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Friday, October 2, 2026

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@MaiusPartners 1 click

Maius on X

Some $PSIX thoughts off the recent 8-K: The banking syndicate lifted committed capacity from $135m to $220m (+$85m), cut the SOFR margin from +2.60% to +1.80%, and pushed maturity from July 2027 to September 2029 (~26 months). Credit committees are structurally risk-averse. More exposure, less spread, and longer tenor only clears if they like the repayment case. So what are they underwriting that most equity investors still won’t touch? Two things the disclosures imply: 1) Weichai’s North American strategy is locked in. Change-of-control remains tied to Weichai keeping board control and ≥40% ownership (same economic threshold as before). The extension removes left-tail risk that Weichai pursues a different go-to-market path. 2) The extra capacity isn’t for today’s balance sheet. Net debt was essentially zero at Q2’26 (cash ~$70m, debt ~$73m). The new investor materials flag Prime Power as a deliverable for the first time—ranges that overlap $INIO’s data-center gas engines, a segment where $INIO recently highlighted as an area "Chinese players have historically struggled to break in" and hence command "100% market share in several datacenter power ranges". As Bezos put it: your margin is my opportunity. Have a great weekend, everybody!
@blondesnmoney

Cluseau Investments on X

It's been a year since this post and I've held all the names aside from Sandisk (which I sold 600 shares of at $130 and think of on a regular basis), and Powll Industries. Not a great day today, "attitude adjustment" from Western Digital (made a bad day trade as well), and Kioxia and WDC have been halved since June (would've been nice to cash out at the peak). Still, I think perspective is key, all of these components have come a long way since the original post a year ago, and I think the toughest part has been owning them rather than attempting to time the market. Every headline has been absolutely brutal in prompting the worst, most emotional decisions, at the wrong time. I made a few modifications, I spent $50 to collar $MU between 1000 and 1500 until December, which seems like a really inexpensive hedge to get 400 points of upside and limit losses to a 70 point downside, and today I used proceeds from selling $WDC calls to buy some December and January 350 Strike Puts on my entire position. It serves as a contractual stop loss, WDC is up 120% this year but I don't want to ride it back to the cost basis or negotiate with myself on the way. Either it holds 350 and finds some footing, or I get closed out in a few months and move on. Despite today's relatively bad day, the basket has worked out ok over the last 12 months. Hedging Cost: 60,000 Basket Cost Basis: 1.404 Million Current Value: 4.328 Million Unrealized: 2.924 Million

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Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Nike’s second Latticework program examines the company and the global athletic footwear and apparel industry for professional investors.

NKE $53B
Latticework by MOI Global

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $53B
Latticework by MOI Global 1 click
MOH · long

Molina Healthcare

Molina Healthcare faces unprecedented Medicaid managed-care cost inflation and margin compression after its shares declined since October…

MOH $9.9B
Value Investors Club

Roblox: Accepting Uncertainty

Roblox reached 144 million DAUs and 123.9 billion engagement hours by 2025, but Q3 FY26 bookings are set to fall mid-teens, renewing calls…

RBLX $30B
TSOH Investment Research 1 click

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $6.7B
The Oak Bloke 13 clicks

Airbnb Model Update (2026)

Airbnb shares have risen about 50% since October 2025, prompting a revised 2026 model and return assumptions at the current price.

ABNB $94B
MBI Deep Dives 4 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. XLIX

Research Roundup Vol. XLIX covers 3.4% inflation, AI compute demand, data center buildouts, and Q2 reports from Rocket Lab, CoreWeave,…

RKLB $42BCRWV $49B
Monte Independent Investment Research

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