Tuesday, October 6, 2026

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX

Golar LNG’s fourth FLNG vessel targets 3.5MTPA capacity and a 2029 delivery, supporting projected adjusted EBITDA above $1 billion in fiscal 2029.

GLNG $4.7B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 6 1 click

Oct 6 GPI $2.7B

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): The CEO Takes a Driving Test

Cannibal Stocks 3 clicks

Oct 5 POOL $5.8B

Portfolio Update September 2026

D Invests 1 click

From X

@majgeoinvesting Aug 15

Maj Soueidan on X

Been thinking about $FTEK for the last couple days. My first reaction to the Q2 report was disappointment (although, it was largely expected). However, I’m trying to get better at flipping my initial positive or negative emotional reactions and think of the counter responses. For FTEK, that would be: ✔️Tiny bit of information arbitrage in the earnings call that they are trying to iron out some things with a data center customer on supply chain guarantees. The key here is that they’re having active discussions with that customer. I don’t think they previously got anywhere close to that. ✔️The new CEO could potentially flip the narrative on FTEK pretty quickly. It looks like the company has a bloated expense profile. I want to see if there’s anything in that structure that could be eliminated, that would quickly make the company profitable. ✔️Furthermore, maybe the new CEO takes the company’s $30M cash balance, and makes an acquisition. Due to his experience working at $CECO prior to joining FTEK, he should have some experience evaluating acquisitions,

@majgeoinvesting Aug 15

Maj Soueidan on X

Here’s another example of why investing is hard. You got the social and financial media telling you that AI is a bubble and that the level CAPEX can’t last. Then you got companies like $STRL and $TPC with great visibility… and now $CECO with visibility out to 2030.🤷 https://t.co/DWLzQBGNCm

@DOMOCAPITAL Aug 14

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Looks like a nationwide bankruptcy... Huge for $PBI presort business... https://t.co/giIQNCyH2Y

@irbezek Aug 14 2 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@WaterworldCapi1 $jets Bad industry, oil might go up again, consumer spending may roll over, and the new "capacity discipline" is more lucky accident than strategic. Somebody, probably $aal will start dumping capacity on routes again and margins back to zero

@irbezek Aug 14 3 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@lasse108 @ReturnsJourney $intr

@leevalueroach Aug 14

Lee Roach on X

Not bad earnings at $MCCK. Gold book took a mark to market loss. But core business is kicking at. Revenues up 8.9%. Gross margins expanding. Customer deposits and deferred revenue up 33%. Back out all the cash and gold and this is trading at a dirt cheap multiple.

@blondesnmoney Aug 14 1 click

Cluseau Investments on X

Blackjack 21 hits 36% YTD, 29% above financials. Performance would've been a bit better actually, but I paper handed $WSBF, $HRTG, and $SNEX. Next week, will be adding a small cap financials name to the list, first new member of the Blackjack 21 in months. Below book, repurchasing shares, extremely niche, it'll be a fun one.

@stockgutter Aug 14 1 click

SG on X

Must read imo on $OPEN. Scott raises some great points about the potential if things go right. I have no position rn, and have a more pessimistic view than Scott on the value of Eric Jackson's involvement (my view: he certainly kickstarted but unfortunately showed his true colors stalking a random celebrity for no reason. He is a liability now).

Brazil could be the Q4 Macro Play – My stock ideas: $NU, $INTR, $PICS and maybe $STNE, $PAGS, $DLO and $MELI

Brazilian fintechs NU, INTR and PICS stand to benefit from a Bolsonaro-led runoff surprise that lowers fiscal risk premiums, rates and the…

INTR $3.3BPICS $1.7B

Substack von Philipp Oct 5 4 clicks

Alliance Resource Partners: A ~10% Yield Backed By Contracted Coal And Growing Royalties

Alliance Resource Partners has 2026 coal sales fully contracted and is expanding oil and gas royalties through AllDale, supporting its 9.8%…

ARLP $3.2B

Timur Mekhantev Oct 5 4 clicks

Did Group 1 Overpay for Hennessy? The Seller’s Own Banker Says It Was a Record.

