October 2026 Random Ramblings
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.
Semrush found that Reddit citations collapsed in ChatGPT through 2025. And in AI responses in general. Different reasons have been proffered, but I for one am glad SEO spam and human-generated nonsense is being weighted less $RDDT https://t.co/J1qIjVsvlO
Newest out. British American Tobacco: Narrowed $BTI $PM $MO $IMBBY $HAYPP $STG https://t.co/EPt01RC0Kk
@FixedIncQuant @nickgiva1 $IBIT has a $46 billion AUM.
Any fundamental views on $RH here? I’ve been recently trying on the short as a trade into the $180 level with some success, feels like it has squeezed higher due to de-grossing/de-leveraging. Other building names are very weak with 10-year testing 5%.
Sold my $BILL on this 50%+ run off the lows, and continue to actively trade around core $HUBS and $WDAY positions by regularly writing calls or shorting puts (and sometimes boxing my longs). The volatility has been insane. Sold $ESTC for now. Also, I’m now short a small amount of $ADBE, $NOW, $TEAM, $CXM and $YEXT into July’s de-grossing/de-leveraging squeeze.
Another ugly quarter at $MO. Still struggling to gain traction in the all-important new smokeless markets, while Marlboro bleeds market share and overall smoking volumes continue to collapse. This has been a good trading short with all of the funky rotation and factor moves. https://t.co/SK4WwXsiiZ
OpenAI “ARR” apparently run rating at $60 b, and (for the most part) they haven’t yet monetized their 1 billion weekly consumer actives. Bullish $ORCL. https://t.co/pBDIrTTAqV
First Tracks Biotherapeutics’ ANB033 posted stronger Phase 1b celiac efficacy than Teva’s IL-15 inhibitor, with $168 million funding…
Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.
Palantir is cut to Hold after a 35% multiple-driven rally, while C3.ai is rated Sell on stalled revenue, expensive valuation and weak…
Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.
Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…
Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.
Eaton’s backlog, data-center, grid and aerospace demand, plus a 450–500 bp H2 2026 Electrical Americas margin recovery, support the growth…
Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…
ASML’s strong quarterly results failed to prevent a selloff, as AI investors focused on scarcity fears facing chip-equipment makers…
Corning’s NVIDIA-backed 10x fiber expansion, enterprise connector demand and carrier capacity plans frame its optical communications…
WDC · long Western Digital, a hard-disk manufacturer, is pitched as a long after significant share-price moves deter investors.
Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…
BridgeBio Pharma reported Q2 revenue of $243.7 million and has three Priority Review NDAs, while $1 billion in convertible preferred…
CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…
Altria’s EPS gains rely on tax refunds and discount brands while Marlboro growth lags.
Everpure and DigitalOcean face rising expectations as their stock prices shape Monday’s views.
Vicor uses ITC exclusion-order cases to license power-module patents, with published royalty multipliers rising from 1.0x before filing to…
Rubrik posted 38% Q2 revenue growth to $427.3 million, but Cloud ARR growth slowed to 39% and its enterprise value reached 15.7 times…
Nebius’s 1 GW annual active-capacity target from 2027 is realistic, according to a former product manager, with greenfield data centers…
Charles Lemonides argues the 18-year bull market has not reached its late-stage liftoff, pairing value-oriented semiconductor longs with…
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