Saturday, October 3, 2026

The Art of Doing Financial Engineering

AI infrastructure’s $6.3 trillion financing gap is driving structured debt and asset-backed solutions, starting with Meta’s planned 5GW Louisiana data center.

META $1.8TMS $294B

Net Interest Oct 3 5 clicks

Oct 2 LEN $18B

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Hunterbrook 2 clicks

Oct 2 META $1.8T

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/02/2026)

TSOH Investment Research 3 clicks

From X

@John_Hempton Oct 1

John_Hempton on X

I probably could. And I am glad you are fighting naked short selling because I value market integrity. Someone has to fight the good fight. I would join you - but I am not suicidal. I do not like throwing my money away. You can't beat Ken Griffin. So long here is stupid. And if you can't beat them, join them. That is why you should short $AMC.

@ACapitalLP Oct 1

A Capital on X

$CORZ 👀 https://t.co/B5cU5NZ7OH

@ActAccordingly Oct 1

PAA Research on X

Sign of the times department: $LRHC the one high flying residential real estate brokerage that grew to more than 3,000 agents as it tried a different version of the MLM model successfully implemented by $AGNT, has decided to PIVOT to.... You guessed it, a neo-cloud. The company announced that it acquired $NVDA B300s today and is pursuing strategic alternatives for its real estate division. If only there were signs....

@calvinblissett Oct 1

Calvin Blissett on X

Yes, obviously some nuance depending on what site but I see what you mean, one listing 1,217 complaints. They did have a 100% resolution rate which was nice to see. Also the article in June 2026 about a women’s complaint. This is a risk to watch as it mostly stems from them selling low priced first month policies (0-1RMB) which then go to say 100RMB a month that people get blindsided by. This is also a regulatory risk as regulators have mentioned against this. $YB

@leevalueroach Oct 1

Lee Roach on X

$EVC is deep value here. Market drunk at the wheel. https://t.co/KAF6rwRXVc

@negligible_cap Oct 1 1 click

Negligible Capital on X

Software sentiment matrix from JPM’s Schilsky I guess Dreamforce with guest appearances from Jensen, Dario and Sama wasn’t enough to fix $CRM sentiment https://t.co/pzGxbvVR9j

@RagingVentures Oct 1

Raging Capital Ventures on X

$EFXT is like the little engine that could… announces a major data center fabrication deal. https://t.co/FrAeKIDcXJ https://t.co/sW3dZbBolC

@irbezek Oct 1 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

@DadInvest @baldridgecpa Pacifico Airports $PAC has 80% gross margins. Pretty good for a not tech biz. Not sure how to run the business without employees or customers though...

Nike: The Defense Holds, the Offense Is Unproven

Nike targets EBIT margin recovery from 5.2% in FY2027 to 13% by FY2032 as revenue declines persist and wholesale, China and digital remain…

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] Cloudflare wants bots to pay; OpenAI’s ad ambitions; Memory chip competition; Muse is a proactive assistant; the Wintel of cars and robots; Atlassian as a coordinating layer

Cloudflare is building HTTP 402 payments for AI agents, using its web network to let publishers charge bots for content access.

NET $124B

scuttleblurb Oct 2 1 click

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Nike’s second Latticework program examines the company and the global athletic footwear and apparel industry for professional investors.

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 1 click

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

ServiceNow: Still A 'Strong Buy' As AI Revenues Gain Traction

ServiceNow expects AI annual contract value to reach $1.5 billion by year-end, with assist-pack consumption pricing supporting growth…

NOW $145B

Jetstream Research Oct 2 1 click

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

RKLB $40BIRDM $5B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

AAR’s $1.8 billion acquisition of a 65% stake in MRO Holdings adds widebody aircraft maintenance and targets a 19% to 20% EBITDA margin by…

AIR $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 2 4 clicks

American Healthcare REIT: A Dip Buy Driven By Senior-Care And Outpatient Tailwind

American Healthcare REIT’s senior-housing and outpatient portfolio is driving FFO growth and dividend safety, while a rich valuation limits…

AHR $12B

Albert Anthony Oct 2 1 click

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

Belden Inc.: The Ruckus Debt Looks Scarier Than The Math

Belden targets net leverage of 2.9x by 2027 from 3.9x, using RUCKUS's 65%+ gross margins and free cash flow to reduce debt.

BDC $4.3B

Lee Bailey Oct 2

AEGXF · long

Aecon Group Inc.

Aecon Group’s long thesis targets 50-80% share-price upside over 6-12 months as the company shifts beyond a complex special situation.

AEGXF $2.6B

Value Investors Club Jul 5 3 clicks

Boeing F/A-XX Win: A Surprise Blow For Northrop

Boeing won the $20 billion Navy F/A-XX contract after securing the Air Force F-47, concentrating U.S.

BA $148BNOC $69B

Dhierin Bechai Oct 2

Crocs: Double-Digit Buyback Yield (Ticker: CROX)

Crocs has $2 billion of buyback authorization, more than a third of its market cap, as North American sales stabilize and HeyDude drags on…

CROX $5.5B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 2 4 clicks

Sleep Well Portfolio (Sept 2026) - New Pick coming up - SWI#25.

CrowdStrike faces a trim at a $270 billion valuation and 140x free cash flow, despite AI-driven cybersecurity demand and a $20 billion ARR…

CRWD $269B

Sleep Well Investments Oct 2 2 clicks

$TPB: can Turning Point Brands be the third player in nicotine pouches? | Saberpoint Capital

Turning Point Brands' FRE and Alp nicotine pouches aim to become a third C-store brand behind ZYN and Velo as PMTA rules limit new entrants.

TPB $1.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 1 2 clicks

Mattel: M&A Buzz And A CEO Change Create Substantial Uncertainty

Mattel rose 19% on takeover speculation, but a potential $20-per-share bid, margin pressure and CEO transition leave its standalone…

MAT $4.8B

Seeking Profits Oct 1

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $42B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

The AI Bubble is Bleeding Cash, Part 2: Anthropic's Receipts | Ed Zitron

Anthropic spent $2.75 per revenue dollar in 2025 and committed $518 billion to compute, while AI debt at CoreWeave, Oracle and data-center…

AVGO $1.8T

The Monetary Matters Network Oct 1 2 clicks

Constellium: The Spread Between Feedstock And End Prices Keeps Widening

Constellium’s widening feedstock-to-end-price spread supports 2026 EBITDA guidance of $980M-$1.02B and free cash flow above $300M.

CSTM $3.5B

Andres Veurink Oct 1

Don’t Believe Your Lyin’ Eyes, GPU Depreciation & Useful Lives

Nvidia argues A100, H100 and B200 GPUs retain value beyond five-year depreciation schedules, reviving comparisons with the 1960s…

NVDA $5.5T

Cassandra Unchained Oct 1 8 clicks

Saturday, October 3, 2026

John_Hempton on X

A Capital on X

PAA Research on X

Calvin Blissett on X

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