Monday, October 5, 2026

Portfolio Update September 2026

Portfolio added Otis Worldwide in the mid-$60s, increased Pool, Copart and Floor & Decor, and sold Berkshire Hathaway.

POOL $5.8B

D Invests Oct 5 1 click

Oct 5 INTR $3.2B

Brazil could be the Q4 Macro Play – My stock ideas: $NU, $INTR, $PICS and maybe $STNE, $PAGS, $DLO and $MELI

Substack von Philipp 3 clicks

Oct 5 OMSE $183M

The Monday Morning Briefing: AI Drives Everything, Yet ROI on Massive Capex Remains Uncertain

Latticework by MOI Global 2 clicks

From X

@DeepSailCapital Oct 5 1 click

Deep Sail Capital on X

@AtlasShrug1 The JV with Sharon AI. Look into that. The PPA gives away 5% equity for the right for $NUAI to buy power from Vista.

@DeepSailCapital Oct 5 3 clicks

Deep Sail Capital on X

Because they are bullshiting everyone. $NUAI https://t.co/FMGotqQuEr

@SowingAlphaSeed Oct 5 1 click

Farmer on X

When is the correct time to short $ARKG? https://t.co/BcdIJj37oj

@ACapitalLP Oct 5

A Capital on X

𝗣𝗲𝗿𝗰𝗲𝗽𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗜𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲. It’s funny: most people think the proliferation of information has made finding dislocations harder. I’d argue the opposite. When information was scarce, speed was the edge. Today the problem is information overload. Social media, AI, headlines, experts, hot takes. Just like different news organizations (CNN, Fox, MSNOW) can frame the same political candidate through completely different lenses, markets create narratives that can overwhelm the underlying facts. Every trade is a spread between perception and truth. Merger arb just makes that spread explicit because you have a relatively fixed endpoint (the deal consideration). Regular-way equities are harder because “truth” is a moving target. But you don’t need to know whether $TLN is worth $350, $370 or $390 to recognize when Josh Shapiro and data-center pushback have distorted perception enough to send it to $270. You don’t need to perfectly value every business line of $OWL to recognize when a Bloomberg story has caused the market to paint the entire business with the private-credit apocalypse brush. And it works both ways: $GLND wasn’t suddenly a critical-minerals bonanza because of a Trump headline. Sometimes the narrative creates the overvaluation. Having the best model or talking to the most experts helps you estimate truth. But truth without an understanding of perception isn’t a trade. You can be a little wrong on intrinsic value and still make a lot of money if you correctly identify that the market’s narrative has overshot reality. The edge today isn’t knowing whether something is worth exactly $37 or $39. It’s understanding why it’s trading at $27 in the first place, whether that perception is wrong, and what makes the gap close…

@DeepSailCapital Oct 5 1 click

Deep Sail Capital on X

@BitcoinAIGuy @optionology What assets does $NUAI actually own? A few million of real estate in Texas? Why is everyone so bullish on a company that was run / pivoted into “power shells” by a shady oil field guy like E Will Gray II?

@Fierce__beast Oct 5

Fierce_beast on X

@paulcerro $evlv seems like a pretty difficult biz

@stockgutter Oct 5

SG on X

@MattJMcClintock you don't need to squint to see the underperformance of $RH vs the rest of sector over the past month or ytd 😉 https://t.co/lyt7NOg23h

@stockgutter Oct 5

SG on X

Reminder: when going public in 2021, Lucid said to expect 251,000 deliveries in 2026. Just a tad short... $LCID https://t.co/bvhUrgyZbk https://t.co/AxJPehHeeH

40 Best Stock Pitches (28th-4th October) 🟢

Old Market Capital, a delisted holding company owning a rural fiber network, trades below comparable network valuations after institutional…

OMCC $27M

Capital Employed Oct 4 7 clicks

💥Leslies Term Lenders Toss a Life Preserver💥

Leslie’s and nine affiliates filed Chapter 11 in Texas on September 30, 2026, after 18 months of deteriorating performance.

