, grid and aerospace demand, plus a 450–500 bp H2 2026 Electrical Americas margin recovery, support the growth…

ETN $153B

Value Capital Research Oct 14 10 clicks

Insider activity September 2026

Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…

GRAB $12B

Asian Century Stocks Oct 14 8 clicks

Scarcity is the boogey man for ASML, Applied Materials

ASML’s strong quarterly results failed to prevent a selloff, as AI investors focused on scarcity fears facing chip-equipment makers…

AMAT $301B

The Technology Letter Oct 13 9 clicks

SRTA · long

Strata Critical Medical INC

Strata Critical Medical, SRTA, supplies organ-transport products tied to U.S. transplant growth.

SRTA $415M

Value Investors Club Jul 16 3 clicks

Expert Call | Corning

Corning’s NVIDIA-backed 10x fiber expansion, enterprise connector demand and carrier capacity plans frame its optical communications…

GLW $116B

P Equity Research Oct 13 38 clicks

Rollins (ROL), Verisure (VSURE), and the cost of standing still (Part 2, Verisure)

Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…

ROL $16B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 13 24 clicks

SED Energy: The 40% Dividend. Signal or Noise?

SED Energy's proposed Ventura merger projects a 22% to 40% dividend yield, but idle tender barges, debt and repayments materially reduce…

SBDXF $509M

Cannibal Stocks Oct 13 8 clicks

BridgeBio: Maintaining 'Strong Buy' Additional Encaleret Data ADH1 And Three Expected FDA Reviews

BridgeBio Pharma reported Q2 revenue of $243.7 million and has three Priority Review NDAs, while $1 billion in convertible preferred…

BBIO $13B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 13 2 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXI

Park Aerospace reported 27% revenue growth and 72% EPS growth, supported by composite materials for Airbus engines and PAC-3 rocket motors.

PKE $558M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 13 5 clicks

CarGurus ($CARG): The Auto Trader of America, Priced Like a Used Car

CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…

CARG $2.8B

Substack von Philipp Oct 13 11 clicks

Altria: The Rally Looks Ahead Of Underlying Earnings Growth

Altria’s EPS gains rely on tax refunds and discount brands while Marlboro growth lags.

MO $125B

Vishal Jadaun Oct 13 2 clicks

Expectations going higher for Everpure, DigitalOcean

Everpure and DigitalOcean face rising expectations as their stock prices shape Monday’s views.

DOCN $12B

The Technology Letter Oct 12 7 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Two

Vicor uses ITC exclusion-order cases to license power-module patents, with published royalty multipliers rising from 1.0x before filing to…

VICR $9.7B

CV's Substack Oct 12 5 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Idea Brunch on X

catechwilliams on X

Idea Brunch on X

Derek Pilecki on X

Derek Pilecki on X

Voss Capital on X

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