Hippo Holdings ($HIPO): The Insurtech That Stopped Chasing Hype and Started Making Money
Hippo’s insurance platform posted 61% premium growth, a 95.8% combined ratio and a fifth profitable quarter as it shifted toward carrier and MGA fee income.
Saturday, October 10, 2026
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A Capital on X
$TLN sub $290 was indeed a joke. $1.5bn accelerated buyback, retiring >10% of shares by Q1 2027. $3bn total authorization… https://t.co/RsDYuTjylo https://t.co/yyHIHcZ0yd
Deep Sail Capital on X
The Greenland trade is played for now. $GRML looks tired, but borrow still runs ~602%, with $GLND at ~684%. The pump may be fading. The squeeze risk hasn’t. Falling borrow fees + returning inventory would make the “party’s over” call much stronger. It would need another news pump item to reignite it.
Barbarian Capital on X
El Pollo Loco to open first New York restaurant as it aims to become national chicken chain $LOCO https://t.co/eNyH3J68ZR
Barbarian Capital on X
Shell to Double Production Capacity at LNG Canada $SHEL https://t.co/pWZFyMchXg
Barbarian Capital on X
CarMax Posts Higher Profit as Turnaround Takes Shape $KMX https://t.co/A0uMCCqHJN
Barbarian Capital on X
Piper Sandler Holds Talks to Buy Perella Weinberg $PIPR $PWP https://t.co/L1WIMzMpIO
Barbarian Capital on X
Carnival Logs Higher Profit, Revenue on Accelerating Demand $CCL https://t.co/vnpiVFB7ub
Barbarian Capital on X
SoundThinking to Be Taken Private by Transom Capital Group $SSTI https://t.co/brH3rFt55S
Investor Letters
All letters- FPA Crescent Fund 3Q26 028260 $39BADI $197B
- Diranko Capital Q3 2026 AT $587MLFCR $244M
- Stone Sentinel Capital Q326 5515 $327M3565 $144M
- Hood River Capital Management Q3 2026 EOPSF $1.8BEQR $1.4B
- Mar Vista Investment Partners third quarter 2026 GEV $266BMTD $31B
- Kingdom Capital Advisors Q3 2026 BBGI $19MEVC $598M
- Vltava Fund 3/2026 ATDRF $3.7BJFBHF $1.6B
- Cedar Grove Capital Management Q3 2026 EVLV $852MABVX $7.6B
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/09/2026)
Paramount Skydance’s debt-heavy Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition, streaming bundle pricing and alcohol-industry diversification anchor…
Blackstone Secured Lending: A Solid Balance Sheet But About To Cut Its Dividend - HOLD
Blackstone Secured Lending Fund faces a likely dividend cut after its first shortfall in 28 quarters, despite 1.8% non-accruals, $2.8…
Rubicon Associates 
Consumer agents: an ethics race, a prisoner’s dilemma, and the obvious OTA short
Consumer agents create an ethics race among AI labs and a prisoner’s dilemma for retailers, with online travel agencies framed as an…
Hyster Yale (HY) Multibagger potential as confluence of negatives subside. Attractive after markets part services model
Hyster-Yale trades at 0.16 times sales as lift-truck bookings rebound and restructuring targets $85 million to $100 million in annual…
AppLovin: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy Following The Recent Pullback
AppLovin's Ads Manager targets middle-market e-commerce advertisers as Q3 guidance calls for 47% sales growth, while legal and compute-cost…
Jack Elias 3 clicks
Research & Analysis: Legence Corp. (NASDAQ: LGN)
Legence trades at 10.4x EV/aEBITDA with a $5.7 billion backlog, as AI data center installations drive growth and expand its maintenance…
GoDaddy: The AI Transition Is Messy, But I'm Still Buying
GoDaddy’s Airo bookings run-rate rose from $10 million to $50 million in one quarter, but legacy Applications & Commerce declines still…
Fernanda Galvez Jalil 2 clicks
Cava Group: Buying The (Feta) Dip? (Ticker: CAVA)
Cava’s $3 million AUVs, 25.1% restaurant margins and sector-leading same-store sales support its expansion case as awareness rose from 40%…
Boyz in the Hood
Robinhood’s AI agents, 24/7 equity trading and 10:1 crypto perpetual futures encourage higher retail trading velocity, leverage and…
Namib Minerals: Research Note
Namib Minerals posted H1 adjusted EBITDA of $19.0 million, up 76%, as higher gold prices offset lower production.
BNTC · long Benitec Biopharma INC
Benitec Biopharma's BB-301 gene therapy is in a Phase 1b/2a trial for an ultra-rare muscular dystrophy.
Deckers: A 9% Earnings Yield With Q2 Approaching
Deckers trades at 11x forward earnings with $1.6 billion cash, no debt and aggressive buybacks, as HOKA growth and UGG profitability…
TQP Research 5 clicks
The Uranium Cycle Is Turning Up: In Conversation with YCA & Cameco
Yellow Cake and Cameco say U.S. utilities have contracted only 40% of 2030 uranium needs, setting up a new contracting cycle as…
This Week in Special Situations: Constellation Brands, GEO Group, Under Armour, CITIC Resources
Special-situations survey profiles 26 activist, capital-return, M&A and strategic-alternative catalysts, led by buybacks at Under Armour,…
The Story Millrose Told Wall Street About Lennar Purchases Doesn’t Match The Evidence
Millrose told Goldman its Lennar purchases had rent-to-own tenants lined up, but most analyzed homes were advertised for rent and showed…
Nike Taught Me A Dividend Lesson And A China Lesson (Rating Downgrade)
Nike's 4.8% dividend yield masks payout ratios above 100% of forward EPS and inadequate free cash flow coverage, while China sales declines…
Sensor Unlimited 
Golar LNG q2’26 Operational Update
Golar LNG ordered a $2.45 billion fourth FLNG vessel, targeting 3.5MTPA of capacity and $400 million in annual EBITDA under a 20-year…
Ex-Goldman MD: "Credit Markets Move in Step Functions"
Geoffrey Williams explains CMBS underwriting, post-GFC securitized-credit risk transfer and why credit markets reprice in step functions.
Top Rebound Stocks for Oct’26
Intuitive Surgical, down 32% from its January 2025 peak, faces slower US procedure growth and new robotic-surgery rivals despite $10.1…
Credo: The Market Is Wrong About Optics, And That's Creating A Buying Opportunity
Credo expects optical revenue to reach $600 million in FY27 after Q1 revenue grew 114.7% year over year, expanding from AEC cables into AI…
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