Wednesday, October 7, 2026

What I’ve Been Up To

Cogent Communications and AI data-center bottlenecks feature in a newsletter update on recruiting, financial media and conference takeaways.

CCOI $430M

Stock Thoughts Oct 7 2 clicks

Oct 7 LSAK $405M

Lesaka: Why He's Betting Big | Ali Mazanderani | Ep. 5

Mispriced Assets 2 clicks

Oct 7 BTI $120B

A Qualitative Primer on the Nicotine Pouch Space

Sylence Capital 4 clicks

From X

@leevalueroach Sep 29 1 click

Lee Roach on X

Ryan Cohen just bought another $10 million of $GME in the open market. This is over $60 million in less than a month. Is there any company with insider buys this big? Wall Street is completely ignoring this stock. They are asleep at the wheel drooling all over their fat bellies. https://t.co/FOlZ2vnFnC

@calvinblissett Sep 29 3 clicks

Calvin Blissett on X

@alex7frey Very sorry I mixed up my investors it is Chuck Akre with the mental model I am parroting relating to $FICO. Chuck Akre on $MCO and mandated regulatory competition after the GFC. Link: https://t.co/z6dkyBDouS

@P_Remarks Sep 29 1 click

Prepared Remarks on X

For the last month I’ve been sharing all the positive developments for $orcl, especially re OAI reaccel. Nobody cared until it’s in their face. Same is true on the ground w/Jupiter. Project will come online. FCF will inflect. Force Majeure is good move.

@P_Remarks Sep 29 1 click

Prepared Remarks on X

$fico https://t.co/un1AvcUYYT

@stockgutter Sep 29 1 click

SG on X

@DeepSailCapital $MRNX via short Mar27 150-200C lots of ways for this trade to work. Its my preferred way to fade the outsized (and in the past 2 weeks heavily autocorrelated) move in $MRNA

@DeepSailCapital Sep 29

Deep Sail Capital on X

Added back $CRCT short too: One time tariff impacts make the financials look good, but the company is in structural decline: $26.7M of the $47.4M operating income was non-recurring $20.3M of IEEPA tariff refunds and a $6.4M royalty reserve release. Strip them and operating income is roughly half what printed, on revenue that fell 9%. The rest of the bear case: Hardware is in structural decline — down 22%, with lower ASPs on the Joy 2 and Explore 5 launches and heavier promotion. A razor-and-blades model where the razors are shrinking. Platform growth is 5% and subscribers grew 3% to 3.10M. That's the "good" half, and it isn't growing fast enough to carry a declining hardware base. Engagement is flat, not recovering. 90-day engaged users 3.49M against 3.48M. Management framed stabilising active users as a win, which tells you the trend it's stabilising from. Tariff refunds do not repeat. The Q2 comp next year is brutal.

@calvinblissett Sep 29

Calvin Blissett on X

This is what I am alluding to in the Chuck Akre 2011 google talk $FICO https://t.co/ptAE3rvZqV

@ACapitalLP Sep 29

A Capital on X

$FDXF has materially underperformed LTL peers heading into October's first standalone earnings call… Market seems to be pricing in a deteriorating earnings story rather than post-spin complexity. If management can provide clarity on standalone financials and reaffirm its margin trajectory, the RV dislocation could close quickly. Interesting asymmetric setup….

ezCater and the Other Half of Uber's FCF

Uber’s $2.3 billion cash purchase of ezCater extends its buy-versus-build strategy and raises questions about the price and capital…

UBER $140BDASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 7 1 click

L3Harris Technologies (NYSE: LHX) Upgraded Rating: Accumulate

L3Harris upgraded to Accumulate after a 38% stock decline, backed by 8% Q2 revenue growth, a $42 billion backlog and planned Missile…

LHX $44B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 7 1 click

Cerebras: OpenAI's Nvidia Move Doesn't Break The 750 MW Deal

Cerebras retains its 750 MW commitment despite OpenAI's Nvidia move, but TSMC supply, owned capacity and gross-margin recovery remain the…

CBRS $39B

Deep Value Investing Oct 7

💥New Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Filing - And Go Concepts, LLC (Salad and Go)💥

Salad and Go filed Chapter 11 after its Texas and Oklahoma expansion failed, seeking to sell 65 leases to Dutch Bros for $105 million as 7…

BROS $5.5B

PETITION Oct 7 3 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LV

OpenAI’s enterprise privacy push and Synopsys’s Factory 2 royalty model anchor a technology roundup, alongside oil above $100 and Bitcoin’s…

SNPS $97B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 7

Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q3 FY11/26 Earnings

Adobe rates Accumulate at $189-$266 after Q3 FY26 revenue grew 12.9%, while management guided slower growth and RPO growth decelerated.

