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Sunday, September 27, 2026

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@Mike10947310 3 clicks

Mike on X

$ESP - >$70B of funding for the submarines they are sole source suppliers of certain power components (e.g. transformers) to. Minor InfoArb: Trump's recent exec order (see photo). This does three nice things: 1. Establishes a component repair centair for critical components (what Espey makes) for submarines. This will increase depot stocking orders and can push demand to Espey ahead of actual submarines builds. 2. Freezing designs w/out approval from DoW is bullish incumbents 3. Given that the memo is identifying the need for robust supplier bases, I'd expect the possibility of more Naval grants/investments
@convequity 1 click

Convequity on X

Agentic AI is changing the question for every SaaS name. The old one was “how big is the market?” The new one: when agents do the work, does the vendor get bypassed, survive as plumbing, or own the stack? We built a scorecard for that split — and ran the first three deep dives: • $PLTR — Route 3 ownership bet (ontology / multi−domain ops). Structure elite; valuation still has to earn it • $DDOG — Route 2 plumbing agents need. Host telemetry is hard to absorb casually; coding agents + first-party collect is the watch item. Multiple roughly fair • $NET — purest agent-volume rails. Unabsorbable network footprint; physics caps the model layer; ~40x prices in a lot Condensed public version below. Full Part 2 + series for Convequity subscribers.

Investor Letters

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Hindsight Capital

Hindsight Capital tests crisis-era investment decisions using anonymized company financials, including TransDigm, Halma and Texas Pacific…

TDG $60BTPL $24B
Rebound Capital 7 clicks

Updates

FGPR remains on track, PRTH's management buyout is set at $8.05, and microcap RAVE is described as cheap.

FGPR $253MPRTH $642M
Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter 13 clicks

Reddit: DCF Valuation

Reddit’s DCF values shares at $225, driven by international ARPU expansion from $2.2 to $8.3 by 2035 and 38% operating margins.

RDDT $29B
Hated Moats 8 clicks
THC · long

Tenet Healthcare CORP

Tenet Healthcare generates roughly two-thirds of profits from hospitals and one-third from ambulatory surgery centers.

THC $21B
Value Investors Club 2 clicks

The Agents Revolt

Meta’s Muse reached 2.8 million downloads in two weeks, using AI agents to automate insurance shopping and erode customer inertia that…

META $1.9T
Net Interest 7 clicks

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