Saturday, October 3, 2026

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is Lennar’s CEO.

LEN $18B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

Oct 2 NKE $51B

Nike: The Defense Holds, the Offense Is Unproven

Latticework by MOI Global 2 clicks

Oct 2 NKE $51B

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Latticework by MOI Global 1 click

From X

@finphysnerd Oct 3 2 clicks

Myles on X

Adding long exposure (through $IWM and $RSP mainly) makes me feel sick, which backs up my belief that the timing is good to add long exposure.

@TidefallCapital Oct 3 2 clicks

Trevor Scott on X

@TSOH_Investing this is what $nke tried to do unsuccessfully

@TidefallCapital Oct 3 3 clicks

Trevor Scott on X

@realroseceline Kind of crazy that $APP was at a quarter trillion market cap

@leevalueroach Oct 3 3 clicks

Lee Roach on X

You can't find the Switch Two Zelda Edition anywhere. It is sold out at GameStop $GME. This 40th Anniversary game for Ocarina of Time is going to sell so much hardware and accessories. And then you have GTA 6 coming out too. Insiders at GameStop are loading up on shares like crazy. They see internal sales and how much money they are about to print.

@TidefallCapital Oct 3 1 click

Trevor Scott on X

$LULU peaked at 14x EV/S and 82x NTM PE in 2020. $NKE EBITDA margin has collapsed from 18% in 2021 to 10.7% today. https://t.co/qF1yYC18dz

@MaiusPartners Oct 2 1 click

Maius on X

Some $PSIX thoughts off the recent 8-K: The banking syndicate lifted committed capacity from $135m to $220m (+$85m), cut the SOFR margin from +2.60% to +1.80%, and pushed maturity from July 2027 to September 2029 (~26 months). Credit committees are structurally risk-averse. More exposure, less spread, and longer tenor only clears if they like the repayment case. So what are they underwriting that most equity investors still won’t touch? Two things the disclosures imply: 1) Weichai’s North American strategy is locked in. Change-of-control remains tied to Weichai keeping board control and ≥40% ownership (same economic threshold as before). The extension removes left-tail risk that Weichai pursues a different go-to-market path. 2) The extra capacity isn’t for today’s balance sheet. Net debt was essentially zero at Q2’26 (cash ~$70m, debt ~$73m). The new investor materials flag Prime Power as a deliverable for the first time—ranges that overlap $INIO’s data-center gas engines, a segment where $INIO recently highlighted as an area "Chinese players have historically struggled to break in" and hence command "100% market share in several datacenter power ranges". As Bezos put it: your margin is my opportunity. Have a great weekend, everybody!

@ACapitalLP Oct 2

A Capital on X

@GuptaSach1988 I was thinking ~0.55 $SPCX shares short per $ECHO share long, roughly the tax-adjusted look-through ratio...

@leevalueroach Oct 2 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

Ryan Cohen just bought another $17 million of $GME. Wall Street is completely unaware and brain dead here. https://t.co/sy5wCrmcKN

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

RKLB $40B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $42B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

Muse could sidestep ads by becoming a neutral commerce agent, while DoorDash and Airbnb build proprietary agents that steer users toward…

DASH $84BABNB $99B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 1

Chipotle: Takeover Talk Aside, The Margin Math Is Why I Still Say Buy

Chipotle's Q2 revenue rose 9.3% as traffic and market share grew; the case rests on pricing catching inflation to restore margins.

CMG $39B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 1

Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings - New Rating Bands, Stop And Price Targets Inside

Autodesk reported Q2 revenue growth of 16% to $2.05 billion, while RPO growth slowed to 2%; FY2027 guidance calls for $8.30 billion to…

ADSK $49B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1

HOOY: A Hold For The YieldMax HOOD Option Income Strategy ETF

YieldMax HOOD Option Income Strategy ETF pays high weekly income from Robinhood volatility, but return-of-capital distributions and a 0.99%…

HOOD $98B

Ivan Gaddari Oct 1

[ROL – Rollins] The exterminator’s dilemma

Rollins’ shares have fallen more than 50% from their peak, resetting valuation as route density, reliable service and pricing support…

ROL $16B

scuttleblurb Oct 1 1 click

HubSpot Valuation: SaaS-Pocalypse Discount And DCF Imply More Upside

HubSpot trades at 18.4x forward earnings and 3x sales after the SaaS selloff; a DCF using 22% FCF growth values shares at $302.66.

HUBS $12B

Bishop Research and Analytics Oct 1 2 clicks

Deckers (DECK): From Clown Shoes To Compounder

Deckers built HOKA into a brand nearing UGG’s scale, with HOKA revenue up about fivefold since FY21.

DECK $11B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 1 1 click

APG · long

Api Group CORP

APi Group’s mix of specialty contracting segments complicates a conventional contractor valuation.

APG $17B

Value Investors Club Apr 28 10 clicks

Ferrari Exploratory Report

Ferrari sells about 13,000 vehicles annually, generating €7 billion of revenue and 28% operating margins; its shares trade at 32 times…

RACE $69B

Speedwell Memos Feb 10 1 click

Evolution: 4Q25 Business Update

Evolution's fourth-quarter revenue fell 4% as Asia cyber disruption and European channelization outweighed U.S.

EVVTY $15B

Speedwell Memos Feb 6 1 click

Adobe Inc (ADBE): slowly, then all at once

Adobe’s sub-20x forward GAAP P/E reflects AI disruption fears, with the investment case hinging on whether Digital Media’s creative…

ADBE $93B

Bristlemoon Capital Feb 6

Portfolio Update January 2026

DInvests sold Thermo Fisher, Dollar General, Dollar Tree and Edwards Lifesciences, then bought Pool Corp and Kraft Heinz while adding to…

KHC $26B

D Invests Jan 31

Ryanair’s €256M Fine May Be Tip of The Iceberg

Ryanair’s €256 million Italian antitrust fine targets its OTA-blocking system, while internal documents raise questions about Michael…

RYAAY $27B

310 Value’s Newsletter Jan 28 4 clicks

Lincoln Post: NFLX and Theaters, FCNCA Earnings

Netflix’s proposed Warner Bros. acquisition could preserve or expand theatrical releases, supporting cinema chains such as Cinemark and…

FCNCA $23B

Base Hit Investing Jan 25

Can AI Read the Market?

Gemini’s chart-only analysis favors Nutrien, soybeans, nickel and sugar, while rating Constellation Software a sideline despite its 40%…

NTR $32B

AmsterdamStocks Jan 25

Affirm (AFRM): Buy Now, Cry Later

Affirm, a $25 billion buy now, pay later lender, faces a short thesis comparing its model with failed subprime monoline finance companies.

AFRM $27B

Kerrisdale Capital Jan 21

FTAI Power and QXO's next aquistion

FTAI Power plans to convert CFM56 jet engines into 25 MW gas turbines for data centers, targeting 100 annual units and $750 million to $1…

FTAI $18BQXO $12B

Kairos Research Jan 20 1 click

Saturday, October 3, 2026

Myles on X

Trevor Scott on X

Trevor Scott on X

Lee Roach on X

Trevor Scott on X

Maius on X

A Capital on X

Lee Roach on X

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