Tuesday, September 29, 2026

Toll roads in the sky

Asia's elevator boom favors maintenance and modernization providers, with Otis deriving nearly 90% of operating profit from after-sales services rather than new installations.

OTIS $25B

Asian Century Stocks Sep 29 1 click

Sep 29 EQT $33B

Portfolio and performance update, September 2026

Guardian Research 4 clicks

Sep 29 FTAI $18B

FTAI Aviation (FTAI US) – The Engine Shop That Owns the Engines

Bristlemoon Capital 3 clicks

From X

@LaughingH20Cap Nov 12

Laughing Water Capital on X

@yummyCenturyEgg the "studies" that the opposition have submitted are full of false assumptions and bad data, as demonstrated by $NN. Why would objectors willingly submit bad studies? logical explanation is b/c proper studies show no interference.

@LaughingH20Cap Nov 12

Laughing Water Capital on X

@yummyCenturyEgg @MGardnerDA1235 @dylan55917 8/x) add this to the list of common sense and technical arguments that demonstrate how the 900 band is not messy. Assume the $NN bears will ignore this, as they ignored the above points. https://t.co/wqpbmn33X7

@LittleOwlRes Nov 10

Little Owl Research on X

In September I had the pleasure of attending the Howard Hughes $HHH annual shareholder meeting. I met the man himself! @BillAckman Not to get ahead of myself, but this could be the beginning of something very special. Today’s quarterly results help to reinforce my views on the quality of both the asset base and management. The company is firing on all cylinders. Management continues to execute on the MPC strategy, and an acquisition seems highly likely in the short term. However, the shares still trade at a deep discount to intrinsic value. Do I care? No—at least not yet. Pershing Square has a truly remarkable track record. Since adopting their “permanent capital” strategy they have done 23.5% net of fees annually since January of 2018. Not too shabby. I suspect they’ll be acquiring a small insurer in the 1.0x-1.4x P/B range, if that’s the case, and they continue to put up those returns, the acquisition will be monstrously accretive. When Buffett took control of Berkshire, it was a failing textile mill with a negative terminal value. Ackman is starting off with assets of much higher quality and that are beginning to generate a lot of excess cash. A lot of work has to be done, but I’m happy to hold my shares here. If you’re interested in learning more about the real estate operations, I’ve attached my $HHH report from November of 2023–obviously outdated, but should help get you up to speed on the history, RE strategy, and asset base—and I will be putting out an updated report after the details of the insurance acquisition are announced. https://t.co/ueKI0TWY9R

@LaughingH20Cap Nov 10

Laughing Water Capital on X

below relates to how the extreme upside case for $NN spectrum could develop. Satellite direct to phone requires low band spectrum to be effective. $AAPL may want to control its own satellite destiny. There simply is not much low band to go around. https://t.co/Z2JM9yR7tk https://t.co/5NRaPZlWMI

@AltaFoxCapital Nov 6 2 clicks

Connor Haley on X

Numbers are not wrong-- this was a 1% change to Adj. EBITDA in 2024 and free cash flow was unchanged. This is a recent spin and there is a lot of noise below the line. This is a new CFO who flagged this and we think is doing a great job. FCF/share (ex-WC) should grow 30%+ next year (actual FCF much higher given normalization of WC). Big valuation discount vs $DBD despite much faster and higher-quality growth.

@AltaFoxCapital Nov 6 2 clicks

Connor Haley on X

Good quarter from $NATL and thesis on track. -The ATMaaS business continues to outperform... 37% y/y growth in Q3... and it's on track to be 40%+ in Q4, well ahead of our expectations -SSB delivered >50% incremental EBITDA margins in Q3, fueling 21% EBITDA growth for the segment

@MultiplesCap Oct 31

Multiples Capital on X

Copper Reality Check. The no BS CEO of Amerigo Resources on copper's supply deficit and elevated volatility on Q3 earnings call. The company just went debt free and raised dividends. I am long $ARREF $ARG, not NFA. #copper https://t.co/UExXFZEg5S

@LaughingH20Cap Oct 31

Laughing Water Capital on X

@MGardnerDA1235 @yummyCenturyEgg @dylan55917 $NN has wanted to collaborate with the opposition for ~18 months. They repeatedly talk about how they want "engineer to engineer conversations", but the opposition will not engage. 1 explanation is b/c the opposition knows what the tests will say, but yes real tests are possible

Joby Vs. Archer: The Race Is No Longer About Who Certifies First

Archer Aviation's Insitu, Wisk and SkyGrid acquisitions add military and drone revenue, cutting FAA-certification dependence and leaving…

ACHR $3.6BJOBY $5.7B

The Alpha Analyst Sep 29 2 clicks

Dark arts or infinite reload? $TTD’s CEO options and the repricing proxy

The Trade Desk’s CEO received a new 10-year option package targeting $105 per share as the company seeks shareholder approval to reprice…

