Thursday, October 1, 2026

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $45B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

Oct 1 DASH $81B

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

MBI Deep Dives

Oct 1 ADSK $44B

Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings - New Rating Bands, Stop And Price Targets Inside

Cestrian Capital Research

From X

@leevalueroach Oct 1 1 click

Lee Roach on X

On timber companies $RYN and $WY. If the long end keeps going up. 6-7% which I think is definitely possible. Then timber companies will get crushed. But my overall thesis remains and is happening in real time: energy-driven inflation, fiscal deterioration, failed treasury buybacks, the Fed losing the long end. Right now the market is repricing duration before it reprices scarcity. This gap can run for decades. Equities were destroyed in real terms through 1973 and 1974. But hard assets won the decade. I’m praying both of these timber companies keep going down. Land is my favorite asset to own. You can see it. You can touch it. You can hunt on it. You can fish on it. And you can grow productive timber on it. Huge swaths of land have massive optionality. Let’s hope Scott “I am the house” Bessent continues to lose the bond market. I want to see a bloodbath here.

@junkbondinvest Oct 1 1 click

junkbondinvestor on X

“Good news. We got you your full $PSKY allocation.” https://t.co/oKKwqUnBNn

@BarbarianCap Oct 1

Barbarian Capital on X

Keurig Dr Pepper Hires Kimberly-Clark President Torres to Helm Coffee Spinoff $KDP $KMB https://t.co/8CPQhRReM4

@BarbarianCap Oct 1

Barbarian Capital on X

McCormick Is Working to Win Over Value-Conscious Shoppers $MKC https://t.co/cNn2B5biRP

@BarbarianCap Oct 1 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

$HAS also moved up Barbie-Maker Mattel Draws Takeover Interest From Authentic Brands Group $MAT https://t.co/HZXNiDyOkj

@BarbarianCap Oct 1 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

getting more interesting Nike Projects Sales Decline This Year After Lower First-Quarter Revenue $NKE https://t.co/pV51lJLbbK

@BarbarianCap Oct 1

Barbarian Capital on X

ON Semicondcutor to Buy Synaptics for Cash, Not Stock, in Downsized Deal $ON $SYNA https://t.co/ZBg5wXAYaX

@leevalueroach Oct 1

Lee Roach on X

Good god $WY is getting low here. My guess is rates keep going up and assets like this trade down as people pour into yields. But eventually these become a load the boat up buy. Massive inflation hedges and owning large swaths of land creates multigenerational wealth. https://t.co/KvWmv9gBog

[ROL – Rollins] The exterminator’s dilemma

Rollins’ shares have fallen more than 50% from their peak, resetting valuation as route density, reliable service and pricing support…

ROL $14B

scuttleblurb Oct 1

This Week in Special Situations: Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR, Apollo Commercial Real Estate

Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…

TLN $15B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 1

HubSpot Valuation: SaaS-Pocalypse Discount And DCF Imply More Upside

HubSpot trades at 18.4x forward earnings and 3x sales after the SaaS selloff; a DCF using 22% FCF growth values shares at $302.66.

HUBS $10B

Bishop Research and Analytics Oct 1 3 clicks

Deckers (DECK): From Clown Shoes To Compounder

Deckers built HOKA into a brand nearing UGG’s scale, with HOKA revenue up about fivefold since FY21.

DECK $11B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 1 1 click

Q3 2026 Consolidated Holdings, Performance, and Ideas

Irrational Analysis reports 51.55% outperformance versus a semiconductor ETF, adding Credo for SerDes and QMCO for AI-driven tape storage…

CRDO $40BCBRS $40B

Irrational Analysis Oct 1 1 click

Occidental Petroleum: Great Inventories To Ride Lower Structural Capex In The Industry

Occidental Petroleum could benefit as declining shale inventories and high rates curb industry capex, tightening oil supply against demand…

OXY $55B

Gen Z Investor Sep 30

EQT Corporation (NYSE: EQT) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 - Why Europe's Gas Shortage Has Not Lifted The Stock

EQT remains tied to roughly $3 Henry Hub gas despite European prices near $23 per MMBtu, with US LNG export capacity limiting overseas…

EQT $31B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 30 2 clicks

POSCO Holdings: A Resource Conglomerate Still Priced Like A Distressed Steel Mill

POSCO Holdings trades at a 78.6% P/B discount as lithium, gas and trading profits reshape the steelmaker, while capex and lithium prices…

PKX $17B

Capital Connoisseur Sep 30

Toll roads in the sky

Asia's elevator boom favors maintenance and modernization providers, with Otis deriving nearly 90% of operating profit from after-sales…

OTIS $24B

Asian Century Stocks Sep 29 1 click

Portfolio and performance update, September 2026

Portfolio returned 65.7% through September 28 versus the S&P 500’s 13.2%, while backing Tourmaline, EQT, Athabasca and SLB on gas demand…

EQT $31B

Guardian Research Sep 29 5 clicks

CHRW · long

C H Robinson Worldwide INC

C.H. Robinson faces new liability exposure after the Supreme Court unanimously allowed state negligent-hiring claims under the FAAAA.

CHRW $18B

Value Investors Club May 17

Flyover Stock: Tyler Technologies (TYL)

Tyler Technologies’ moat rests on something more durable than code, even as AI-driven fears have cut SaaS valuations.

TYL $14B

Flyover Stocks Jun 8

[VRSK] Verisk has standards

Verisk’s exit from healthcare, financial-services and energy data restored a pure-play insurance analytics model, but D.E.

VRSK $22B

scuttleblurb Jun 8 1 click

Brown & Brown

Brown & Brown compounded revenue 14.4% annually since 1998 through more than 650 acquisitions, capped by its nearly $10 billion Accession…

BRO $21B

Eagle Point Capital Jun 6

When the Ducks are Quacking

Ford’s 1956 IPO sold 10.2 million shares at $63 each after Goldman Sachs helped resolve the Ford Foundation’s voting-rights problem.

F $49B

Net Interest Jun 5

Lawrence Hamtil: The Farmer Mentality, Software's Cycle, and Investing with Irreplaceable Capital

Lawrence Hamtil discusses the farmer mentality, software’s cycle and investing with irreplaceable capital.

FERG $43B

Flyover Stocks Jun 5

Sea Limited and Mercado Libre Q1'26: Reinvestment Justified? A Zero Sum Game in Brazil?

Sea and Mercado Libre defend Brazilian e-commerce share with logistics, cross-border trade, VIP programs and financial services, accepting…

SE $60BMELI $88B

Sleep Well Investments Jun 5

Infineon Technologies (IFX GY): Power Overwhelming

Infineon’s power semiconductors stand to benefit from AI data centers shifting to 800VDC power delivery, though its sharp rerating to…

IFNNY $95B

Bristlemoon Capital Jun 4 1 click

Under The Hood, Universal Health Services - $UHS

Universal Health Services faces a $432 million–$480 million annual Medicaid supplemental-payment hit by 2032, offset by behavioral-health…

UHS $10B

Bearhold Research Jun 4 2 clicks

What I Read This Week

Weekly reading list covers Agnico Eagle, Cameco, Dollar Tree, Meta, Braze and Apollo across mining, retail, AI and insurance.

DLTR $21BAPO $69B

Stock Thoughts Jun 1

Thursday, October 1, 2026

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