Friday, October 2, 2026

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is Lennar’s CEO.

LEN $20B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

Oct 2 NKE $53B

Nike: The Defense Holds, the Offense Is Unproven

Latticework by MOI Global 1 click

Oct 2 NKE $53B

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Latticework by MOI Global

From X

@MaiusPartners 45h ago 1 click

Maius on X

Some $PSIX thoughts off the recent 8-K: The banking syndicate lifted committed capacity from $135m to $220m (+$85m), cut the SOFR margin from +2.60% to +1.80%, and pushed maturity from July 2027 to September 2029 (~26 months). Credit committees are structurally risk-averse. More exposure, less spread, and longer tenor only clears if they like the repayment case. So what are they underwriting that most equity investors still won’t touch? Two things the disclosures imply: 1) Weichai’s North American strategy is locked in. Change-of-control remains tied to Weichai keeping board control and ≥40% ownership (same economic threshold as before). The extension removes left-tail risk that Weichai pursues a different go-to-market path. 2) The extra capacity isn’t for today’s balance sheet. Net debt was essentially zero at Q2’26 (cash ~$70m, debt ~$73m). The new investor materials flag Prime Power as a deliverable for the first time—ranges that overlap $INIO’s data-center gas engines, a segment where $INIO recently highlighted as an area "Chinese players have historically struggled to break in" and hence command "100% market share in several datacenter power ranges". As Bezos put it: your margin is my opportunity. Have a great weekend, everybody!

@ACapitalLP 47h ago 2 clicks

A Capital on X

@GuptaSach1988 I was thinking ~0.55 $SPCX shares short per $ECHO share long, roughly the tax-adjusted look-through ratio...

@leevalueroach Oct 2 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

Ryan Cohen just bought another $17 million of $GME. Wall Street is completely unaware and brain dead here. https://t.co/sy5wCrmcKN

@irbezek Oct 2

Ian Bezek on X

@aurelius28 I think $CIB is worth about $100 so you're hoping for overshoot of fair value if you buy it here. I much prefer its smaller and much less liquid peer $AVAL as the "catch-up" trade.

@ACapitalLP Oct 2 1 click

A Capital on X

@snorlax_uw $GFL

@ACapitalLP Oct 2

A Capital on X

Long $ECHO / Short $SPCX looks interesting here…

@finphysnerd Oct 2

Myles on X

$TLT negative on the day, $RSP and $IWM retracing their big up moves. This market is wild.

@DeepSailCapital Oct 2 1 click

Deep Sail Capital on X

On a relative basis verse AI buildout peers $VRT has come in a lot over the last 6 months. 23x NTM EBITDA vs almost 40x at the peak. Part of that is 6 months of roll forward but still starting to get back to a reasonable valuation.

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $53B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 1 click

Boeing F/A-XX Win: A Surprise Blow For Northrop

Boeing won the $20 billion Navy F/A-XX contract after securing the Air Force F-47, concentrating U.S.

NOC $69B

Dhierin Bechai Oct 2

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

RKLB $42B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $45B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

Regeneron And Sanofi Announce A Win-Win Collaboration Expansion

Regeneron and Sanofi expanded their antibody partnership, giving REGN $1 billion upfront, up to $7 billion in milestones and a 50:50 global…

REGN $76BSNY $99B

ONeil Trader Oct 1

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

Muse could sidestep ads by becoming a neutral commerce agent, while DoorDash and Airbnb build proprietary agents that steer users toward…

DASH $81BABNB $94B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 1

Chipotle: Takeover Talk Aside, The Margin Math Is Why I Still Say Buy

Chipotle's Q2 revenue rose 9.3% as traffic and market share grew; the case rests on pricing catching inflation to restore margins.

CMG $41B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 1

Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings - New Rating Bands, Stop And Price Targets Inside

Autodesk reported Q2 revenue growth of 16% to $2.05 billion, while RPO growth slowed to 2%; FY2027 guidance calls for $8.30 billion to…

ADSK $44B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1

[ROL – Rollins] The exterminator’s dilemma

Rollins’ shares have fallen more than 50% from their peak, resetting valuation as route density, reliable service and pricing support…

ROL $14B

scuttleblurb Oct 1

Deckers (DECK): From Clown Shoes To Compounder

Deckers built HOKA into a brand nearing UGG’s scale, with HOKA revenue up about fivefold since FY21.

DECK $11B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 1 1 click

CHRW · long

C H Robinson Worldwide INC

C.H. Robinson faces new liability exposure after the Supreme Court unanimously allowed state negligent-hiring claims under the FAAAA.

CHRW $18B

Value Investors Club May 17

Infineon Technologies (IFX GY): Power Overwhelming

Infineon’s power semiconductors stand to benefit from AI data centers shifting to 800VDC power delivery, though its sharp rerating to…

IFNNY $95B

Bristlemoon Capital Jun 4 1 click

Under The Hood, Universal Health Services - $UHS

Universal Health Services faces a $432 million–$480 million annual Medicaid supplemental-payment hit by 2032, offset by behavioral-health…

UHS $10B

Bearhold Research Jun 4 2 clicks

What I Read This Week

Weekly reading list covers Agnico Eagle, Cameco, Dollar Tree, Meta, Braze and Apollo across mining, retail, AI and insurance.

DLTR $21BAPO $69B

Stock Thoughts Jun 1

Portfolio Update May 2026

Portfolio update: sold Nomad Foods, trimmed Copart, added Pool Corp and Floor & Decor, and bought Tractor Supply as the portfolio trails…

TSCO $16B

D Invests Jun 1

The last Bristol Myers' blog post was wrong on the core thesis

Ivonescimab plus chemotherapy extended median overall survival by 4.2 months versus Tevimbra plus chemotherapy in HARMONI-6, challenging…

SMMT $13B

John Hempton's Newsletter May 31 8 clicks

Bubbles, a UK Compounder & Ferrari’s Future

Jeremy Grantham says AI has interrupted a bear market and predicts a 50% market decline, drawing on GMO’s study of 27 bubbles.

RACE $68B

Behind the Balance Sheet May 31

SoFi: DCF Valuation

SoFi's DCF values shares at $18, forecasting adjusted net revenue growth from 30% in 2026 to 3.5% by 2035 as it scales its digital bank…

SOFI $20B

Hated Moats May 29 4 clicks

Tractor Supply: A Yield Worth Harvesting

Tractor Supply, the 2,641-store rural lifestyle retailer, is pitched as an undervalued defensive compounder, supported by recurring…

TSCO $16B

D Invests May 29

Natera: Is the Future Worth Paying up for?

Natera's long-term future is weighed against its current valuation.

NTRA $60B

Bearstone May 29 1 click

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