TTD $5.8B

Yet Another Value Blog Sep 29 4 clicks

Cullinan Therapeutics: Compelling Pullback For CLN-978's Potential In Autoimmune Diseases

Cullinan Therapeutics plans December 2026 autoimmune updates for CLN-978, while zipalertinib awaits an FDA decision in previously treated…

CGEM $1B

Myriam Alvarez Sep 29 2 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)

Alpha Metallurgical Resources director Ken Courtis bought $10.5 million above $190 after a blackout lifted, while Conifer’s 12.7% Group 1…

GPI $2.8BAMR $2.2B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 29 4 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX

Monte Investments upgrades Karman Holdings to Buy with a $133 target after a 65% drawdown, citing 28.83x EV/aEBITDA and governance changes.

KRMN $4.2B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 29 1 click

Robinhood: The Market Is Pricing In A Lot, But Not Really Everything

Robinhood’s long-term value rests on retaining customer assets and becoming a primary financial platform beyond trading.

HOOD $98B

Thomas Veth Sep 29 1 click

What the AI Boom Looks Like From Inside Cisco with Sam Badri | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 77

Cisco’s Sam Badri says roughly 90% of AI users remain at basic prompting, with few advancing to skills files or AI agents.

CSCO $465B

Steve Eisman Sep 28 6 clicks

Zscaler (NASDAQ: ZS) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q4 FY7/26 Earnings

Zscaler posted 25% Q4 revenue growth to $898.2 million and a 24.3% operating margin, but guided FY27 growth down to 16.6%-17.5% as free…

ZS $35B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 28 4 clicks

Uber: The Aggregator on Trial

Uber's $193 billion in gross bookings and $10 billion in free cash flow contrast with modest stock gains as autonomous vehicles and…

UBER $140BDASH $83B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 28 2 clicks

Veeva Systems (NYSE: VEEV) Stock Rating: Distribute After Q2 FY1/27 - Significant Gains To Bank

Veeva Systems moved VEEV to Distribute at $277 after a 41% gain in less than two months, despite Q2 revenue growth of 18% and 45% EBITDA…

VEEV $46B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 28 4 clicks

Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)

Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with…

THRM $1.6BMOD $9.7B

Value Don't Lie Sep 28 3 clicks

QuantumScape: Sell The Stock That Has No Revenue And No Factory Until 2029

QuantumScape faces a 2029 PowerCo plant delay, reduced partner commitments and no revenue, with a scenario-weighted $2.12 per-share…

QS $2.8B

Bears of Wall Street Sep 28

On’s Premium Playbook

On Holdings targets premium growth through 2029, using LightSpray soccer cleats and higher pricing, with ASPs rising from $145 to $170…

ONON $11B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 28 4 clicks

Oracle: Here's How Badly The AI Trade Could Go (Rating Downgrade)

Oracle faces rising credit and spending risks as OpenAI-linked backlog, Project Jupiter delays and higher component costs threaten FY27…

ORCL $429B

Tech Stock Pros Sep 28 2 clicks

NKE 2026-09-28

The Monday Morning Briefing: Micron and Nike Earnings on Deck

Micron and Nike earnings headline a weekly briefing featuring Exor’s NAV discount, Meta’s Muse agent and Bellway’s UK housing valuation.

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Sep 28 3 clicks

Campbell's: Profit Continues To Fall, But The Stock Is Becoming Interesting

Campbell’s $500 million savings program and Rao’s growth could lift EBIT despite weak FY2027 guidance, while volume declines and inflation…

CPB $5.7B

Investor Overview Sep 28

SFIX · long

Stitch Fix INC

Stitch Fix’s 2017 IPO rested on overly ambitious long-term growth expectations and an unrealistic definition of its addressable market.

SFIX $353M

Value Investors Club Jun 30 1 click

An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren

NAIC oversight missed Delaware Life’s $13.34 billion affiliated-bond exposure and permits capital treatment that props up Brighthouse’s…

BHF $2.9B

Mispriced Assets Sep 27 1 click

One Hour Analysis: What would it take to break $BPRE's NAV?

BPRE trades 45% below NAV as Saba and Bulldog press for buybacks or a manager change, challenging Bluerock’s incentive to preserve…

BPRE $1.8B

Investing 501 Sep 27 5 clicks

Hindsight Capital

Hindsight Capital tests crisis-era investment decisions using anonymized company financials, including TransDigm, Halma and Texas Pacific…

TDG $60BTPL $24B

Rebound Capital Sep 27 6 clicks

Tuesday, September 29, 2026

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Little Owl Research on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Connor Haley on X

Connor Haley on X

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Laughing Water Capital on X

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