ADBE $93B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 7 2 clicks

BP p.l.c.: An Oil And Gas Play Primed For Outperformance

BP is investing $10 billion annually in oil and gas through 2027 as higher crude prices, LNG expansion and debt reduction support earnings,…

BP $123B

The Asian Investor Oct 7 6 clicks

Marvell 2026 Investor Day: Irrational Recap

Marvell’s 2026 investor day draws a skeptical review of its optical connectivity, DSP and AI infrastructure claims, while crediting its…

MRVL $241B

Irrational Analysis Oct 7 2 clicks

New Position (ONON): Game is On

On Holding (ONON) is gaining sportswear share, expanding store space and launching soccer with Kylian Mbappé as investors debate U.S.

ONON $11B

Aurelion Research Oct 6 3 clicks

Astronics: Marked Down After A Record Quarter - Buy

Astronics targets $1.02 to $1.04 billion in 2026 revenue after adjusted operating margin reached 20.3%, with Boeing representing 12% of…

ATRO $2.8B

Jordan Aquilina Oct 6

VEEV · long

Veeva Systems INC

Veeva Systems is a vertical software company valued as if its best growth years are behind it.

VEEV $48B

Value Investors Club Jul 9

RLJ Lodging Trust: Opportunity To Own A Quality Hotel Portfolio At Discount While Earning Dividends

RLJ Lodging Trust trades below book value, with positive FY26 FFO guidance and property conversions offset by elevated leverage risk.

RLJ $1.1B

Albert Anthony Oct 6 2 clicks

Rollins (ROL), Verisure (VSURE), and the cost of standing still (Part 1)

Rollins’ recurring pest-control base requires ongoing spending to replace departing customers, a concern tied to its nearly 50%…

ROL $16B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 6

Deep Dive: Intuit ($INTU)

Intuit’s $21.4 billion software franchise faces AI-driven pricing pressure in tax and accounting, even as QuickBooks and TurboTax retain…

INTU $79B

Rebound Capital Oct 6 4 clicks

Capitol Federal Financial: Margin Expansion Supports The Bull Case

Capitol Federal Financial's 2.31% net interest margin and $23.6 million Q3 profit support its shift toward higher-yield commercial lending,…

CFFN $1.1B

Growth Stock Hunter Oct 6

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX

Golar LNG’s fourth FLNG vessel targets 3.5MTPA capacity and a 2029 delivery, supporting projected adjusted EBITDA above $1 billion in…

GLNG $4.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 6 1 click

Uber: Mispriced Growth Hiding In Plain Sight

Uber’s valuation is framed as undervaluing ride-hailing and robotaxi growth, while record institutional ownership offsets concerns over…

UBER $140B

The J Thesis Oct 6 3 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): The CEO Takes a Driving Test

Group 1 Automotive CEO Daryl Kenningham’s Toyota ties, capital-allocation decisions, compensation and stock sales face scrutiny after the…

GPI $2.8B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 6 3 clicks

Dynatrace, Inc. (NYSE: DT) Stock Rating: DISTRIBUTE To Bank Rangebound Gains.

Dynatrace is rated Distribute after a 90% rally to $60.21 nears $62 resistance, while revenue and RPO growth decelerate ahead of November…

DT $17B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 6 2 clicks

Selling Cenovus: Up 78% in 10 Months

Cenovus Energy, up 78% in 10 months, is sold after agreeing to buy Athabasca Oil for $5.7 billion at a rich valuation.

CVE $58B

Bison Insights Oct 5 2 clicks

Wednesday, October 7, 2026

Lee Roach on X

Calvin Blissett on X

Prepared Remarks on X

Prepared Remarks on X

SG on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

Calvin Blissett on X

A Capital on X

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