LESL $1.6M

PETITION Oct 4 3 clicks

🤿New Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Filing - Leslie’s Inc.🤿

Leslie’s, the pool-supplies retailer, filed Chapter 11 after deteriorating operations, pricing and inventory missteps, and a burdensome…

LESL $1.6M

PETITION Oct 4 3 clicks

Geely: Strategic NIO Battery Deal Is A Win

Geely’s ZEEKR nearly doubled first-half 2026 deliveries to 178,000, while Geely bought 30% of NIO’s battery-swapping unit to reduce…

NIO $8.6B

The Asian Investor Oct 4 5 clicks

Did Group 1 Overpay for Hennessy? The Seller’s Own Banker Says It Was a Record.

Group 1 paid $1 billion of goodwill for Hennessy’s 10 dealerships, a record $100 million per store, financed largely with $1.25 billion of…

GPI $2.8B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 4 4 clicks

Howard Hughes: Still Attractive Despite Risks Of Rapid Transition

Howard Hughes plans to raise nearly $4 billion by selling real estate assets and condos, accelerating Vantage’s insurance expansion while…

HHH $4.3B

Gary Gambino Oct 3 3 clicks

EVI Industries. Margin inflection or fake out?

EVI Industries says its ERP and service-platform build is largely complete, testing whether 10.8% revenue growth can finally outpace…

EVI $248M

Kairos Research Oct 2 2 clicks

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is…

MRP $3.8B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

Single Stock Spotlight #16: Huckleberry.AI (HUCK)

Huckleberry.AI trades near $3.30 against $221 million of cash and $900 million-plus of NOLs after selling its operating business, creating…

HUCK $145M

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Oct 2 5 clicks

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

IRDM $5B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

CNR · long

Core Natural Resources INC

Core Natural Resources is a US metallurgical and thermal coal producer formed in January 2025 through the merger of CONSOL Energy and Arch…

CNR $4.5B

Value Investors Club Jun 1 1 click

[$MNDY] Monday.com

Monday.com combines work management, CRM, Dev and Service on a flexible core platform, with 90% gross margins and AI disruption risk…

MNDY $3.8B

Lewistown Capital Nov 19

The Priority Technology Situation

Priority Technology received an opportunistic buyout proposal, with its business better suited to remaining public absent a much higher…

PRTH $644M

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Nov 11 5 clicks

Short Interest: Domino's and Greggs (DOM LN; GRG LN)

Domino’s and Greggs carry 7% and 6.7% declared UK short interest as weak consumer spending pressures volumes, with Greggs’ valuation…

GGGSF $2.8B

Brevarthan Research Nov 11

Tis The (Earnings) Season

Argentine banks, tariff-exposed stocks and Customer’s Bancorp anchor an earnings-season watchlist after Milei’s election victory,…

CUBI $2.5B

Cluseau Research Oct 27 3 clicks

New England Realty Associates - NYSE:NEN

New England Realty Associates, NYSE:NEN, emerged from Colonial Realty’s 1970s bankruptcy and retains roughly a third of the 1,529…

NEN $171M

Obscure Stocks Oct 27

[PQ] GRND: Margin Calls & Acquisitions

Grindr received a non-binding $18-per-share acquisition offer.

GRND $2.5B

Nongaap Investing Oct 27

Buzzi (BZU.IM): Make Italy Great Again

Buzzi SpA, an €8.9 billion Italian cement producer, is presented as the world’s best-managed cement company.

BZZUF $7.3B

Kerrisdale Capital Oct 24

[P] ESTC: Elastic Vesting Goals

Elastic’s vesting goals reveal what management is incentivizing.

ESTC $9.9B

Nongaap Investing Oct 24 1 click

[P] BLND: Non-GAAP Research Hour

Blend Labs governance discussion focuses on reverse-engineering non-GAAP signals of upside.

BLND $236M

Nongaap Investing Oct 22

Deep Sail Capital on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

Farmer on X

A Capital on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

Fierce_beast on X

SG on X

SG on X

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