Group 1 paid $1 billion of goodwill for Hennessy’s 10 dealerships, a record $100 million per store, financed largely with $1.25 billion of…

GPI $2.7B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 4 4 clicks

Howard Hughes: Still Attractive Despite Risks Of Rapid Transition

Howard Hughes plans to raise nearly $4 billion by selling real estate assets and condos, accelerating Vantage’s insurance expansion while…

HHH $4.2B

Gary Gambino Oct 3 3 clicks

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is…

MRP $3.7B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

IRDM $4.9B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

AAR’s $1.8 billion acquisition of a 65% stake in MRO Holdings adds widebody aircraft maintenance and targets a 19% to 20% EBITDA margin by…

AIR $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 2 4 clicks

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.7B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

Belden Inc.: The Ruckus Debt Looks Scarier Than The Math

Belden targets net leverage of 2.9x by 2027 from 3.9x, using RUCKUS's 65%+ gross margins and free cash flow to reduce debt.

BDC $4.1B

Lee Bailey Oct 2

Crocs: Double-Digit Buyback Yield (Ticker: CROX)

Crocs has $2 billion of buyback authorization, more than a third of its market cap, as North American sales stabilize and HeyDude drags on…

CROX $5.6B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 2 4 clicks

HRVFF · long

Harvia Oyj

HRVFF $927M

Value Investors Club Jul 7 2 clicks

Geely: Strategic NIO Battery Deal Is A Win

Geely’s ZEEKR nearly doubled first-half 2026 deliveries to 178,000, while Geely bought 30% of NIO’s battery-swapping unit to reduce…

NIO $8.9B

The Asian Investor Oct 4 5 clicks

$TPB: can Turning Point Brands be the third player in nicotine pouches? | Saberpoint Capital

Turning Point Brands' FRE and Alp nicotine pouches aim to become a third C-store brand behind ZYN and Velo as PMTA rules limit new entrants.

TPB $1.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 1 2 clicks

Mattel: M&A Buzz And A CEO Change Create Substantial Uncertainty

Mattel rose 19% on takeover speculation, but a potential $20-per-share bid, margin pressure and CEO transition leave its standalone…

MAT $4.8B

Seeking Profits Oct 1

How Ethos Sold Wall Street on AI While Powering an Analog Boiler Room

Ethos Technologies ($LIFE) sells AI-driven life insurance while relying heavily on multilevel marketing agencies using aggressive cold…

LIFE $2.6B

Hunterbrook Oct 1 1 click

Karman Holdings q2’26 Earnings Update

Karman Holdings reported 58% Q2 revenue growth, $1.3 billion backlog and margin expansion while replacing leadership and remediating…

KRMN $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 1

Innodata: The 45% Pullback Has Changed My View (Rating Upgrade)

Innodata's 45% pullback resets its valuation after two quarters of 50% revenue growth, though two customers still supply 71% of revenue and…

INOD $2B

Kurt Christensen Oct 1

This Week in Special Situations: Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR, Apollo Commercial Real Estate

Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…

KMX $7.2B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 1 1 click

Group 1's CEO Said "Competitive Advantages and Opportunities." A Car Dealer? I Went Looking.

Group 1’s 19% ownership cap, tied to automaker franchise agreements, frames Conifer’s 1.9 million-share stake and potential buyback-driven…

GPI $2.7B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 1 1 click

Not So Fast

Entravision, the portfolio’s largest position, fell more than 40% from its highs as Q3 returns dropped to 37.8% YTD.

EVC $598M

The Mikro Kap Oct 1 3 clicks

Tuesday, October 6, 2026

Maj Soueidan on X

Maj Soueidan on X

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Ian Bezek on X

Ian Bezek on X

Lee Roach on X

Cluseau Investments on X

SG on X

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