Monday, October 5, 2026

Selling Cenovus: Up 78% in 10 Months

Cenovus Energy, up 78% in 10 months, is sold after agreeing to buy Athabasca Oil for $5.7 billion at a rich valuation.

CVE $61B

Bison Insights Oct 5 4 clicks

Oct 5 GFL $16B

The Final Countdown: An Update on GFL’s Sale

310 Value’s Newsletter

Oct 5 CRWV $34B

The Thin Margin of Safety in Selling Compute

MBI Deep Dives 11 clicks

From X

@ChrisCamillo Aug 12

Chris Camillo on X

@RealJimChanos Simple, $HOOD investors at large are weighted heavier to high growth AI sector and crypto than the S&P.

@KEDM_COM Aug 12

KEDM.com on X

Optimist Fund @optimist_fund sees an opportunity in the buy-now-pay-later space and has conducted a deep dive into Affirm $AFRM. The fund says the buy-now-pay-later model is still lightly penetrated in US e-commerce and barely penetrated once bricks-and-mortar retail is included. Underwriting every transaction individually at the point of sale, with terms fixed upfront and no compounding interest or late fees, aligns the lender with the consumer in a way the revolving credit card model does not.

@irbezek Aug 12

Ian Bezek on X

@Nobilis_Capital @boujee_banker @HettyGreen2020 I can walk to three different Ara's ($JRONY) from my place in Colombia. Omnipresent. If I run out of eggs, bread, milk or whatever just go grab it in a couple minutes rather than getting in my car to go to a big store.

@irbezek Aug 12 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

@boujee_banker @Nobilis_Capital @HettyGreen2020 I own $FMX and $JRONY (which owns one of the Colombian ones). $TBBB trading at a huge premium, but they get to 10000+ stores eventually will still work for you.

@Mike10947310 Aug 12

Mike on X

New $FTEK CEO is interesting to me, ex $CECO which has been a great company. What do you think? There has been a lot of kinda inexplicable decisions for years from mgmt (particularly massive SG&A costs) offsetting what should be strong gross margins. My read is he probably joined to pull some easy levers.

@leevalueroach Aug 12

Lee Roach on X

Liftoff $LFTO just reported. Good quarter. No sequential growth too. Market doesn’t like it. Seems fine to me. https://t.co/Qyjt4sdpsi

@kab604 Aug 12

kab60 on X

Is it correct that Adyen hasn't developed their own A2A payment option? (think I heard on some expert call). And now $FOUR owns Global Blue and soon an A2A biz which is attractive for big ticket purchases/luxury goods?

@leevalueroach Aug 12

Lee Roach on X

What price would you guys buy $NCMI at? Stock plunging from terrible acquisition. But there’s a price for everything. Last terrible acquisition I followed was $BTU and their stock collapsed too and they got out of the deal. Stock re-rated hard. https://t.co/ecUOLwfD4H

Portfolio Update September 2026

Portfolio added Otis Worldwide in the mid-$60s, increased Pool, Copart and Floor & Decor, and sold Berkshire Hathaway.

OTIS $26BCPRT $26B

D Invests Oct 5 1 click

Ciena, A Former Telecom Bust, Is Now In The Early Stages Of A Bona Fide Mega Boom

Ciena’s optical networking equipment sales to stronger telecom customers underpin a 2027 long thesis, unlike its 2000-era boom.

CIEN $51B

Marc Gerstein Oct 5 2 clicks

Brazil could be the Q4 Macro Play – My stock ideas: $NU, $INTR, $PICS and maybe $STNE, $PAGS, $DLO and $MELI

Brazilian fintechs NU, INTR and PICS stand to benefit from a Bolsonaro-led runoff surprise that lowers fiscal risk premiums, rates and the…

NU $75BINTR $3B

Substack von Philipp Oct 5 6 clicks

Alliance Resource Partners: A ~10% Yield Backed By Contracted Coal And Growing Royalties

Alliance Resource Partners has 2026 coal sales fully contracted and is expanding oil and gas royalties through AllDale, supporting its 9.8%…

ARLP $3.2B

Timur Mekhantev Oct 5 4 clicks

Practical Parametric Yield

Cerebras’s WSE-3 faces parametric-yield constraints that could restrict supply, making power and clock-speed tradeoffs central to its next…

CBRS $33B

Irrational Analysis Oct 4 3 clicks

Did Group 1 Overpay for Hennessy? The Seller’s Own Banker Says It Was a Record.

Group 1 paid $1 billion of goodwill for Hennessy’s 10 dealerships, a record $100 million per store, financed largely with $1.25 billion of…

GPI $2.9B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 4 4 clicks

M&T: Buy Reaffirmed, Despite Market Pullback, As Growth And Earnings Story Remain Strong

M&T Bank's 10.4% five-year revenue CAGR, improving net interest margin and commercial loan growth support its earnings resilience despite a…

MTB $31B

Albert Anthony Oct 3 2 clicks

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is…

LEN $17BMRP $3.7B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

Nike: The Defense Holds, the Offense Is Unproven

Nike targets EBIT margin recovery from 5.2% in FY2027 to 13% by FY2032 as revenue declines persist and wholesale, China and digital remain…

NKE $52B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 3 clicks

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Nike’s second Latticework program examines the company and the global athletic footwear and apparel industry for professional investors.

NKE $52B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 1 click

HRVFF · long

Harvia Oyj

HRVFF $937M

Value Investors Club Jul 7 2 clicks

Geely: Strategic NIO Battery Deal Is A Win

Geely’s ZEEKR nearly doubled first-half 2026 deliveries to 178,000, while Geely bought 30% of NIO’s battery-swapping unit to reduce…

NIO $8.7B

The Asian Investor Oct 4 5 clicks

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $52B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

Boeing F/A-XX Win: A Surprise Blow For Northrop

Boeing won the $20 billion Navy F/A-XX contract after securing the Air Force F-47, concentrating U.S.

NOC $68B

Dhierin Bechai Oct 2

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

RKLB $35BIRDM $4.9B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

AAR’s $1.8 billion acquisition of a 65% stake in MRO Holdings adds widebody aircraft maintenance and targets a 19% to 20% EBITDA margin by…

AIR $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 2 4 clicks

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

Crocs: Double-Digit Buyback Yield (Ticker: CROX)

Crocs has $2 billion of buyback authorization, more than a third of its market cap, as North American sales stabilize and HeyDude drags on…

CROX $6B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 2 4 clicks

$TPB: can Turning Point Brands be the third player in nicotine pouches? | Saberpoint Capital

Turning Point Brands' FRE and Alp nicotine pouches aim to become a third C-store brand behind ZYN and Velo as PMTA rules limit new entrants.

TPB $1.3B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 1 2 clicks

Mattel: M&A Buzz And A CEO Change Create Substantial Uncertainty

Mattel rose 19% on takeover speculation, but a potential $20-per-share bid, margin pressure and CEO transition leave its standalone…

MAT $4.8B

Seeking Profits Oct 1

Chris Camillo on X

KEDM.com on X

Ian Bezek on X

Ian Bezek on X

Mike on X

Lee Roach on X

kab60 on X

Lee Roach on X

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